Survivor 50 Podcast: Finally, we get a Kalshi and Polymarket meltdown | audio only
April 9, 2026 · 33:58 · Survivor
What’s in this video
Dane and Nino break down a wild swing in the Survivor 50 prediction markets, where a Christian favorite flipped to Dee overnight and cost Dane a position, followed by Aubrey's win-market price sliding from the high 80s/90s down to 78%. They discuss how the merge seems to have ended the reliability of early spoilers, debate which underpriced contracts (Siri, Rizzo, Azie, Stephanie, Chrissy) offer value, and cover episode talking points like Stephanie's MVP edit, the Zoom/four-horsemen alliance chatter, Aubrey's idol play, and Reddit backlash over the fan-vote twist.
Key points
- A Christian-to-Dee flip in the elimination market happened right before Thursday's episode, contradicting a market that had sat near 90-97% for days and costing Dane a position he'd taken in the low 80s.
- Aubrey's outright win contract dropped to 78% (from mid-to-high 80s/90s most of the season), while Siri rose to 14 cents and Rizzo to 4 cents as traders started rotating off the heavy favorite.
- The hosts hold a 'no Aubrey' position that moved from 12 cents to 22 cents and say they're inclined to let it ride rather than cash out for a modest profit, while also sprinkling contracts on 1-cent names like Stephanie, Chrissy, Tiff and Emily.
- Stephanie was named episode MVP for her journey/shoulder-injury callback edit, while Coach and Jonathan were flagged as the clear LVPs for their 'four horsemen' alliance behavior.
- They discuss a Zoom/pre-existing alliance storyline (raised by Camila on social media) and note Reddit backlash against the season's fan-vote twist, including a post arguing Genevieve was hurt by finding idols she had to give away.
- They question the reliability of the separate 'who gets voted out next' market given this week's flip, saying they'd be hesitant to trust a lopsided price there next time despite the season's overall market being sizable.
Full transcript
[music] Hello everybody and welcome [music] to their favorite show about shows the antenna with Dane spitting speeds Martinez. What's going on man? Uh the usual. I'm Nino. [music] Um we got a lot Dane we got a lot to talk about but yeah you know I think people who play the prediction markets I don't know this this is big news. I don't know if I call break, but like there's finally chaos, right? Like this is not going exactly as planned every single week. Like who's going to get voted out? Someone's 97% um and stays that way. Did you learn that the hard way? I did. You know, listen, we we have been talking about it for the last couple of weeks, right? Like when we saw Mike White zoomed to 90 some odd percent, he went out. When we saw Charlie and Angelina, when we saw Kobe and Camila and Genvie, that it was all accurate, right? So this time, and we talked about it before kind of midweek, I was like, "Oh snap, it looks like Hubicki. It looks like Hubicki. He's up to like 90%." But then the morning of on Thursday morning, it completely switched to D. And so, you know, here's the thing. You have been saying that now that we're in a different phase of the game because we have the jury that all these guys were on the first plane out. And that seems to hold water for me because like the very first time that we are now in the jury, we did in fact have the switch, it went from Christian being a huge favorite. So if you were on that game, if you were trying to just like ride the wave, let's say, right, and make small profits, you were going to get banged out just like your boy Dane here, speed statistician, because it did flip to D and then ultimately it was in fact D out. And here's the thing I want to ask you because now this is the first time that the quote unquote spoilers have not been accurate, right? Yeah. You have also seen there is a move there is a move now in Koshi on people starting to maybe hop off Aubrey to win the whole thing. I am seeing a lot of people in the comments saying they're selling their Aubberies. They're selling Aubberies. Aubrey is down to I believe 78% which is the lowest she has been she has been in the 80s if not the high 80s for most of the season. So I wonder if not only did you know it get us this time but are people now starting to say wait a second maybe the ride the wave on the huge favorite even you know as you zoom out on the whole show is not the way to go anymore. Yeah, I dude. So, let me just bring this back for a second. The Christian thing being 97%. I wonder how much of that was like a self-fulfilling prophecy of just kind of like, oh, here we go again and everyone jumping on board and getting duped, right? Like, I don't like I did, right? And so, like, and sorry, I didn't mean you were duped, but I just mean like was it like the frenziness of the crowds that was like, let's jump on it before we miss it because it's still like 78. Like, it's going to get up to 97 and you know, that's something. Um, but I like I was telling you, man, like you know, individually on our text, like it's a learning experience because like now it's why would you even vote like unless you're live in show, which would make this kind