Kalshi USD/JPY 15-Minute Market (KXUSDJPY15M)

KXUSDJPY15M is Kalshi’s 15-minute USD/JPY market, settled on Pyth. A window is open with YES at 33¢. Over the last 96 settled windows, 51% closed up, averaging 8,735 contracts a window.

Current window · KXUSDJPY15M-26NOV100400

closes in 3:05

YES mid

33¢

Bid / ask

32¢ / 34¢

Kalshi’s target price

157.94

Contracts this window

5,824

Trade this window on Kalshi →

Prices are Kalshi’s live book, refreshed every 10 seconds. The mid is shown only when both sides are quoted within 15¢. Not a recommendation.

The last 96 windows

Settled up

51%

Longest up run

Longest down run

Avg contracts / window

8,735

Oldest to newest; green settled up, red settled down. 34% of windows settled within 1 basis point of the target, where a tick either way decides the contract. Past windows say nothing about the next one; this is a record, not a signal.

How KXUSDJPY15M settles

YES if the exchange rate published by Pyth at the window’s end is at least the rate published at its start. A tie resolves YES.

Settlement source (Kalshi’s own field): Pyth.
Hours: Weekdays; stops for the weekend at the Friday 5 PM ET close.
Fee: 7% × price × (1 − price) per contract, about 1.75¢ at 50¢ (fee calculator).

Every 15-minute series, source by source: how Kalshi’s 15-minute markets settle. 15-minute vs. hourly vs. daily vs. perps, side by side: which Kalshi clock fits your view.

Same USD/JPY, other clocks

KXUSDJPY — Kalshi’s daily range on the same underlying.
Every Kalshi 15-minute series, live on one board.

For builders

Series ticker: KXUSDJPY15M
Event ticker: KXUSDJPY15M-26SEP261945 = year, month, day, then the Eastern close time (HHMM).
Open window: GET /trade-api/v2/markets?series_ticker=KXUSDJPY15M&status=open
Fields that matter: floor_strike (the target, locked at the open), close_time, result and expiration_value (the settlement print) on settled markets.
Kalshi drops some 15-minute reads under heavy parallel load; read series one or a few at a time and retry.

Kalshi USD/JPY 15-minute market — frequently asked

What is KXUSDJPY15M?

KXUSDJPY15M is Kalshi's 15-minute USD/JPY market: one up-or-down contract per quarter hour asking whether USD/JPY ends the window at least where it started.

What does KXUSDJPY15M settle on?

Pyth. YES if the exchange rate published by Pyth at the window’s end is at least the rate published at its start. A tie resolves YES.

When does KXUSDJPY15M trade?

Weekdays; stops for the weekend at the Friday 5 PM ET close. Each window is fifteen minutes long, and the event ticker ends with the Eastern close time: KXUSDJPY15M-26SEP261945 closes at 7:45 PM ET on September 26, 2026.

What does a USD/JPY 15-minute trade cost?

Kalshi's taker fee is 7% × price × (1 − price) per contract, about 1.75¢ at 50¢, so getting in and out near a coin flip costs roughly 3.5¢ before the spread.

How often does KXUSDJPY15M settle up?

51% of the last 96 settled windows closed up. The longest run of ups was 5 and of downs 4. A share near 50% is what an honest coin looks like; past windows say nothing about the next one.

Prices and results are read from Kalshi’s public API. PredictionMarketsPicks is independent of Kalshi and this page makes no picks. Trade responsibly.

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