Wednesday, November 4, 2026
Play of the Day
The 7 Oracles’ prediction market play for Wednesday, November 4, 2026 — permanent record.
Market not yet settled — this page updates with the graded result.
Erling Haaland to score (1+ goals): RB Leipzig vs Man City, Champions League
POSITION
YES
ENTRY PRICE
38¢
CLOSES
Tonight - settles at full time
Haaland anytime goal, YES at 38 cents on Kalshi heading into the second half at Leipzig. The market has the most dangerous finisher on the pitch under 40% to score in 45 minutes plus stoppage. That is the price we want.
Live second-half play. Erling Haaland 1+ goals in RB Leipzig vs Man City (Champions League) trades 33 bid / 38 ask on Kalshi, last 38, at 3:59 PM ET. That is the market pricing him at roughly a 38% chance to score in the second half alone. The case: City's whole attack funnels to Haaland, and second halves open up as legs tire and the trailing side pushes. One goal in 45-plus minutes is all this needs. Risks, straight: a scoreless first half means the clock is now the enemy, a substitution or a City side sitting on a lead kills it, and live soccer prices move fast. Price is a 3:59 PM ET snapshot; the market settles at full time.