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Will above 50000 jobs be added in October 2026?

61c

YES · 61% implied

160

contracts 24h

19K

open interest (contracts)

How this settles

Resolves YES if the BLS Monthly Employment Situation Report shows total non-farm payroll employment increased by more than 50,000 in October 2026.

  • Initial release vs. later revisions — BLS non-farm payroll figures are routinely revised in subsequent months; the rules don't specify which print (advance, first revision, second revision, or annual benchmark) is used, so resolution could hinge on which release is referenced.
  • Strict 'above' threshold — 50,000 excluded — The rules say 'above 50,000,' meaning an exact print of +50,000 resolves NO; a trader pricing around that level must account for the strict inequality.
  • Report release date lag — The October 2026 jobs report is typically published in early November 2026, so contract settlement will not occur in October itself, potentially affecting capital timing for traders.

Rules read for this specific contract. Full KXPAYROLLS settlement rules →

24h move: +0.0c

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