Why Gas Will Top $4.12 a Gallon This Week (Prophecy Pick: Kalshi & Polymarket)
April 6, 2026 · 4:03 · The 7 Oracles
What’s in this video
The 7 Oracles break down their Prophecy Pick of the Day on a market asking whether gas prices will top $4.12 a gallon this week, currently priced at 46% yes. They argue this is mispriced given Trump's shifting rhetoric on the war, Iran shooting down multiple planes, and the Strait of Hormuz chokepoint remaining a flashpoint. The hosts explain why they think oil and gas prices are becoming detached from Trump's public statements about ending the conflict.
Key points
- The featured market asks if gas will exceed $4.12 a gallon this week, priced at 46% yes, offering about 2.1 times your money on a yes position.
- Trump has gone back and forth between talk of ending the war and sending more troops, and the hosts say oil prices aren't tracking his statements as closely anymore.
- Multiple planes have been shot down by Iran over the past week, signaling the conflict isn't winding down regardless of rhetoric.
- The Strait of Hormuz, under Iranian control, is described as the critical chokepoint for oil prices, with Iran allegedly using it as a toll road.
- Trump reportedly suggested Europe and other oil-dependent nations should handle reopening the strait themselves rather than the U.S. taking that on.
- The hosts conclude these factors support taking the yes side on gas prices rising before the market shifts.
Full transcript
[music] What up, traders? [music] You know what it is. It is time to continue to build your portfolio with another profitable prophecy from the Seven Oracles. This is the pick of the day from the Seven Oracles, helping you see into the future. And do not forget, you got to go on over to predictionmarketspicks.com. Besides our pick of the day, you could sign up for the free newsletter. You could subscribe and go pro and get access to all sorts of other tools that'll truly help you profit on these prediction markets. But let's get into it. Today we look at gas [music] prices. And there is a market out there with gas prices going above $412 a gallon this [music] week. And it's only at 46%. Yes. to go over that number. I say yes, get it now. And you could do that at about 2.1 times your money. Let's get into it. Listen, we have seen the price of oil and the price of gas kind of fluctuate based on what President Trump has said throughout this war. However, [music] there have been a couple of things over the last week which would suggest that he's kind of losing control of the narrative or the ability to kind of have it eb or flow based just on what he says. Like for example, he's been talking about ending the war, but he's also talking about bringing more troops out there. He's going back and forth and it's almost like the markets and the price of oil isn't listening to him [music] as much anymore. Also, as you know, over the last week, we have had multiple planes shot down by Iran. So whether we want to get out of it or not, guess what? The enemy has a vote and it doesn't look like they are giving up on this anytime soon. And here's the other piece. The critical part of this is the straight of Harmoose which is under Iranian control. And one of the last things that [music] President Trump said is that it's possible for him to want to get out of the war without [music] having a resolution to the idea that the straight of Horus is closed [music] or that the Iranians are using this now as a toll road. His last comments were kind of like have Europe and the other countries who get most of their oil through the trade of hormuse to figure it out on their own to kind of get bravery or courage and deal with it themselves. Here's the thing. It looks like our appetite to go through the rigors that would have it be to [music] actually reopen the straight the same way it was before the war started is certainly not at anymore in Trump's plan. Right. And that the straight of harmoose is what really is the critical lynch pin around these oil prices. Anyway, so there's so many reasons to believe that the price of gas, the price of oil, and even the straight of Harm are sort of detached from what our president is starting to think about around how to potentially end this conflict. And he's vacasillating back and forth on whether or not we will [music] end this conflict, when we might end this conflict. and the planes being shot down certainly do not suggest an end to [music] this conflict. I say at 46% for this market for gas prices to continue to go up at the level of $412 and you can bet [music] it at a lot of different levels. But I think this is nice cuz you can get over two times your money [music] and these prices are going to continue to spike. The oracle has spoken. Go and get it now before [music] the market changes. And if you want all sorts of other great content, great tools, whether [music] it be podcasts, whether it be picks of the day, whether it be videos, whether it be articles, or whether it be tools to help you independently profit [music] from these prediction markets, you got to go on over and get down with the seven oracles at predictionmarketspicks.com. We help you see into the future. You might as well profit off it.
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