of fun, I think. Why would you even like today when a market goes up? Who's off of this episode? Who's out? Like I guess you can speculate maybe coach, you know, because of his actions this week, but like why would you even play with that market if you don't know the answer? You know what I mean? Like No, I agree. And I think that's good overall. I think it's good for us so that it doesn't seem like spoilers ruining our experience watching it. I guess like Christian wasn't even close. That was just someone causing chaos. There wasn't even like Yeah. that he was in trouble. Absolutely. I guess that means do we go back to the overall market because there are still outside of Aubrey, Siri, and Rizzo, everyone else is still at 1%. So if now we have kind of buoyed optimism that these early spoilers were just a pump and dump and we're wrong, like there is opportunity. I remember last week you got on Siri. I got on Rizzo, but I mean maybe there's others. Maybe, you know, Azie keeps winning immunities. I I you know, we'll talk about our most valuable, least valuable player, but I wonder if there's renewed optimism that maybe you want to play with some of these sprinkle the board with some of these 1enters. I mean, well, you know, I'm going to just toot the Aussie horn over and over again for as long as I live. He won again last night. Yeah. Um but but one last thought on this this Hubiki market. Uh, let me just Well, I guess Hubiki, not Poly Market had the same thing. Like I checked like it wasn't just like everyone running to Couch. They ran to both and did the same exact thing and it flipped at the same exact time. Um, but right now as we're doing this show, Thursday morning, Aubrey 78%. Siri 14%, Rizzo 4%. Joe Hunter 3%. Yeah. Let me if if if the if the trio is Si, Rizzo, Azie, Aziey's still sitting at 1 cent that I, you know, I don't fully understand. And then Aubrey, Tiff, like Tiff hasn't Tiff hasn't I mean, Tiff is losing all of her allies. Um, yeah, but you know, she hasn't moved either, man. And I'm still kind of like I think we're on each other's trains. Like, if you're not going to go Si, which I think you still should at 14 Cents, um, and Rising, you gota like I mean, why not look at Azie and Tiff? Yeah. I mean, you know, I like Tiff. We've been talking about Tiff. Tiff was on our original card. We had Tiff originally at 1%. Um, I know you like Siri. I like Rizzo. So, I'm gonna throw out someone else who I think was kind of the my MVP of this episode. And it's Stephanie. It's Stephanie. Like, she got a great edit. First of all, props always to the Survivor crew. Like, she just picked her shot in the dark. That's why she went on the journey. but it happened to coincide with the journey challenge that happened to be a call back to her banged up shoulder from Heroes Versus Villains that she tell that story. And I think what's interesting, you know, I think in our first episode I was telling you like these guys are much older and I was talking about it from kind of the coach Azie side, but Stephanie was like, you know, a buff jock female her first time and they kind of told that story as well, right? how she was in her late 20s, now she's in her mid-4s, but I think really props to Stephanie. So, she was my MVP of this episode. I think she got a good edit. And if we're talking about the crews that we like, Stephanie is down with Azie, down with Sere because like, you know, when she came back, she told the story was like, "Ah, I knew you were lying." Whatever. They're clearly cool. So if we if we are both kind of on the Siri Rizzo Azy crew alliance, I think Stephanie is a part of that and she is never going to be someone who kind of pokes their head up as the obvious choice. Like coach is going to get voted out soon, you know, and then when they come for him, Azie has a bigger target. Uh Seri is a bigger target. At this stage of the game, I think you kind of got to lay low. I like your Chrissy call. She's laying low. I think Stephanie is another person that can kind of lay low and go far and is positioned to be part of the right crew that we're riding with. So, I really like what Stephanie did this week. My uh So, I think like on our LVP vote, I like I think we just we can't do coach, right? Like it's almost like I mean that's Yeah, right. Because he's already in like the Hall of Fame for so annoying. Like it's right like what are we going to say? He was annoying. I just have to do it in the form of a haik coup. Yeah, dude. Oh, man. Like Dane, you know how like I like to fast forward through parts that seem like they're going to be boring to me, right? Like I that was just like hit the 10-second forward. Hit the 10-second forward. I have no interest in that, but it's interesting to see. So, so you you're a big fan of how they edit it, right? Yeah. So, to me, yes, you're right. Obvious alltime LVP, right? But to me, what's interesting is who they feature as being annoyed by it, right? Because everyone's annoyed by it, but you see like Emily talking about it a lot, right? Yeah. You see, so that's the interesting part like who is starting to use that to curry favor and build alliances. And I think Emily was big around that. Um, a lot of