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Analyst

Nando Di Fino

CEO · PredictionMarketsPicks

Built Fantasy at The Athletic as Managing Editor and led editorial at Matthew Berry's Fantasy Life. ESPN, CBS, Wall Street Journal, MLB Network, SiriusXM alum. Multi-award-winning fantasy sports writer.

Nando Di Fino is the CEO of PredictionMarketsPicks. He built Fantasy at The Athletic as Managing Editor and led editorial at Matthew Berry's Fantasy Life, with a career that runs through ESPN, CBS, the Wall Street Journal, MLB Network, and SiriusXM. A multi-award-winning fantasy sports writer, he now applies that editorial and analytical eye to Kalshi and Polymarket.

At PredictionMarketsPicks he writes as one of The 7 Oracles, translating a newsroom instinct for the real story into market reads — which contracts are mispriced, which narratives the board has overbought, and where the sharp position actually sits. His coverage spans entertainment, politics, and sports prediction markets.

Covers: Awards, film & TV markets · Fantasy → prediction markets · Prediction markets & the media

Awards
Fantasy Sports Writers Association Hall of Fame, Class of 2022FSWA Podcast of the Year
Coverage
Prediction Markets · Fantasy Sports · Sports Editorial · Kalshi · Polymarket

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is Nando Di Fino?

Nando Di Fino is the CEO of PredictionMarketsPicks and one of The 7 Oracles. He built Fantasy at The Athletic as Managing Editor, led editorial at Matthew Berry's Fantasy Life, and is an ESPN, CBS, Wall Street Journal, MLB Network, and SiriusXM alum.

What does Nando Di Fino write about?

Prediction markets across entertainment, politics, and sports — reading where the market's price and the real story diverge on Kalshi and Polymarket. He writes as one of The 7 Oracles.

Where else can I follow Nando Di Fino?

On X at @nandodifino, in The 7 Oracles newsletter, and across every article at PredictionMarketsPicks. His full team bio is on the PredictionMarketsPicks team page.

Videos with Nando

Articles by Nando

10 articles published on PredictionMarketsPicks.

Is There a Survivor 51 Market on Kalshi or Polymarket? No — Here's Why, and Where Reality TV Traders Went Instead

Survivor 50's $33 million Kalshi market priced Aubry Bracco like a lock for months, because the show was taped long before it aired. Survivor 51 premiered with no market on either exchange. Here's the taped-vs-live test that explains it, what a clean reality TV market looks like, and the Dancing With the Stars longshots The 7 Oracles are holding.

September 24, 2026

The Emmys' Limited Series Board Adds Up Past 100 Cents — and Its 1-Cent Ghost Isn't Dead

Kalshi's Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series board flipped on Sept. 6 when DTF St. Louis swept six Creative Arts Emmys. We priced all six contracts at noon on ceremony day: the board's YES asks sum to 104 cents, the favorite sits at 92–93¢, and The Beast in Me is quoted at 1 cent. Here's why the 1-cent name is live rather than dead, and what history says about boards that look this settled the night of the show.

September 14, 2026

Sydney Sweeney Owns Part of One Prediction Market. She Trades on Another.

Sweeney took equity in Novig the same week Kalshi traders moved her off the top of the next-Bond-girl board. We priced both Sweeney contracts against the full field and found the Bond board's quoted names summing to 119 cents — and the Britney biopic board leaving almost nothing for the actress nobody has named yet.

September 11, 2026

What We're Buying This Week: Sarah Jessica Parker, Scary Movie, and More

This week's picks from The 7 Oracles: the obscure Kalshi market on what Sarah Jessica Parker says at Northwestern's commencement, a contrarian ladder on Scary Movie's Tomatometer, and why the group text won't stop talking about Bitcoin Edge.

June 4, 2026

Trump 2028? The Real Trump on the Ballot Might Be Don Jr. — A 5¢ Kalshi Thesis

Donald Trump Jr. sits at 5¢ to be the 2028 Republican nominee on Kalshi while J.D. Vance and Marco Rubio carry the market. Here's the case for why the Trump name — and his father's king-maker endorsement run — make Don Jr. a serious longshot worth a position at a nickel.

May 26, 2026

Spencer Pratt for LA Mayor: Polls vs. Kalshi's Read

UCLA's poll has Spencer Pratt 2nd for LA mayor; Kalshi's $3M market has him 3rd at 18%. Where polls and prediction markets split before the June primary.

May 7, 2026

Musk vs. OpenAI at 52¢: Why I'm Taking YES

I worked at CourtTV for five years. Trials almost never happen. This one is. And the Kalshi market is already giving us the ride of our lives — here's why I bought YES on Elon at 50-52¢.

April 30, 2026

WHCD 2026: A 7¢ Kalshi Play With $134 Upside If Trump Says 'Epstein'

Trump speaks at the White House Correspondents' Dinner tonight for the first time as president. Here's the Kalshi 'What Will Trump Say' market broken down — why Epstein at 7¢ is our headline position, plus the full tier list (Ballroom 59¢, Comedian 38¢, Transgender 29¢, Highest Inflation 18¢).

April 25, 2026

American Idol Season 24: Why a 1¢ longshot has captured our attention

Analysis of American Idol Season 24 prediction markets reveals why one underdog contestant at 1¢ odds is worth watching despite the show's diluted talent pool.

April 21, 2026

How 'The Mandalorian and Grogu' Can Get 90+ on Rotten Tomatoes

Analyzing prediction markets for The Mandalorian and Grogu's Rotten Tomatoes score. Why the film could hit 90+ despite 50/50 odds on 75+.

April 20, 2026