Polymarket Economics & Macro Odds Today
Live Polymarket economics and macro markets — Fed decisions, inflation, GDP, and index levels — priced as implied probabilities and ranked by 24-hour volume. A contract at 40¢ means the market prices that outcome at a 40% chance.
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
0%impliedVol $816KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
99%impliedVol $784KWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1%impliedVol $705K▲ 1¢ 24hWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
0%impliedVol $544KWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
0%impliedVol $443K
Economics Markets FAQ
What are the odds on Polymarket economic markets today?
Polymarket economic odds are live prices: a contract at 40¢ implies a 40% probability the outcome resolves YES. Macro markets cover Fed decisions, inflation prints, GDP, and index levels.
How do Fed-rate prediction markets work?
A Fed-rate market resolves on the central bank’s decision — for example, whether it cuts at the next meeting. The contract price in cents equals the implied probability of that outcome.
Can US traders use Polymarket macro markets?
Polymarket is not regulated in the United States and US residents are restricted from trading directly. For a CFTC-regulated alternative legal in all 50 states, Kalshi lists comparable Fed, inflation, and macro markets.