the women were to be honest. Jonathan's my my old I like I don't I haven't seen someone turn. It's almost like they're giving him a villain edit in a way, man. Like he's just uh you know, like setting off D like that I guess was smart, but I don't know. Like I think he just kind of retroed that decision uh after it started. Um who said this was so right. Like don't get rid of D. Like she's a shield. Like why would you get rid of D right? She was the winner. That was Si. Yeah. Oh, all right. There you go. S I mean S's my all time. She's my MVP now. But you know I loved um Chrissy had a very down low MVP. I think Emily, despite screwing up that whole D thing once again, yeah, has been like I she's like the Greek chorus that's just like saying everything I'm thinking every time she's a professional or you know like so I don't know if she's going to win but I think she won that episode in a way. Yeah. I mean for me like we're talk I think what's clear here Nando is we're we're you know as the lines are drawn kind of thing. We're all talking about liking the same side and that is the Serei Azie Stephanie Emily Rizzo side and we were just talking about the obvious LVP of coach. Right. Jonathan is part of that quote unquote four horsemen. Right. Right. You know, it was the Warrior Samurai, but with Kobe gone, they try to pull Rizzo in, but he sees right through it. And it's Coach and Jonathan and Joe on certain level, but Joe is laying a lot lower, at least as per the edits, than Coach and Jonathan. But it's interesting to see that Jonathan and Coach, two guys we think had a bad cut up of the edit of the show as LVPs, they're they're they're both trying to be in that four horsemen warrior samurai kind of spirit. And I want to get um quick into the story that you sent me, too. I think that's big news is this Zoom alliance that is getting talked about a little bit right now. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. So, Camila apparently was out there on social media talking about how there was this alliance and it's it's what we thought and it's you know whether it's a Zoom alliance, whether it's uh it was thought of to be kind of like a MAGA alliance at one point and and and she didn't fully believe it um until she got blindsided and that's part of why when she got voted out she was like, "Oh, drag him through the mud talking about Jonathan." Um, so you know what's interesting is they're out there now on social media talking about this stuff as well. I even saw a quote about uh I saw Rizzo on social media talking about the Charlie vote. Um, so they are out there. But yes, to our point that these people know each other. These people have relationships before they got out here onto the island and there could have been an unspoken secret alliance and and Camila and Camila was trying to blow it up. Yeah. I uh and this is what makes it all so insufferable. Like maybe I should, you know, I think I'm going to go back and watch some of these seasons. Like I want to see how D1 won. Uh I think I kind of want to see the rise of Rizzo in a way and like what he did to his partner cuz like again man like I feel like you know well when you hear people who collect cards like oh I came back to card collecting after taking 10 years off. Like I've come back to Survivor after that super annoying season with that woman who was humming her theme song all the time. She was a pastor. Whatever one that was. I just I'm just like I'm done. I mean, I don't even want to see this to the end because I don't care about anybody left on here. Um, you know, I thought like they brought you back in. They brought you back in. This did, man. Because like I thought this is interesting, right? Like I didn't care how big it was. Really don't care about the fan stuff. And actually, if you're on Reddit, like the fan stuff is backfiring pretty hard, I think. Huh. I just check out like go to the It's just a Survivor subreddit, but like I think people are just kind of like seeing right through it. Like you're not really asking the fans for things. I really hate how everyone has a shot in the dark and blah blah blah. Anyway, the point is I like seeing everybody returning and mingling. Like it's not like half and half, you know what I mean? It's like one of those fullon we didn't like separate you through like stupid characteristics, you know? It's just like here's a bunch of you used to play like going back all the way. Here's a bunch of you who used to play. Now go do it. So I might go back and watch some of these newer ones just to see because it seems interesting. But like they don't have a chance to do Zoom Alliance. That's what kind of makes it pure in a way. This is annoying. This is annoying. Right. Right. If it's just an authentically new season, these these folks don't know each other and it's more just pure gameplay because they don't have that kind of survivor fame. So, they don't have that builtup following. It's just really more about the gameplay and the art of war of it all, which is what, you know, you and I both like. So, let's look let's let's look at our let's look at our card, right? Tiffany we had at 1%. Emily we had at 1%. Charlie we had at 1%. He's