NFL Week 8 Best Investments Fade The Field Ep. 21
October 29, 2026 · 49:05 · Fade the Field · Coach Gene Clemons
What’s in this video
Coach Gene Clemons and Chris James break down NFL Week 8 matchups on Fade the Field, going through games and highlighting where they see value on prediction markets. They discuss team trends and matchup factors shaping their positions for the week, running through the slate quarter by quarter with some extra discussion thrown in.
Key points
- Coach Gene Clemons and Chris James cover NFL Week 8 matchups in detail.
- The hosts identify specific contracts they view as strong value for the week.
- Discussion includes team trends and matchup factors influencing their positions.
- The format moves through the slate in sections, with additional bonus analysis included.
Full transcript
Heat. Heat. [music] [music] Ladies and gentlemen, welcome back to another edition of Fade the Field. I am Coach Jean Clemens, joined by my guy Chris James at CJ Florida 9. CJ, how you doing, man? Doing well. I'm dressed up, getting ready for Halloween with my little uh, you know, jacko'lantern outfit on. [laughter] Hey, listen. I wasn't even gonna say nothing. I just I was going to let you live on the on the orange with the dark dark on the outside, you know, getting your getting your Reese's peanut butter cup on right now. Had to do it. I'm okay with it. No, no, it's it's it's all good. I love I love um this time of year. Like to me this gets into the the time I like I mean I still like being warm. So like it's it's a weird like dichotomy because I I'm you know spent a lot of time in the south in my life and so I'm used to being warm but this is where you get like that cool breeze and everything coming but then just the the vibes I feel like just get better when it's not like so incredibly hot outside. So I I've always enjoyed it. Um, and and definitely enjoy Halloween. If for all the people that don't know, like listen, hey, come come down to Tampa one Halloween. Call us up and and and we'll get you right. We'll we'll make sure you have a a what what is it? We'll have a you'll have a a gay old time. You know what I'm saying? Sorry, I was having flashbacks. My bad. Sorry about that. It's all right. You know, I I you know, this time of year this time of year. Hey, listen. We try to we're trying to get you to invest in some good stuff. The NFL has been f fantastic to start the year. We are going into week eight. Like it's crazy. We're already in week eight. It's almost already over with, right? It's just the moment you do all of this just to start and then the moment it starts, it's just it's just gone, right? Like it just keeps going. But it's been a phenomenal um you know, first seven weeks of the season. Um a and and even just in the last couple of days like moves that are being made. It it's do you think do you think we're entering the the phase of NFL football where teams are going to start treating the trade deadline like baseball treats or baseball used to heavily treat the the trade deadline. Hey, we're not going to win it. Let's get rid of some of these these big contracts. Let's dump salary. Um, let's collect assets and then try to figure out how to make another run at it next year. Absolutely. I honestly this sounds weird to tie it in, but this is basically turning into fantasy football. You're seeing teams that are leveraging teams that are behind the sticks, right? Oh my goodness, we we have a chance to win. This team over here is in a tank show situation. They're going to sell off. They're going to get some valuation for next year. you're going to see it be more aggressive because it feels more attainable to go get a championship. And this year might be special just because people have a good feeling about the 2027 class. So see a lot of moves being made, but I do think you'll see those good teams try to siphon off talent from the underperforming teams moving forward. Yeah, I think it's I think it's interesting because why in a in a in a league built on parody, right, where you can go from worst to first with an off season, why would you continue to like build a team that is clearly not ready to win a championship right now? Why not dump the assets that are the albatross around your neck, take that immediate cap hit, and then in two years, maybe even a year, if you if you maneuver right, you could be right back to trying to get to a championship. Like, not just, oh, we made the playoffs. I I mean, I know the answer, right? I know the easy answers. People trying to keep their jobs, right? But if we if we change the dynamic of what we're looking at doing, if I'm sitting around here and I'm just a team good enough to make the playoffs, shouldn't I just be trying to do something different because good enough to make the playoffs isn't going to eventually I'm going to get fired, right? Eventually I'm going to get fired. So why not do something different to shake it up or just say, "Hey, it ain't working. Let's hit the reset button. So, there's a line from a rapper whose music I used to enjoy and most importantly you, the customer, is to sell to the fans. Whether it's to sell we got draft picks, we got the mystery box over here, they're still involved or to sell we made this big time move before the trade deadline. Even if neither situation works out, we can always sell that to the fan and they'll keep buying it every year. That's true. Let's get into our first our our first um investment of the day. Our our best favorite our