PMP · MMANoche UFC
Main Event · Featherweight
Jean Silva17-3 · #6
VSJose Delgado12-2 · #14
UFC · MMA
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · main card 5:00 PM EDT · Desert Diamond Arena · Paramount+
The 7 OraclesPMP · MMANoche UFCSaturday, September 12, 2026Quick Answer
As of September 12, 2026, the market favors Jean Silva in the Jean Silva vs Jose Delgado featherweight main event at Noche UFC (Saturday, September 12, 2026). Live win probabilities and American odds for all 13 bouts are in the tale of the tape below.
Why you can trade this card
Noche UFC stacks a late-notice main event (Delgado stepped in for an injured Yair Rodríguez), a Fiorot–Grasso ranked rematch of styles, and a former two-division-era champ in Moreno — and UFC cards are the deepest, most liquid MMA order books on both Kalshi and Polymarket.
What the market says
The full card at a glance — the market favorite, cross-platform price gap, method lean and liquidity for every bout. Market-derived, not a pick.
Sort:
| Bout | Market favorite | Cross-platform gap | Method lean | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Jean Silva vs Jose Delgado Main Event · Featherweight | Jean Silva78%-355 | 1.0ppALIGNED | — | $31K |
Brandon Moreno vs Joseph Morales Co-Main Event · Flyweight | Joseph Morales52%-108 | 1.0ppALIGNED | — | $29K |
Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki Featherweight | Tommy McMillen61%-156 | 1.0ppALIGNED | — | $51K |
Manon Fiorot vs Alexa Grasso Women’s Flyweight | Manon Fiorot70%-233 | 1.0ppALIGNED | — | $46K |
Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs Curtis Blaydes Heavyweight | Waldo Cortes-Acosta64%-178 | 0.0ppALIGNED | — | $31K |
David Martinez vs Dan Ige Bantamweight | David Martinez80%-400 | 0.0ppALIGNED | — | $10K |
Tim Elliott vs Edgar Chairez Flyweight | Edgar Chairez67%-203 | 1.0ppALIGNED | — | $6KLow |
Muslim Salikhov vs Ignacio Bahamondes Welterweight | Ignacio Bahamondes82%-456 | 1.0ppALIGNED | — | $20K |
Djorden Santos vs Yousri Belgaroui Middleweight | Yousri Belgaroui89%-809 | 1.0ppALIGNED | — | $13K |
Ramiro Jimenez vs Rodrigo Vera Featherweight | Market opens soon | — | — | — |
JJ Aldrich vs Regina Tarin Women’s Flyweight | Regina Tarin72%-257 | 1.0ppALIGNED | — | $7KLow |
Rafa Garcia vs Rongzhu Lightweight | Rongzhu61%-156 | 0.0ppALIGNED | — | $17K |
Drakkar Klose vs Thomas Gantt Lightweight | Thomas Gantt79%-376 | 0.0ppALIGNED | — | $7KLow |
Market-derived signals, not a pick. A position can settle at $0 — informational only, trade responsibly.
Main card
PMP · MMANoche UFC
Main Event · Featherweight
Jean Silva17-3 · #6
VSJose Delgado12-2 · #14
PMP · MMANoche UFC
Co-Main Event · Flyweight
Brandon Moreno23-10-2 · #8
VSJoseph Morales15-2
PMP · MMANoche UFC
Featherweight
Tommy McMillen11-0
VSMarwan Rahiki9-0
PMP · MMANoche UFC
Women’s Flyweight
Manon Fiorot13-2 · #2
VSAlexa Grasso17-5-1 · #3
PMP · MMANoche UFC
Heavyweight
Waldo Cortes-Acosta17-3 · #5
VSCurtis Blaydes19-6 · #7
PMP · MMANoche UFC
Bantamweight
David Martinez14-1 · #8
VSDan Ige19-11
Prelims
PMP · MMANoche UFC
Flyweight
Tim Elliott22-14-1 · #13
VSEdgar Chairez14-6
PMP · MMANoche UFC
Welterweight
Muslim Salikhov22-6
VSIgnacio Bahamondes17-7
PMP · MMANoche UFC
Middleweight
Djorden Santos11-3
VSYousri Belgaroui10-3
PMP · MMANoche UFC
Featherweight
Ramiro Jimenez11-0
VSRodrigo Vera22-1-1
Market opens soon
PMP · MMANoche UFC
Women’s Flyweight
JJ Aldrich15-7 · #14
VSRegina Tarin8-0
PMP · MMANoche UFC
Lightweight
Rafa Garcia19-4
VSRongzhu28-6
PMP · MMANoche UFC
Lightweight
Drakkar Klose16-3-1
VSThomas Gantt12-0
The prediction-market read
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado brings 13 bouts to Desert Diamond Arena in Glendale, Arizona on Saturday, September 12, 2026, live on Paramount+. The card is headlined by Jean Silva (17-3, ranked #6) against Jose Delgado (12-2, #14) in the featherweight division.
The tale of the tape above carries the live market read for 12 of 13 bouts — each fighter's market-implied win probability in cents and comma-free American odds, with the market favorite tinted green. Prices come from Kalshi's combat-fight contracts, with a Polymarket fallback where PFL fights trade.
Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.
Noche UFC — frequently asked
Who is favored at Noche UFC?
The market favors Jean Silva in the Jean Silva vs Jose Delgado main event. The tale of the tape above lists the live market-implied win probability and American odds for every bout on the card; the favorite is tinted green.
How can I watch Noche UFC?
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado streams on Paramount+. Prelims start 1:00 PM EDT, with the main card at 5:00 PM EDT on Saturday, September 12, 2026. While you watch, the live market read for every bout — market-implied win probability and comma-free American odds — is on this page the moment Noche UFC's contracts list.
Can you trade Noche UFC fights on Kalshi or Polymarket?
Yes — these are prediction markets, not a sportsbook. UFC cards carry live markets on both venues: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange available to traders in all 50 states, and Polymarket is open to US traders too. We lead with Kalshi for the broader US-listed slate and the deeper per-market book. You take a yes/no position on a fighter in a contract that settles at $1 or $0 — no point spread, just the binary outcome.
When and where is Noche UFC?
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado takes place Saturday, September 12, 2026 at Desert Diamond Arena in Glendale, Arizona, broadcast on Paramount+. Main card starts 5:00 PM EDT.
How do prediction-market MMA odds work?
Each fighter's price is the market-implied probability they win, quoted in cents (a 69¢ contract implies a 69% chance) and shown here as comma-free American odds. Unlike a sportsbook line, the contract settles at $1 if the fighter wins and $0 if they lose, so the price IS the probability.
More MMA predictions
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Prediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Informational only — not financial advice. Trade responsibly.