gone. We're down to 13, you know, and then I guess now we had no Aubrey at 12. The no Aubrey, the no, that's what I was gonna ask. The no Aubrey, you you know, you mentioned that she's now at 78. So no Aubrey is at 22. So we have gone up from 12 to 22 on the Aubrey. Like this is all an opportunity just because the the Christian D flip happened. Doubting the spoilers. Do we do we get off our no Aubrey with with you know with 10% of uh kind of position up like you know I'll tell you this it's a mod modest profit they're giving you some profit right now if you want to cash out on it um or do we start to think like nah we we've got it with Siri we've got it with Rizzo we sprinkle another one and we keep the no Aubrey out there as kind of our backs I think man like I'd like to see no Aubrey go all the way. You know what I mean? Like what's the point of making a little bit? I mean technically we put $5 down on each of these. So like what's the point if she went from 12 cents to 22 cents? Like the payoff's going to be 12 cents to 100, you know? Like that's sure that's how because like you don't know like the whole reason we got no is because you don't know. Like I'd almost say like pump another five and if Aubrey goes down to like 55%. Right. Maybe then we buy in the Yes. You know what I mean? like it's I don't know. I think if she goes down that much and we already have the no, then it is time to sprinkle the field, right? Because I think if if we think that this is happening and we're right on the no, Aubrey, there is value at picking some 1enters still because listen, you're already on Ser. I'm already on Rizzo. You know, whether it is a Chrissy who is still at 1%. You haven't formally taken her, you just took Serei, there's still Chrissy at 1%. I'm talking about, you know, I'm talking about Stephanie who is still at 1%. There's still Tiff is still at 1%. Um, what's wrong with Azie? Like, how come and I don't mean with you. I mean like with the general population, I don't know if he's a target. He seems just like a broken down almost stud. He's like he's like the natural. He's like he's he's almost like a perfect parallel to the natural. Um, you know, like it's like what's the problem? Why isn't he 3%. And why does so and like I get Rizzo like Joe Hunter pops up a little bit. You know what I mean? Like what how come the public hasn't taken to Azie yet? Basically, I think the reason for me is and this was maybe it was a bad thing that he won that first individual immunity challenge, right? Because it kind of reminds everybody that he could go on a run and they even made that edit, right? Like he was walking on the beach being like they awoken the sleeping giant, they don't know what they're kind of thing. And I think that's the fear like if he does win some individual immunity challenges and they made and probes made the point to say it was his eighth all time Boston Rob has nine. So they already put it out there like him chasing some individual record. That sounds to me like he's going to win another one or two immunity challenges and then if that's the case people are going to be like we got to get Azie out of here because he can go on a run. And so I think ultimately he may go far, but he they're not gonna let him stick around all the way because there's a potential of him to go on a hot streak in these immunity challenges and they'll all be so. Yeah. H All right. Well, you know what? Like I'm not going to complain that like the the rest of the world isn't on him with me. But buy it at 1%. Buy it at 1%. I have 194 Aussies at 1%. Yeah, I would take Stephanie. Stephanie is the person that's warming to me because she is of these women. I think she is, you know, you just use the natural for Azie. I think Stephanie is the most physical woman still left. Um, they're not going to let her win. Her husband made millions in baseball. They're going to pull that out. She doesn't need the money. So at the end that criteria like she's a former winner doesn't hold you know okay she has a million dollars but like she married you know a 10-year veteran of baseball but I guess on some level all of them right like that's my argument for Azie that's my argument for Siri I mean I that's why I'm on this Rizzo thing and it seems like you know Rizzo had to pull coach aside and was like listen man you're talking too much you're doing this wrong I think you know I think Rizzo and Rizzo's down with Siri and they're sharing all this information. Um, I'm intrigued by and he's the wild card. I think Rizzo is interesting. Another guy and I know you're not going to like this, but someone who has laid low recently is Deans. No, you know what I was, you know, he's like finished seventh in my MVP voting kind of guy with one vote, right? Like I liked drunk Deans talking sense into people. It I liked it. [snorts] He was all of us, I think, during the whole coaching stuff. Yeah. I mean he's right like coach all these middle players middle players and [laughter] and Rizzo's like hey man like Devin is a middle player dude like what are you doing is a middle player right yeah yeah and so like I don't know like just Devons just seemed like another voice it was like Deans