best favorite of the day. All right, so we're getting into quarter one. Our best favorite of the day. CJ, um what is your best favorite of the day and why is it not the Jaguars at home? [laughter] My best favorite of the day is going to go in a different direction. See, there's nuvo money and there's old money. And there's a team that, you know, basically won the lottery to some extent. So, you expect that money to go quicker than the wealthy team that's used to it. I mean, the Miami Dolphins just got their first victory on the season coming out of their buy. They're feeling good about their plan of action. And then you got an angry team with the New England Patriots sitting there who also had three extra days and just watched you get a W. They're only seven-point favorites, at least they were yesterday. That's probably going to escalate. Give me the Patriots to win by double digits because Miami will feel good about themselves and they'll learn a lot about the scenario that's in front of them with a Patriots team that's truly angry with a coach like Mike Vabel. I I I like it. Um the the Patriots who started off really shaky, right? Um started off really shaky. Um people were concerned that their possibility the possibility was oh well last season was fool's gold, right? Last season wasn't really um what we what we thought like this wasn't going to be that team that was going to be set up almost like the previous regime. not previous regime, but the previous dynasty was where every year you were going to have to hear from him. Like the quarterback was struggling. Um your your best receiver you just traded for was hurt and and things seemed a little disheveled and then all of a sudden Drake May remembered how to play football and then that was that, right? Like it was pretty much that simple. Drake May remembered that he was better at football and started playing better at football and they started winning games. I'm not mad at that as a as a favorite at all. Um, interesting that it's only seven points and I think you got to give Miami credit from from this standpoint. All year they've been setting the line for Miami to be like Miami is going to get blown out and and every week Miami has just been like no we're not as bad as you think we are. We're just not good enough to win, right? Until they meet another team that's closer to them and then they can win. And so I think that's that's interesting to see. Um New England to win by six and a half points is trading at 54% on Poly Market. And before I do anything more, make sure um you go over to Poly Market, right, and sign up for an account and hit that promo code PMP. After you pay, after you invert your invest your first $10, it's going to give you 25 free dollars. So, go put $10 on Yes. on on the Patriots to win and then go and take your free $25 and put it on the Jaguars over the Colts because that is my best favorite of the week. I cannot even believe as we sit here right now, CJ. Like right this instant, the Jaguars are only 10point favorites over a team that is currently dumping all of their talent, right? They're dumping all of their talent. So, um, the Jaguars, the Jaguars to win by over nine and a half points right now trading at 54%. I'm I think this is an I think this is a blowout, right? I think if you wanted to take it at 13 a.5 um at 41%. That's where I'm looking at the heavy investment. I like to be a little bit more dangerous. I just don't see how this Colts team competes because not only is Daniel Jones back to being what Daniel Jones really is, which is bad at bad at football, right? Not only is it that, but then on top of that, you have an offense where the receiving weapons are are injured. The running back is just waiting for his number to get called cuz he's got to think, I'm the next to go if we're shedding all of this valuable asset. You fired the general manager. So, whatever the direction of this team was, CJ, it's gone. It's going to be a new direction next year, right? So, you've got an agent running back who's looking like, "Hey, I can still help somebody win a championship or or or make a a long run, and I'm still good enough to do that right now. I'm valuable. When am I going to get gone?" They got rid of his his best offensive lineman. They got rid of a a future Hall of Famer. I don't know why you do that, by the way. I don't know why you get rid of the future Hall of Famer. That doesn't make any sense to me. Um especially at offensive line because they can play so long. It doesn't like he could come in on the rebuild and be here when you get it popping again. I digress. But if you get rid of him, what are you gonna do? Just run your running back into the ground back there now that he has a lesser offensive. This thing is a mess. They got rid of the face of their the face of their team on defense last year. They traded him away. He's in he's in he's in Green Bay wrecking shop. He I think he was hurt last week, but still really good. Zier Franklin. You get rid of your best linebacker, your your best quarterback that you traded a bunch of first round picks for has like been on the field and off the field and hasn't really been that great when he's on the field. It's a mess. Meanwhile, the Jaguars are doing this. That's all with a rocket with a rocket ship acne rocket ship strapped to their back. They're just doing that. I like this to be a blowout. Um, go ahead and take that free $25 that you're going to get from Poly Market when you in invest your first $10 and make