College Basketball · Market vs. Poll
AP Top 25 vs. the Market: Week 2, November 9, 2026
Where the AP Top 25 and the 2027 men's title market disagree in the Week 2 poll. Tennessee is AP No. 11 and market No. 21. Arkansas is AP No. 19 and market No. 10.
Prices as of Nov 9, 1:40 PM ET. This page stays as it was on that date. See the live board →
Market furthest below the AP
Tennessee: AP No. 11, market No. 21.
Market furthest above the AP
Arkansas: AP No. 19, market No. 10.
Market top 25, unranked in the AP
Indiana, Iowa St., Baylor.
The full comparison
| Team | AP | Coaches | Market | Kalshi mid | Polymarket US mid | Implied | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12.5¢ | 12.5¢ | 12.5% | 1 market lower |
| Duke | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15.5¢ | 15.5¢ | 15.5% | 1 market higher |
| Illinois | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9.1¢ | 8.5¢ | 8.8% | 1 market lower |
| UConn | 4 | 5 | 3 | 9.5¢ | 8.5¢ | 9% | 1 market higher |
| Michigan St. | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4.1¢ | 4.5¢ | 4.3% | same rank |
| Virginia | 6 | 10 | 6 | 3.3¢ | 3.5¢ | 3.4% | same rank |
| Texas | 7 | 7 | 13 | 3.2¢ | 2.5¢ | 2.9% | 6 market lower |
| Houston | 8 | 8 | 8 | 3.1¢ | 3.5¢ | 3.3% | same rank |
| UCLA | 9 | — | 16 | 2.5¢ | 2.5¢ | 2.5% | 7 market lower |
| Louisville | 10 | 11 | 9 | 2.8¢ | 3.5¢ | 3.2% | 1 market higher |
| Tennessee | 11 | 9 | 21 | 1.4¢ | 1.5¢ | 1.5% | 10 market lower |
| Arizona | 12 | 4 | 7 | 3.1¢ | 3.5¢ | 3.3% | 5 market higher |
| St. John's | 13 | 14 | 14 | 3¢ | 2.5¢ | 2.8% | 1 market lower |
| Gonzaga | 14 | 12 | 12 | 2.3¢ | 3.5¢ | 2.9% | 2 market higher |
| Kansas | 15 | 18 | 11 | 2.7¢ | 3.5¢ | 3.1% | 4 market higher |
| Texas Tech | 16 | 16 | 15 | 2.7¢ | 2.5¢ | 2.6% | 1 market higher |
| Miami (FL) | 17 | 17 | 17 | 2¢ | 1.5¢ | 1.8% | same rank |
| Alabama | 18 | 18 | 20 | 1.5¢ | 1.5¢ | 1.5% | 2 market lower |
| Arkansas | 19 | 13 | 10 | 2.7¢ | 3.5¢ | 3.1% | 9 market higher |
| Michigan | 20 | 20 | 19 | 1.6¢ | 1.5¢ | 1.6% | 1 market higher |
| USC | 21 | 22 | 22 | 1.4¢ | 1.5¢ | 1.5% | 1 market lower |
| Vanderbilt | 22 | 21 | 23 | 1.5¢ | 1.5¢ | 1.5% | 1 market lower |
| BYU | 23 | 25 | 28 | 0.8¢ | — | 0.8% | 5 market lower |
| Kentucky | 24 | 23 | 26 | 0.8¢ | 1.5¢ | 1.2% | 2 market lower |
| Nebraska | 25 | — | 32 | 0.6¢ | — | 0.6% | 7 market lower |
| Indiana | — | — | 18 | 1.9¢ | 1.5¢ | 1.7% | unranked in AP |
| Iowa St. | — | 14 | 24 | 1.2¢ | 1.5¢ | 1.4% | unranked in AP |
| Baylor | — | — | 25 | 1.1¢ | 1.5¢ | 1.3% | unranked in AP |
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Market rank orders teams by the mean of their two-sided mids across both venues. Polymarket prices here are Polymarket US. Sources: AP Top 25 and Coaches Poll.