NFL WEEK 1

Model vs. Kalshi on all 16 openers

Week 1 markets live now

FANTASY DRAFT

Free draft desk inside Claude, ChatGPT or Cursor

8 tools · no account

NFL EDGES

Live game edges — model vs. Kalshi, ranked

Gridiron Edge · 5-min refresh

COMBO EDGE

Correlation-aware Kalshi combos — free

SILVER EDGE

Options vs. Kalshi on weekly silver brackets

KalshiMacro & economics

Will above 80000 jobs be added in November 2026?

39c

YES · 39% implied

100

contracts 24h

110

open interest (contracts)

How this settles

Resolves YES if the BLS Monthly Employment Situation Report shows total non-farm payroll employment increased by more than 80,000 in November 2026.

  • Initial release vs. later revisionsThe BLS revises payroll figures in subsequent months; the rules don't specify whether the first print or a revised print governs, which can materially change the outcome.
  • Strict 'above' threshold — 80,000 excludedThe contract resolves YES only if the print is strictly above 80,000, meaning an exact reading of 80,000 jobs added resolves NO.
  • Report release timing vs. settlement dateThe November 2026 jobs report is typically released in early December 2026, so traders must account for the gap between the reference month and the actual settlement trigger date.

Rules read for this specific contract. Full KXPAYROLLS settlement rules →

24h move: +0.0c

Related Macro & economics Markets

Trade this market on Kalshi

Buy YES or NO directly on Kalshi

Trade on Kalshi →

Compare this market on Polymarket

See if there's a price discrepancy worth trading

Compare on Polymarket →

Get The 7 Oracles' take on this market — subscribe free

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.