sure you use that promo code PMP or else you won't get it. So, do that. Definitely follow that advice. Go get that free money. We're all about making you money, so why not get some free money, right? Here's my only push back on it because I do think the Jaguars are going to win this game, but that spread escalating does make me a little leery. I don't think Jonathan Taylor's going anywhere because they still have to sell tickets through the rest of the season. You sell off a guy like Quinton Nelson because he can actually make you a return with no one really caring about him selling tickets cuz it's still a business and we know that sailor. You know what? I'm not even going to talk about her. We're just going to move forward with they're selling tickets for a reason. They're using Jonathan Taylor for that. As far as the rest of the whole landscape goes, the Jaguars have one thing that might keep them from actually winning a championship this year. Anton Harrison we thought just had a knee sprain. Turns out torn ACL out for the rest of the season. We know how Trevor Lawrence responds to pressure. Even going back to Clemson, when he gets hit, his base gets a little too wide and he tends to float passes and overthrow his receivers. I still think the Jaguars win this one. I still think they can cover the 10, but back door covers are annoying and they're real. And this is the type of situation where a back door cover can happen cuz Jonathan Taylor isn't giving up on the season. He could break one long if they actually let him play. That's how you know if they're keeping him or not. And with this whole thing, it'll play into something later that I want to discuss. But I do like the the position of taking advantage of this situation where maybe guys don't show up to work in this Sunday because they're still confused about what's going on with the selloff. So give me the Jaguars to cover that right now. Who knows who's next? That's the That's the thing. When you start fire selling like this, nobody knows who's next. It's happening in Indie. It's happening in Tennessee low key. Like when you start when you start selling off your best players, like the guys who are the faces of your of your organization, everybody's on the board. Everybody's on the board right now. And so here's the beautiful thing about this, and you you said something, um, CJ, and I liked it because it gave me a chance to see this because this is prediction markets. You don't have to wait for the goofy back door. You don't have to wait for it to happen. When you get up and and you and you think that you've you've made enough on your investment, go ahead and pull it out. Don't feel like you got to wait until the la until it finishes. Trust me, I have lost a lot of money going, "No, no, I want that extra $100 on my investment." That was this and and I end up losing several hundred dollars because I wanted it all. I was greedy. Don't let greed get in the way of you being able to make money on your investments. If you see it and it looks good and you're up to 70, 80, even 90%. Go ahead and just pull that out and and let bygones be bygones. You don't got to wait for the back door cover to kill you. So, I'm glad you brought that up because I think it's important for our investors to know that. Quarter two, let's go and check out what's going on over there. Order two, the best underdog to cover or win. I'm going to start this one because I think this one is um for me, I feel like this is a a no-brainer. Not because people think that um they will, but because everything about what they've been able to do this year tells me this ain't going to be as easy as people think it's going to be, right? And that's the Steelers Browns game. Like I everybody just keeps waiting on the Browns to be bad because they hate Deshun Watson. We don't got to we we ain't missing no words because they hate Deshaawn Watson and they don't want Deshaawn Watson to be successful. They attribute bad to the entire team. This team's not bad. They're five and two in a season where yeah, maybe things aren't as great as um it it normally is in that division because Lamar Jackson has been hurt, right? But Pittsburgh's in the same boat. They keep getting people hurt. They keep having to turn to new people. Like I could easily see this one being a rock fight, right? Where where you have a guy make a play here, a play there to get them to get them over the hump. I'm not saying the Browns outright win this. I don't know. I just know that at um three and a half points, I like it and I want to take it. Especially with the hook on it, right? like when you when you throw that hook on it, I'm like a hook, you know, like get me involved in it. And so, um, I I I look at it from that standpoint with the hook on it and go, I I don't think the Steelers are as good as their 5-1 record or 5-2 record. I don't think the Browns are as good as their 5-2 record, but I think that the Browns are better than giving or or getting three and a half points. And and right now the no on Pittsburgh to win at three and a half points is trading at 52%. That looks pretty good to me. So, you want to know why I agree with you? Because I actually do think Pittsburgh wins this game and my score prediction put me on the wrong side of three and a half. So, I only put a confidence level of three out of 10, which is me telling you I think Cleveland's going to cover three and a half. It's just that my initial prediction of the Steelers by four played against it. So, I