Group Stage Draw

All 12 groups for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. 48 teams across the USA, Mexico, and Canada. Click any team to view their full profile and market edges.

Groups A–L

Live Kalshi market vs. 10K Monte Carlo simulation per team. Click any team for the full profile.

Group A

KSIM

Group B

KSIM

Canada31%25%

Switzerland56%32%

Qatar3%8%

Bosnia & Herzegovina—9%

Group C

KSIM

Group D

KSIM

Group E

KSIM

Group F

KSIM

Group G

KSIM

Group H

KSIM

Group I

KSIM

Group J

KSIM

Group K

KSIM

Group L

KSIM

Sim vs. Market — Match-Level Edges

Interactive Group Stage

Tap any group to expand its 6 matches. Sim runs nightly; Kalshi prices refresh every 30 min.

Group AMexico · Korea Republic · South Africa · Czechia→

MexicoWin Grp32%

Korea RepublicWin Grp23%

South AfricaWin Grp6%

CzechiaWin Grp14%

MatchSim H/D/AKalshiEdge

MEX-KOR

54%/26%/20%53%/27%/21%+1.4

SOU-CZE

26%/31%/43%22%/28%/50%+3.4

MEX-SOU

74%/18%/8%69%/21%/11%+5.3

KOR-CZE

43%/31%/26%37%/30%/32%+5.8

MEX-CZE

64%/23%/13%53%/27%/19%+10.9

SOU-KOR

18%/28%/54%22%/27%/51%-3.9

Group BCanada · Switzerland · Qatar · Bosnia & Herzegovina→

CanadaWin Grp25%

SwitzerlandWin Grp32%

QatarWin Grp8%

Bosnia & HerzegovinaWin Grp9%

MatchSim H/D/AKalshiEdge

CAN-SWI

24%/29%/47%26%/29%/45%-1.7

QAT-BOS

33%/32%/35%——

CAN-QAT

52%/28%/20%73%/18%/9%-20.9

12%/25%/63%7%/15%/78%+5.0

Group CBrazil · Morocco · Scotland · Haiti→

BrazilWin Grp39%

MoroccoWin Grp35%

ScotlandWin Grp10%

HaitiWin Grp1%

MatchSim H/D/AKalshiEdge

BRA-MOR

54%/27%/19%60%/24%/17%-5.8

SCO-HAI

54%/28%/18%66%/20%/14%-12.7

BRA-SCO

82%/13%/5%64%/20%/16%+17.8

MOR-HAI

78%/17%/5%77%/15%/8%+1.2

BRA-HAI

93%/6%/1%90%/7%/3%+3.0

MOR-SCO

63%/25%/13%49%/28%/23%+13.8

Group DUnited States · Paraguay · Australia · Türkiye→

United StatesWin Grp28%

ParaguayWin Grp8%

AustraliaWin Grp19%

TürkiyeWin Grp18%

MatchSim H/D/AKalshiEdge

UNI-PAR

65%/23%/13%——

AUS-TÜR

28%/30%/42%19%/27%/55%+9.2

UNI-AUS

51%/28%/21%——

PAR-TÜR

19%/28%/54%27%/30%/43%-8.3

UNI-TÜR

44%/28%/28%——

AUS-PAR

45%/31%/24%26%/29%/44%+18.8

Group EGermany · Curaçao · Côte d'Ivoire · Ecuador→

GermanyWin Grp36%

CuraçaoWin Grp0%

Côte d'IvoireWin Grp27%

EcuadorWin Grp27%

MatchSim H/D/AKalshiEdge

GER-COTCO62%/24%/15%64%/21%/15%-2.2

ECU-CURCU79%/17%/5%78%/15%/8%+0.8

GER-ECU

57%/26%/17%58%/24%/18%-0.6 COCOT-CURCU78%/17%/6%73%/18%/9%+4.7

GER-CURCU94%/5%/1%93%/5%/2%+0.8 COCOT-ECU

30%/32%/38%25%/33%/42%+5.0

Group FNetherlands · Japan · Tunisia · Sweden→

NetherlandsWin Grp33%

