Kalshi Palladium 15-Minute Market (KXPALLADIUM15M)

KXPALLADIUM15M is Kalshi’s 15-minute palladium market, settled on Pyth - Palladium. A window is open with YES at 29¢. Over the last 96 settled windows, 44% closed up, averaging 7,382 contracts a window.

Current window · KXPALLADIUM15M-26OCT140115

closes in 6:25

YES mid

29¢

Bid / ask

26¢ / 31¢

Kalshi’s target price

1,136.65

Contracts this window

4,249

Trade this window on Kalshi →

Prices are Kalshi’s live book, refreshed every 10 seconds. The mid is shown only when both sides are quoted within 15¢. Not a recommendation.

The last 96 windows

Settled up

44%

Longest up run

Longest down run

Avg contracts / window

7,382

Oldest to newest; green settled up, red settled down. 6% of windows settled within 1 basis point of the target, where a tick either way decides the contract. Past windows say nothing about the next one; this is a record, not a signal.

How KXPALLADIUM15M settles

YES if the close of the 1-minute Pyth candle at the window’s end is at least the candle close at its start. A candle is labelled by the minute it opens, so a 5:00 PM window settles off the 4:59 PM candle. A tie resolves YES.

Settlement source (Kalshi’s own field): Pyth - Palladium.
Hours: Weekdays; stops for the weekend at the Friday 5 PM ET close.
Fee: 7% × price × (1 − price) per contract, about 1.75¢ at 50¢ (fee calculator).

Every 15-minute series, source by source: how Kalshi’s 15-minute markets settle. 15-minute vs. hourly vs. daily vs. perps, side by side: which Kalshi clock fits your view.

Same palladium, other clocks

Palladium perps — leverage with no expiry: funding, leverage and where a position liquidates.
Every Kalshi 15-minute series, live on one board.

For builders

Series ticker: KXPALLADIUM15M
Event ticker: KXPALLADIUM15M-26SEP261945 = year, month, day, then the Eastern close time (HHMM).
Open window: GET /trade-api/v2/markets?series_ticker=KXPALLADIUM15M&status=open
Fields that matter: floor_strike (the target, locked at the open), close_time, result and expiration_value (the settlement print) on settled markets.
Kalshi drops some 15-minute reads under heavy parallel load; read series one or a few at a time and retry.

Kalshi Palladium 15-minute market — frequently asked

What is KXPALLADIUM15M?

KXPALLADIUM15M is Kalshi's 15-minute palladium market: one up-or-down contract per quarter hour asking whether palladium ends the window at least where it started.

What does KXPALLADIUM15M settle on?

Pyth - Palladium. YES if the close of the 1-minute Pyth candle at the window’s end is at least the candle close at its start. A candle is labelled by the minute it opens, so a 5:00 PM window settles off the 4:59 PM candle. A tie resolves YES.

When does KXPALLADIUM15M trade?

Weekdays; stops for the weekend at the Friday 5 PM ET close. Each window is fifteen minutes long, and the event ticker ends with the Eastern close time: KXPALLADIUM15M-26SEP261945 closes at 7:45 PM ET on September 26, 2026.

What does a palladium 15-minute trade cost?

Kalshi's taker fee is 7% × price × (1 − price) per contract, about 1.75¢ at 50¢, so getting in and out near a coin flip costs roughly 3.5¢ before the spread.

How often does KXPALLADIUM15M settle up?

44% of the last 96 settled windows closed up. The longest run of ups was 3 and of downs 6. A share near 50% is what an honest coin looks like; past windows say nothing about the next one.

Prices and results are read from Kalshi’s public API. PredictionMarketsPicks is independent of Kalshi and this page makes no picks. Trade responsibly.

Get The 7 Oracles daily predictions newsletter — free

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.