like them covering there. This is one of those situations in games where either team can win. No one's actually better than the other team. And in fact, the two best units both are on the defensive side of the ball. The Browns defense and the Steelers defense are better than the Browns offense and the Steelers offense. Both have talent, but it's the level of inconsistency that comes into play as the Browns learn something new and Aaron Rogers continues to just try to hold water on his end. I'm going to give you one where I think the team not only covers, but they went straight up because if we're keeping it a buck, even though this is a road game, I think this team is better and they tried to make themselves better on the defense side of the ball because that's where they needed help. Give me the Chicago Bears to go out to Seattle after having what was effectively a mini buy playing on a Thursday coming on a Monday and beating Seattle in Seattle. Seattle's feeling themselves after shutting out Patrick Mahomes and Kenneth Walker and Quiet Lee. You got Mr. Inevitable over there doing his thing coming in with Ben Johnson. Not my type of guy, but a heck of a coach. I think they went straight up. They cover the three easily. And the Bears show you who they are in this one. You know what? That would be so that would be a delicious cover, right? The Bears to win straight out is trading at 39%. Right? If um you want to take the three and a half points, it's still trading at 54%. So like you're still getting great value if you take the three and a half, right? But I mean, come on. 39% 2.5 on your on your on your investment if you like the Bears to win it. The Bears are riding high. The Bears um get one of the better um if not the best defensive lineman, interior defensive lineman there is in the game right now, right? Like, who cares about them picks as as the Rams so eloquently put it on a t-shirt. f them picks, right? Like I think that the Bears are poised to make a run. I still think they need one more. I think they need one more thing. I'd love to see them get another edge rusher in there. Maybe there's a Mack reunion in the future. They get that old thing back for one more run. I wouldn't be surprised if that happened, right? But as far as this game, I think this is a great place for Seattle to fall into the trap, right? They're at home. They're riding high off the hog. They they they made Kenneth they made they made it look like they did the right thing in getting rid of Kenneth Walker because not only did they shut him down in that game, but their running backs actually performed well. We all know that the truth is they didn't they didn't do well. bad bad choice, right? But for one day they feel like that. So now they go in, you know what I'm saying? Feeling good about themselves. It just feels trappy. It feels trappy. So I like that call. I I like the call um as a straight out win. I I really really love the getting the three and a half. Right. Give me that Give me that three with the hook and I'll take it all day. Let's go to our next Let's go to our next investment. Quarter three. Let's check it out. Quarter three is best over total. This, ladies and gentlemen, is the game that we think is going to go. It ain't even like this. These are the games that we think are just going to go straight up and and and with a with a with a bullet. So, what's your what's your best over total for this week? To be honest, I feel bad for the NFL betting markets and it's because if they set this any higher, it would tie records for an over total. You need conditions to be set properly for teams to go over. An a team that does not care about slowing things down. They want to push pace. They have younger head coaches. Check. Offensive geniuses, quote unquote, in the building. Check. Quarterbacks who are electric as all get out. Check. Running backs who are top of the league style running backs. Check. Explosiveness on the edges. Check. And defenses that can't solve the problem. I don't understand how 54 and a half is even on the board. Give me the over with the Bills hosting the Ravens. Feels like the easiest one on the entire season. Ladies and gentlemen, you we we probably have one of these like every week, right? Where where where CJ and I are both on the exact same thing. And I could not agree with you more. When I saw this total hit, I went, "Is Lamar Jackson playing?" And I'm going to I'm going to take it off. I'm going to take it off all of the known stuff, right? And I'm gonna go just to this. Lamar Jackson knows he's he's that dude. He knows it. He But he likes to remind you that he's a dude. And these are the games where he likes to remind you that he's a dude. The funny part is is Josh Allen thinks he's that dude as well. And so there is a like you remember in that Rams game at one point where Josh Allen just went no I just refuse to lose this game. Yeah. And I will do what he he turned into Robocop and just started like it was the like his runs didn't even look sexy. They were clumsy looking, goofy looking. 