JapanWin Grp23%

TunisiaWin Grp9%

SwedenWin Grp9%

MatchSim H/D/AKalshiEdge

NET-JAP

49%/28%/23%49%/26%/26%+0.1

TUN-SWE

24%/32%/44%23%/28%/49%+1.9

NET-TUN

65%/24%/12%65%/21%/14%-0.8

JAP-SWE

40%/31%/29%48%/27%/26%-7.3

NET-SWE

55%/27%/18%60%/23%/18%-4.5

JAP-TUN

50%/30%/20%55%/27%/18%-5.1

Group GBelgium · Iran · Egypt · New Zealand→

BelgiumWin Grp34%

IranWin Grp21%

EgyptWin Grp19%

New ZealandWin Grp3%

MatchSim H/D/AKalshiEdge

BEL-IRA

55%/27%/18%68%/20%/12%-13.8

EGY-NEW

54%/29%/17%56%/25%/19%-1.8

BEL-EGY

55%/27%/18%59%/24%/17%-4.2

IRA-NEW

53%/29%/18%51%/28%/22%+2.8

BEL-NEW

74%/18%/8%77%/15%/8%-2.8

IRA-EGY

33%/33%/35%26%/31%/42%+6.6

Group HSpain · Uruguay · Saudi Arabia · Cape Verde→

SpainWin Grp41%

UruguayWin Grp37%

Saudi ArabiaWin Grp5%

Cape VerdeWin Grp1%

MatchSim H/D/AKalshiEdge

SPA-URU

65%/22%/13%59%/24%/17%+6.0

SAU-CAP

44%/32%/24%35%/28%/38%+9.1

SPA-SAU

90%/8%/2%87%/9%/4%+2.9

URU-CAP

80%/15%/5%67%/21%/12%+12.3

SPA-CAP

95%/4%/1%87%/9%/4%+7.6

URU-SAU

69%/21%/10%66%/21%/13%+3.3

Group IFrance · Senegal · Norway · Iraq→

FranceWin Grp38%

SenegalWin Grp28%

NorwayWin Grp16%

IraqWin Grp1%

MatchSim H/D/AKalshiEdge

FRA-SEN

68%/20%/11%68%/20%/12%0.0

NOR-IRA

77%/17%/6%81%/13%/6%-4.2

FRA-NOR

66%/21%/13%54%/26%/20%+12.0

SEN-IRA

73%/19%/8%66%/21%/13%+6.5

FRA-IRA

93%/6%/1%85%/11%/4%+8.1

NOR-SEN

39%/29%/32%47%/27%/26%-7.6

Group JArgentina · Austria · Algeria · Jordan→

ArgentinaWin Grp38%

AustriaWin Grp18%

AlgeriaWin Grp16%

JordanWin Grp4%

MatchSim H/D/AKalshiEdge

ARG-AUS

68%/21%/11%59%/25%/16%+8.6

ALG-JOR

48%/31%/21%60%/24%/17%-11.6

ARG-ALG

74%/18%/8%71%/20%/10%+3.6

AUS-JOR

57%/27%/16%74%/17%/9%-17.0

ARG-JOR

85%/12%/3%80%/14%/7%+5.6

ALG-AUS

27%/31%/42%30%/32%/38%-2.9

Group KPortugal · Colombia · Uzbekistan · DR Congo→

PortugalWin Grp38%

ColombiaWin Grp34%

UzbekistanWin Grp4%

DR CongoWin Grp4%

MatchSim H/D/AKalshiEdge

POR-COL

50%/28%/23%44%/28%/28%+5.9

UZB-DR

35%/31%/35%30%/28%/41%+4.3

POR-UZB

83%/13%/4%80%/14%/6%+3.6

COL-DR

73%/19%/9%67%/22%/11%+5.6

POR-DR

84%/12%/4%77%/16%/8%+7.4

COL-UZB

71%/20%/9%70%/20%/10%+1.3

Group LEngland · Croatia · Ghana · Panama→

EnglandWin Grp39%

CroatiaWin Grp34%

GhanaWin Grp5%

PanamaWin Grp3%

MatchSim H/D/AKalshiEdge

ENG-CRO

60%/25%/16%56%/25%/20%+3.8

GHA-PAN

41%/30%/29%46%/28%/27%-5.1

ENG-GHA

86%/11%/4%73%/17%/10%+12.3

CRO-PAN

69%/21%/10%65%/23%/12%+3.9

ENG-PAN

89%/9%/2%76%/15%/9%+13.3

CRO-GHA

65%/22%/12%57%/25%/18%+8.3

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