and Emily were the voices of reason in this entire thing and D to a degree like D made a lot of sense and Rizzo well Rizzo yeah but Rizzo I mean like was a very obvious voice of reason right I just mean like you know speaking to the camera representing us the viewer Yeah, it was them. I hear you. But and and and then you know, you still have you still have your girl Chrissy who is not I still don't think is going to win, but you are right that especially with like the merge happening at 14 and now down to 13. This is where I think they're going to target some of the big people. You know, um D is a big is a big name, former winner. Coach we think is on the is on the hot seat. You know, I Chrissy has an opportunity to lay low and get to another stage of the game where going from 1% to 5% could mean something. She seems to say the same say say the right things and do the right things at the right time now. More so before like she wasn't even on the show and these last two weeks it's been kind of like oh all right like she's almost like planting something here or like turning something herself here that's that's kind of quietly going unnoticed but not by me. And I guess one of the last thing I'll ask is, you know, what do you think about going back to Aubrey, this, you know, monstrous favorite, how she quote unquote forgot to play her idol, but now that means it's out there, right? Because it's been played. Usually when an idol is played, that means they put one back out there to be found again. And with this season, maybe that's another celebrity idol or some other kind of weird tweak. And they did also tease in the coming attractions like another one of the fan twists kind of thing. So I think that Aubrey playing the idol means that there's going to be another one back in play to be found in some odd, you know, curveball way. Yeah. Right. Because it doesn't boomerang back if it's played. It boomerangs back if it's if it's not played. Right. So I don't know. But I mean I read something today actually. So, first of all, I thought it was like she was rightly called out on it and had no choice, no choice but to do it because she was right. two other people have idols that everybody knows about that aren't being forced to play them at the moment, you know, like right and I don't even I Dane, maybe this is my fast forwarding biting me in the butt, but I don't remember like the leadup to her like saying like, "Well, I'm going to play my idol obviously like and then everyone just having feeling the need to call her out on it." Like she was some kind because everyone everyone called her out on it. Everyone realized that when she was saying that she forgot, you know, she she was she was No, I mean I mean Yeah. I mean the previous episode in six like I don't remember what what brought up the whole thing to make her feel like she had to play it like I know she was telling people I remember the because when they everybody was talking about that's what Jenn Genevieve was telling everybody that you know all the idols were known everyone was talking to everyone about who had the idols. So Aubrey, it was known that Aubrey had the idol, so she was going to play it. But then she was like at the last minute, oh, maybe I'll just keep it, but realized that, you know, that's in this new wave of Survivor, it's almost the way she said it, I think, was perfect. She said it's it's less of an advantage and more of a scarlet letter. And yeah, he's right. Yes, she's right. It's just uh it just seemed like such a weird non-issue that got blown up into something bigger than it had to be. Like Aubrey felt I mean of I wonder if she didn't make that excuse like she forgot if she's just like her shot in the dark didn't work so I held on to it like what do you want from me right and actually that's what hey that's what I wrote to you in our text messages I wish she would have given it to D. Yeah but she wouldn't do that because she knew Tiff was going to get the second amount of votes and she's close with Tiff and that would have ultimately led Tiff to go home and she wouldn't have wanted that. Yeah. And and I guess you can't really for a split. Everyone knew that seven4 split. Uh maybe it would have been cool if she gave it to Tiff then. Uh sure. But then you're just like outing how close you are to Tiff and that doesn't really benefit you either moving forward. Yeah. Well, yeah, I guess. But I mean it does heighten the suspense of the shot in the dark. I guess you're going to use it. Give it to someone, man. Give it to Rizzo. Someone who doesn't need it. You know what I mean? Like just be like here. Yeah. I mean why do that though? Play them for yourself. Play it for yourself. The stupidest thing on earth is to play an idol for someone else. Play it for yourself. Yeah. Um, let me ask you this. Uh, the Reddit post, I just like your level of agreement on this one. Speaking of Genevieve, and you know, we don't like to look too far back, but it's almost impossible to look forward here outside of who's going to win. Um, Genevieve, this is this is from eight days ago, so after last week's episode, but it caught my attention. Genevieve was so robbed and screwed over by this