91 yards in the fourth quarter in overtime where Josh Allen refused to do any. He's like y'all don't y'all don't even know on the team. Just give me the ball. Just give me the ball. Give me the ball. Get out the way. Right. You know how you know how Lamar Jackson seems like at this point in his career, he's been trying to run less, like purposely trying to run less. Oh, let there be a lane this Sunday. Watch him scadaddle out of there. Right. But but again, these are the types of games because their defenses are just good enough to have somebody hang 34 on them. Like, and I know that sounds funny when I say that, but here's what I mean. These defenses are good enough that when they're rolling, they could get a snowball effect and shut you down, but they're not so good that they won't do some things out of hubris. like just because they think they're better than what they really are and they're going to get hit behind and when they look up it'll be the snowball effect the other way where oh my god like how how did Baltimore give up 34 points to this team? You know how you know how they're going to give it up to the Bills, right? You know how there was going to it's because they're going to allow like these dudes to run all over them and those mixed with the Baltimore passing game that is better than people think it is because they have more weapons. watch for Jacobe Lane to get his first touchdown this week by the way because Lamar really likes Jacobe Lane and he thinks he's an asset in the in the um in the red zone since you took his other red zone asset away in Isaiah likely. Right. I I don't see this thing staying under 60. I don't see this thing staying under 60. Um by the way, 54 and a half points is trading at 49%. just just for the record, you know. Yeah, you're welcome, ladies and gentlemen. Like, just go and take it. Put whatever number you want in. Um, but 54 and a half is trading um at 49%. I love that. For context, my prediction situation, my model has it at 61 combined points. So, that just gives you a little bit of so you understand. I was just about to say I like I like I like it over 60 and a half at 34%. If you want to if you want to get jiggy with it, that's where you're going to get jiggy with it. Again, this is this is our best over total of the week. You want to get in on it. We have rarely ever been wrong on this over total. Like the one thing that we lock in is when he says he likes it and I say I like it, that is hitting. So, go ahead and get it in. He's one of the best in the business at at what he does and my gut usually usually um tells me right when it comes to these totals. Um so, go and check it out. Let's go to fourth quarter, our best under totals because you know, utility Best under total of the week. Um, what do you have for your best under total of the week? We actually discussed this game earlier and we talked about it because there are injuries, there are fire sales, and there are two differing personalities. What do I mean? Liam Con is all about his let's go score some points, but he'd rather run the ball and get a W and get the heck out of there even though it's a home game. Look on the other side, the Colts, they're willing to try anything, but their quarterback's not. 46 and a half was the overunder and the Colts at the Jaguars, I don't understand at all. There is a scenario where the Jaguars blow them out by 20 and it's still under 30 total points. There is no situation I can personally see with everything that's happened where I can see the Colts putting up over 20 points. The Jaguars don't even have to put up 25. Give me the under feels super safe under 46 and a half. And you can probably tease that down to 40 and a half. of 46 and a half in the Hogwarts game. Um, that is trading at under 46 and a Where are we at? Okay, cool. Under 46 and a half is trading at 50%. Right. So, good good value, right? One to one on your one to one on your money. get your investment in like you can be good. I don't have a problem with that. I think again tell me what it is at 40 and a half. Of course I can. This is where I'm not going to say I'm rubber stamping guaranteeing but I feel comfortable telling you take it under 40 and a half. Okay. So 40 and a half no on 40 and a half is trading on Poly Market. Again, by the way, go over there, sign up, use that promo code PMP, invest that first 10 in the 46 and then go back and put the 25 on this 40 and a half on the under that you're going to get when you make that first investment of 10 using promo code PMP. Go over there and do that right now. Um, under or no on 40 and a half points is trading at 34%, my friend. And 34% is significant when you're talking about what you can get. You're talking about two and a half on your on your money. That's the type of investment you going you want to get in. He's telling you, "Hey man, I don't see it coming." I agree with you by the way. I think this could easily like without even any problem be like a 31 to3 game. like easy like a blowout cuz I think it's going to be a blowout but a blowout where they don't do anything because again the Colts and the fire cell and the quarterback. When do we see when do we see Richardson? Do you think they're afraid to to put Richardson out there because they're afraid he might actually show like improvement and then they're going to be like, "Well, why did y'all pay Daniel Jones all this money?" So, I think it's twofold. I would love to personally see Anthony Richardson and see him dig himself out of a hole that has been created by everyone involved. The team mistreated it the situation when he first came in the league. Richardson has done his own stuff as well from reports. I think Riley Leonard is the next quarterback you see if Daniel Jones is pulled and Anthony Richardson gets dealt in the off season to a buyer at that situation because why why would you not want to show like why would you not want to showcase the talent though if