Polymarket Politics Odds Today
Live Polymarket politics and geopolitics markets — elections, leadership, and world events — priced as implied probabilities and ranked by 24-hour volume. The deepest, most-watched markets on the platform.
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
8%impliedVol $5.1M▼ 8¢ 24hWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
91%impliedVol $4.0M▲ 9¢ 24hWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
0%impliedVol $2.9MUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
5%impliedVol $2.7MUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
68%impliedVol $2.2MUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
19%impliedVol $772K▲ 3¢ 24hIran closes its airspace by June 8?
100%impliedVol $559KStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
9%impliedVol $526KIran closes its airspace by June 15?
100%impliedVol $524KWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2%impliedVol $505KWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
0%impliedVol $376K▼ 1¢ 24hIsrael closes its airspace by June 9?
3%impliedVol $370KWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
3%impliedVol $363KWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
0%impliedVol $357KUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
20%impliedVol $356K
Politics Markets FAQ
What are the odds on Polymarket political markets today?
Polymarket political odds are live prices: a contract at 58¢ implies a 58% probability the outcome resolves YES. Political markets are often the deepest and most liquid, so their prices are closely watched.
How accurate are Polymarket political odds?
High-volume political markets have historically tracked real-world outcomes closely, because deep liquidity rewards informed trading. Thin, low-volume markets are noisier — always check 24-hour volume first.
Can US traders use Polymarket?
Polymarket is not regulated in the United States and US residents are restricted from trading directly. For a CFTC-regulated alternative legal in all 50 states, Kalshi lists comparable political and economic markets.