twist. Um, she found two idols, had to give them both away, and it's clear that Christian Debons and Aubrey were gonna be working together. What do you do you mean like do you I mean like you don't think about it like Genevieve did find some idols and then got screwed by this dumb fan vote and that's part of the whole like the whole fan vote thing that everyone's complaining about in the subreddit. I think that's fair. I think that's fair. I don't think she was going to go far anyway because I think um she was known as a a strategic player, b she was going so unabashedly heads up against Aubrey that you know they were she was going to fall eventually. But yes, she did find two idols and in other seasons that would have been some form of advantage that she could have leveraged in an easier way. Uh, but I would not go so far as to say she got she got screwed. The uh her deeper on the post, if you click on the post and actually read it, like one of the points they make is her her number one was medact. True. And then the tribe swaps got her. Yeah. During the merge, the quote unquote merge, you know. Right. Right. Right. But in order to win, you got to have some luck. You got to have some luck happen. And so she didn't get luck. What are you gonna do? She got the opposite, man. I feel bad. You know, like I like her. Well, you could like her, but she lost. All right, fair enough. Uh Dane, thoughts on like the Siri crying thing? Do you think that's good or bad for her long-term market here in the in the preview of the next episode? Yeah, I think it's irrelevant. I think it's irrelevant uh because Sri's character is so fully baked in already that one one piece of drama is not going to do it here nor there. I am I am intrigued though that it seems like Serei is the one that's gobbling up all the equity out of you know she's the only one going up whether it's you know out of Aubrey or out of others you know you don't it's not like we see we saw Rizzo at 4% it's not like we see two other people at 4% is gobbling up all of the equity that um Aubrey is kind of bleeding so I don't think crying in the coming attractions really means one thing or another I think it's probably maybe in the response to the twist or something like that. Yeah, it's it's strange, right? Like this whole it's it's such a mix of like spoilers somewhere and I don't know. I'm just kind of hoping that this Christian spoiler non-spoiler that turned out to just be like a complete ruse that tricked I don't even check how much the who's the next who's going to get voted off. I don't think they have it up yet. No, I mean like the uh the total amount of money that was that was thrown on that one. Hold on. Survivor season 7. Oh, that would be that's a $381,000 market. So that's, you know, a lot of money and a lot of it was wrong until it switched up at noon, the morning of. Yeah. Noon on Wednesday. Basically, Christian started crashing at 8 a.m. He started crashing harder at 10:00 a.m. And by noon, they had flipped and that was it. So, someone saw an episode somewhere essentially basically. Yeah. Some some cameraman, some production manager. Yeah. Christian was at 92% on April 5th. He was at 93.7% at 5:00 p.m. on April 6th. He was at 96.7. Maybe this is when you jumped in. April 7th at 4 a.m. And then just kind of held that 90 line. 90 this, 90 that, 91, 92, and then crash. And so like maybe that holds some weight for whoever's spoiling quote unquote spoiling the Aubry thing. That's what I'm saying. That's what I'm saying. I wonder if there's this ripple effect about, you know, kind of now people hopping off the Aubrey. Yeah, but they're not hopping on. They're just hopping on to the same three people like you said. Like what what is it going to take for someone look and again like there might be significant money. It's a 14 million market. So to get someone up, you've got to at this point it's really Yeah. Yeah, but I mean I guess if you're selling your Aubry and people are uh you've got a seller that you know maybe just sell you don't buy someone's buying it but you spread that money around a little bit to someone else man that's why I was saying the time is now the ones that's why whether it's Chrissy whether it's Stephanie um you know we're already in on Siri and and Rizzo um but right I That's why I'm intrigued that it seems like it's Sere that's gobbling up all the equity. Yeah. I don't know. I mean, there's there's something weird about this. It's not behaving normally, but what do you do about it, Tane? Like, we we talk about this every week how we're taking advantage of it. It's true. And I knew taking advantage of it was getting Siri at 10 cents and now she's at 14. So, so do I hop in when that market of who's going to get eliminated? Do I Was that a one-time ruse? Like when it opens and someone's at 76%. Let's say it opens and you know whatever. Uh Devons is 76%. Yeah. Can we believe it next week? I would not touch it. All like that market to me is only good for this show and talking about it afterwards and what that line did because if it follows precedent like there should just be like you know three lead dogs at 35%. Or 33 I guess. I don't know if it will. This has