you're planning on getting rid of so the talent itself has already been showcased but what has also been showcased is his propensity early in his career for injury So, they don't want to injure this great good that they could end up selling off just for some some nonsense. And and that's my only thought process on it cuz we can sit here. We know Anthony Rich is the most talented player on that team at the quarterback position. It's not close, but they know that this can be a season where they can go and get some things moving forward, get Daniel Jones off the books. Riley Leonard can take the position. He's going to outplay what Daniel Jones has put out there. That's the next quarterback I see up if they go to the Cup. Well, I I just want to let Colts fans know that if you go into a season with Riley Leonard as your quarterback, um don't buy the tickets. Just Just boycott the team. Like I it it it's no disc. No. No. Never mind. Let me take that back. It's a disc to Riley Leonard. It is because if you think Anthony Richardson was bad at quarterback, did you not watch when Riley Leonard got his chance to to play? Like, we good. I don't I don't really want to see that. I'm sorry. Because of their situation with their picks. Would you like to know who I think their 2027 starting quarterback is? Oh, JJ McCarthy. I knew you were going to say JJ McCarthy. It's the NFL. Why? I knew it. But I knew we watched the same movie every year. Isn't JJ It only takes one game for a guy to get a hundred million dollar contract when you're of a certain ilk. I just don't So he won't get that cracking contract. He'll get a two-year, but he'll still get a contract to be a starting quarterback in the NFL. If it's If it's a two, it's got to be a twoyear. No, not not because he's young. If it's a two-year, it's going to be like 50 something, $60 million deal. It's going to be a three-year deal, but he's not going to get $100 million. I think it's going to be two with money locked up in the first two years. So, you think it's going to be like a three-year like 87 million with like 60 million of it guaranteed and so they can get out of it on the back end of it if it doesn't work. And if it does work, yeah, that's when he gets his bag. Then then they come back year two and extend them and give them the big. That's crazy. I don't You know what? Now you just [laughter] You just made me sad and sick to my stomach all at the same time thinking about JJ McCarthy. I You know what? I'm not even going to go into it. You know, it's cool. Um you know, for me, I'm looking at totals and and and I look at this I look at this total of this Browns Pittsburgh Steelers game. I know I came to you and I told you I thought the Browns had a great chance of of winning this game. I don't quite understand like why they think these two teams might even score. And and and you can still you can see it like it's it's been at 39 and a half which tells you they don't think there's going to be a lot of scoring in this game. Maybe it's because, you know, when they played earlier in the year, they scored 51 points. But to me, that's the that's the straw man, right? That's the hey P. They scored 51 points. They the 39 and a half is screaming for you to take the over. The 39 and a half is, oo, please take this over. Like, we have it at this. Anytime they go under 40, they're screaming for you to take the over. By the way, I don't know if y'all not this or not, but like they're screaming for you to do it because you have proof that they can score more than that. But that's on the best of day. [laughter] That's when that's when they have all their weapons. That's when everything is cracking with with with right now with Deshun Watson. It's a it's a coin flip whether he's going to be good or bad. And it's not even game to game. It's almost playtoplay, right? He does some there there's a play like oh snap that's that's the Deshun Watson that everybody wanted and people were like giving up like their their entire future to have on their team and then the next play they'll be like uh that's the no uh-uh. So I see that I see that playing out. It's going to be a dink and dunk city over there in in Pittsburgh because that's where it always is. So the the idea is going to be to stop Jaylen Warren because Jaylen Warren is their explosive element. If you can get him to go back to being two platoon Jaylen Warren, not a lot of scoring. If he becomes like bellcow back Jaylen Warren, they're going to put points up. Do I think it's going to be a a a 24-7 game? No. I don't I don't see 2417. I see 2117. I see I see 17-4. I see 17 to 10. I don't see three. I don't see four I don't see six touchdowns being scored between these two teams, right? And if I don't see six touchdowns being scored, how are they getting past 39 points? Like I don't I I just don't think they kick that many field goals, you know. Yeah. So, the position where you stand is a good one for making money, especially in the non futures market where you can't take money out because again, sports books, their whole goal is 50/50 fall. They take that that vic, right? Yep. VI. In this situation, you're going to get a lot of people going with the over for all the things you just explained. So, you're taking the contrarian point of view. I will quietly defend this. One of my favorite people in the NFL. I've told you the coaches who I don't really get down with. I love me some Tai Mon. I I go have a beverage with Todd Mon. And I think he wants to prove some points cuz