Haiti
FIFA World Cup 2026 — Betting Profile
Playing Style
Haiti are making their second World Cup appearance (first was 1974) after winning the CONCACAF qualification playoff. Coach Sebastien Migne has installed a defensive 4-5-1 that is hard to break down but offers little going forward. Jean-Ricner Bellegarde (Wolves) is the best player in Haitian football history — a technically gifted box-to-box midfielder who makes Oliver Glasner's Eagles tick. Duckens Nazon provides the pace threat on the counter. Group C with Brazil, Morocco, and Scotland is brutal — Haiti's realistic target is avoiding historic embarrassments and possibly stealing a point off Scotland. Totals: UNDER — Migne teams sit deep and make games ugly.
Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jean-Ricner Bellegarde | 14 |
| Duckens Nazon | 9 |
| Frantzdy Pierrot | 8 |
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde — Wolves. Born in Guadeloupe, Haiti international by choice. Premier League regular whose range of passing, press-resistance, and late runs into the box make him the only world-class player Haiti have. This is his breakout World Cup stage.
Duckens Nazon — PAOK (Greece). Mobile striker/winger who plays in behind. Pace is his weapon — given space he can punish, but he struggles against organized high lines.
Frantzdy Pierrot — AEK Larnaca. Physical target striker who leads the line — Haiti's main aerial outlet and a genuine goal threat at set pieces.
Set Piece Roles
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde (delivery) / Frantzdy Pierrot, Ricardo Adé (aerial targets)
Tactical Breakdown
Haiti are in survival mode in Group C. Brazil and Morocco are genuine title threats. Scotland are a fully professional European side. Migne will park the bus, give Bellegarde freedom to create, and hope for one set piece moment. The realistic scenario: three losses, 0 points, minimum 2-5 goals conceded total. The market overestimates how often massive underdogs score at World Cups. Haiti will keep it below 2 goals per game through sheer defensive effort. Bellegarde v Brazil is the matchup to watch — a Premier League midfielder on the biggest stage. MD1 RESULT (Jun 13, vs Scotland, 0-1 loss): competitive but blank on their World Cup return, beaten by a single deflected McGinn strike. Defended well enough to keep it to one; the issue was creating clear chances. Must find goals to stay alive in the group.
Shot Creators & Assisters
Wolves. The game runs entirely through him. His ability to receive under pressure and find dangerous passes is Premier League quality placed in a team 40 levels below him. Box-to-box dynamo who scores from late runs.
PAOK. Lightning pace merchant who pins defenders back on the counter. Haiti's primary outlet on transitions. Give him a channel and he creates danger.
Reliable and hardworking. One of the better defensively-disciplined fullbacks in CONCACAF. Keeps Haiti organized on that side.
Set Piece Aerial Targets
Physical centre back, 6'2". Haiti's biggest body at set pieces. Targeted on corners and direct free kicks.
Less of an aerial threat but attacks short corners and flick-ons. Movement creates confusion in the box.
10K Simulation Projections
10,000-iteration Monte Carlo. Tournament-wide simulation reads market priors, then plays the bracket out from group stage through the final, with penalty shootout variance baked in.
Champion
0.0%
0
Reach Final
0.0%
0
Reach SF
0.0%
0
Reach QF
0.0%
0
Reach R16
0.0%
0
Advance from Group
0.0%
0
Sim vs Market — Champion
Sim
0.0%
Market (Polymarket)
1¢
Edge
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Group C Standings
Group C standings — live, updated after each completed match.
| Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 7 |
| Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Match Schedule
All three of Haiti’s group-stage matches. Click any row for the full match prediction, sim probabilities, and live Kalshi pricing.
Apply the Edge — PMP Tools
Use these tools to size your Haiti positions and find hidden value.
10,000 Simulations
See Haiti's full simulation data — win probability, advancement odds, and round-by-round projections — in our Pro analysis.
Market Edges — Pro
These edges are based on public data, odds analysis, and historical base rates. Do your own research. Past performance ≠ future results.
Under 2.5 goals Haiti vs Scotland. Scotland trends under, Haiti sits deep. Neither team will run up the score. Competitive physical game stays below 3 goals.
💡 Scotland: 4 of 6 EURO 2024 qualifying games went under 2.5 against comparable opposition. Haiti will not open up.
Haiti to not concede 4+ goals in any single group game. Migne's defense is genuinely organized. They will not be the punching bag that some weaker Asian/OFC teams are.
💡 CONCACAF competition has raised Haiti's defensive standard. They are organized and hard to break down even against quality opposition.
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde scored in 90+ minutes prop at +350 or better. He scores late from runs — Wolves style is late arrivals into the box. Haiti will be defending all game and he arrives last.
💡 Bellegarde scored 5 goals for Wolves in 25/26, mostly second half. Haiti will be defending deep and he will run late.
Edges updated as odds and squad news change. Check back closer to kickoff for final positioning.
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