been very weird you know. Yeah. I mean, I just hate that I never backed it, never wrote it, and the one time I do is the time that I wound up being wrong. I want to like get it right either by fading it or writing it. I want to get it right one time next week. Yeah. But it's crazy that it was that high. You know what I mean? If he was sitting like 60%, you would have been like, "No, no, I want nothing to do with it." But I do like we had thought after the merge like that's when the spoilers end because that plane like you said, right? Right. So the the next week with someone still at 97% you're like, "Man, let me just like let me get on." I think you I I forget you got him at at a good enough price where there was still some I got on it in the low 80s. Yeah. Which [snorts] means if you bought enough of it and you put your 25 bucks and you know, like if you're making 14 cents, that's great. But like we learned that nobody knows anything now and it's total chaos. And then maybe next week we learn that someone knows something. But maybe it's just like a relative of Jonathan. You know what I mean? Like maybe his own couple. At least it makes our no Aubrey feel a little bit better. We were smart on that one. Yeah. And I think that's going to keep chipping away week by week. And I think Siri is going to keep going up because I there just seems to be like a a frenzy of the masses thing going on here in the market. Yeah. And I'm on Rizzo who is the third choice right now. Yeah. So we've kind of got it covered. Like there's a way we can we could really bang this. If it's if it is Siri or Rizzo, then we also hit the no Aubrey, right? If we hit the no Aubrey, we hit right with Siri, Rizzo, or quite frankly Tiff or Emily that we have at 1%. You know, uh there's so many ways this can still go. It's true. It's true. You know, because there are like those alliances that are forming, but there's still like these side alliances that they aren't spending a lot of time with. You know what I mean? Like alliances to crack and move and all that stuff, too. We're at 13 for goodness sakes. Yeah. I think it so I'm cool here. So here's where I'm at, Dane, as we conclude this episode of the antenna. Um I'm still good on no Aubrey for 22 cents and all these numbers are Kelshi. I just like Kelchi is just like where I feel it's easier to read for me. Um you know, like all my fantasy leagues are on CBS. Uh Siri, yes, at 14 cents I think still is like a gigantic low buy. Like that could I mean Sere could be yes 65 cents by two weeks from now, right? She's not gonna overtake Aubrey, but okay. I Well, I don't know. She might. Aubrey can get voted out next week. She no longer has an idol. If Aubrey gets voted out next week, this market is completely back to square one. It's going to be amazing. It'll make the show better. That's why we got to get on some 1enters now. But anyway, go ahead. Go ahead with your recap. That's so me. I'm still I would if you said here's 20 bucks, do something smart for me. I would maybe put 10 on Siri. Yes. I would put another 10 on Aussie. Yes. Maybe do five on Aussie. Yes. And five on Emily. Yes. Well, we already have Emily, so I would I would look to sprinkle on some others. I would look to cover the board more because our premise is if it's no Aubrey, you have opportunities with these 1enters. And we talked about to me Stephanie, Chrissy, those are names that we haven't formally put on our card yet because we already have some Seri, we already have some Tiff. We already have some Emily. I want to cover some more 1enters. And for me, I know you're on Chrissy and I really like the way uh Stephanie's been portrayed. And I know she's close with what I think is the ascending group alliance. Yeah. But I mean that can flip, you know, with the whatever the fans decide they're going to do. Of course. Of course. Of course. I'm sure there are more double eliminations coming up. Like they're gonna, you know, play all that. Maybe there's a to find out. Yeah. There you go. All right. And by the way, people got to go on over to the7oracles.com. Not only is it our podcast videos, the newsletter, subscribe to the newsletter for free, you can get access to all sorts of great tools to really get some profit on these prediction markets. And if you use the promo code the7 like the number seven oracles, we are hooking you up. Not one month, not two month, six months free. Click around and find out. That'll get you all the way through the damn midterms for goodness sakes. You can really get some profit here on these prediction markets [music] because we at the sevenoracles.com are helping you see into the future. Thank you all for joining us. Uh we hope [music] this was helpful somewhat and it's not. I mean, it's chaos. I think I think we're on the precipice of chaos right now. The aliens are coming. [music] Um anyway, you can bet on that, too. You can. I don't think you should, but you can. Yeah. All right. Uh for Dane [music] Martinez, aka Spit Speeds, I'm Nino, aka Nadonus. [music] Thank you for uh listening to the antenna. We hope you enjoyed it, and we'll see you later. The tribe [music] has spoken.
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