he's playing with house money now. They're five and two. Even if they go five and 12, they weren't expected to even win that many games. He's going to try to push pace with his offense. He's got those young talented receivers out there. And I think they forced the Steelers to try to come out of their offensive shell. That's where I can see the overlever in this one. But if they play the right way, basically those two defenses being better than the offensive units at this stage, the under should be easy in this one. So I like the contrarian play there. If this is trending in the first half towards what Gan is telling you, take your money out. Take your money out because it can explode the second half. I'd say leave your money in if it's trading the opposite way because that's how you recoup anything. You might as well lose it all if they're going fast pace early because then they start to slow it down and say, "Let's try to get the W." Yeah. No, I I agree. I think I think there's a chance in the second half that if you if it's rolling the way you think it should be rolling, you might want to start looking for the exit, you know, to get out with your get out. like don't be afraid to set a a an automatic an automatic pull out by the way which I think is something that we don't talk a lot about. Maybe we'll have Benny um come on um and do a and do a you know um a seven oracles university and and kind of just teach people how to how to go about setting that setting that automatic take your take your money out of a play when it gets to this number. And so I definitely need to be start doing that a little bit more when I do my combos. Um, and make sure you go over and check out our combo builder over at the sevenoracles.com. Go over there, sevenoracles.com. You can still put in promo code NFL26. Get 26% off your first month subscription. Go over there and then while you're there, hit that little They're going to tell you, "Hey, you should sign up to Poly Market." Go over to Poly Market. Sign up. Use that promo code PMP. Yes, I'm a PMP. I know. I don't know what you heard about me, but you can't get a Never mind. You know what? Go over there, put in promo code PMP, invest your first $10. As soon as you hit, as soon as you swipe up, if you're on your phone, and it tells you that that $10 has been invested, you're going to see in your account $25. You can't just pull it out. You got to play it, right? But correct, you're gonna want to play it because that's how you're going to start building that wealth. And and slowly but surely, don't try to don't try to get something for nothing. Take a play. You know what I'm saying? Get get one to one. Turn 25 into 50. Turn 50 into 100. And before you know it, in not a lot of time, you're going to have a you're going to have a portfolio that is quite substantial. And that's when you can really start making runs at them. I like to hear it. Yeah. Let's Let's go to our last one. Let's go to overtime and see what overtime has for us. Overtime is your best prop play. Now, obviously, we're we're here on Thursday. Sometimes we don't get all of the props, right? As that, but Thursday is the day that the props are are populating, so we get a chance to start seeing um the things that are coming out on there. What is yours so far? What is your best prop of the week? So, in my TV spot with Pix 11, one of my must starts in fantasy football ties into this prop. You know, there's a guy who's been a great representative for a Jets organization over the last half decade. He's kept his cool. He's been very professional. And we saw a clip of him quote unquote losing his cool. I think that they understand what they have in front of him. One of the 15 best receivers in the NFL. Garrett Wilson is at 63, I think, on his receiving yards total. If you hit it at 70 plus, I think it's, you know, two times your money, something like that. But you can actually do a little ladder on this. And I think he actually goes over 100 this week in this game against the Raiders, a Raiders defense that is not defending the pass well. And they make sure to make Garrett Wilson feel like he's a part of this. I don't think Gino will have a problem with it cuz he wants to get back at the Raiders, too. Yeah. Squeaky wheel game, right? Squeaky wheel game for Garrett Wilson. Um, love to see it. A lot of people are like, "Yeah, you know, why is he I always I I I tend to I tend to get a little bit upset at first with people when they start doing all of the the chirping in the public. Um, but these people are human, right? They have human they they're they're human emotions. They got a lot going on. And sometimes they just they just need to let it out. And whether I agree with how they let it out or not, that's not for me to say. Um 60 over 60 yards is trading at 57%. Over 70 yards at 46%. Over 80 yards at 36% over 90 yards at 28%. So, if you think that Garrett Wilson is going to go over a hundred, there is a beautiful ladder for you to take right there. Or you can just put your investment on Garrett Wilson to go over 90, right? Like, and and just play it from there. But it's a way for you to kind of, you know, stack stack your bets, make sure stack your stack your investments, make sure that you come away with something. Um, and by the way, I like it because again, Squeaky Will Game and Gino Smith wants to prove that, hey, y'all y'all y'all tried to scape scapegoat me for what happened last year, but like we all know I'm still out. By the way, low-key balling, low-key balling again. People keep on trying to diss Gino Smith and Gino Smith just keeps being one of the most accurate and poised quarterbacks since he's had an actual opportunity to play the position. Um, obviously I could tell you Josh Allen rushing touchdown anytime touchdown, right? Because it it's almost inevitable. It's like Yeah. Yeah. Right. It's it's almost inevitable. There's a couple what I would what I would call gimmies or layups in this game with the Ravens and the Bills. And the first one is Lamar Jackson for 20 plus rushing yards. That's trading at 65%. Like he's going to run this ball. Like number one, the Bills pass rush is is not a bad pass rush. like they have some guys and and again when when when Lamar Jackson has the opportunity to show his skill, he he's going to show his skill. Um but the guy who really is going to benefit from Lamar Jackson being back is Derk Henry. Derk Henry has been been struggling to put together consistency in the running game because Lamar Jackson's not there. And with all due respect to, you know, to Snoop Huntley, he's just not the same threat that Lamar Jackson is. We'll take our chances with Tyler Huntley running the ball then than you know Derk Henry. But you're not going to do that to Lamar. You're not going to be like, "Oh, forget this." So, you're going to you're going to put somebody out there to make sure that Lamar is is not just running the ball. And when you do, that's all the room that Derrick Henry needs to get up out of there. Um, over 70 yards is trading at 63%. Over 80 yards at 51%. Over 90 yards at 42%. I like all three. I think this is a Derk Henry back to the 100redyard. Um Derrick Henry, the king that we know him to be. Um I I'll take the I'll take the easy money with the 70 yards. I'll I'll stack that with a Lamar Jackson, right? It might be a combo I'm into, then put a anytime touchdown with Josh Allen on it. Now we're really getting crazy around here. So, um definitely some ways to do that and take advantage of it. Make sure that you keep um keep an eye on the props market as props continue to populate throughout the weekend. These won't be all of them and they will change. So, what you get it at right now won't be what you get it at on Sunday. So, if you like some of the plays that we've told you about, you want to go ahead and lock those plays in right now. Don't wait until the end. Don't wait until Sunday. Like, that's something that a lot of investors need to learn. Stop waiting until the actual event to invest. The way to do it is to get in when the when the lines are dropping because that's the most pure that's the purest line you're going to get. Then once the once the line starts moving because people are for it or against it, if you like where it's going, double down on your investment. So if if you say, "Hey, I like I like Lamar Jackson to get 20 points, I mean to get 20 rushing yards and it's trading at 60 something percent." And then a lot of people are saying, "No, he's not going to run because of his high ankle sprain." And all of a sudden you look up and it's 53%. Put more on it the same way you would if you like Kodak and Kodak goes down in value and you're like, "Oh, I can get Kodak for a discount." Yeah, I'll buy more shares of Kodak. That's how you do this thing. Treat it just like you would treat it if you were a trader in the market and you're going to be able to watch your investments continue to appreciate. Um CJ, tell them where they can find you at the rest of the week. You can find me on X. My handle is at CJ Florida9. That's CJ the entire state of Florida spelled out in the number nine. I think it's on the screen. You can also find me on Chopping It Up with CJ. Wherever you get your favorite podcast, Spotify, Apple Pod, podcast player, subscribe, give me some stars if you feel like I'm decent at it. And it's also on YouTube. The YouTube channel is Chopping It Up WCJ podcast. And finally, if you're in the New York tri-state area, you can find me on Pix 11 on their NY Blitz Sports Show doing the fantasy focus weekly and I'll try to get you some W's in your fantasy leagues. Absolutely. You can follow me any everywhere, Jean Clemens. Go over to the7oracles.com, hit that subscribe button, subscribe to the seven oracles, use that promo code NFL26. Then you're going to see that Poly Market thing floating around in there. Go on over there, get you a Poly Market account. Use promo code PMP. After you invest that first $10, you're going to get $25 free. You're not going to want to miss out on that. You can get that all through the Seven Oracles. for my guy CJ. I'm Coach Jean Clemens. We'll see you guys next time.
More from Fade the Field
19:28NFL Week 5 Best Investments: Favorites, Underdogs, Overs, Unders, and Props!Oct 8, 2026
4:20Kalshi NFL Odds Explained: How to Use the 7 Oracles NFL Prediction ToolsOct 3, 2026
41:41NFL Week 4 Picks: Derrick Henry TD Ladder, Chiefs-Raiders, Falcons-Saints | Fade The Field Ep. 19Oct 1, 2026
35:52Best NFL Week 3 Favorites, Underdogs, Overs, Unders, and Props: Fade the Field Ep 18Sep 24, 2026
47:00NFL Week 2 Odds & Predictions: Early-Week Value on Kalshi | Fade The Field Ep. 17Sep 15, 2026
55:162026 NFL Futures Board: Win Totals, Division Winners & MVP Odds | Fade The Field Ep. 16Sep 8, 2026More on NFL
48:56Midterm election odds, NFL and NBA predictions, and more!Oct 28, 2026
6:18NFL Props: Ashton Jeanty vs Mike Washington for Rushing Yards | 7 OracleOct 23, 2026
41:46NFL Week 7 Predictions, Midterm Elections Update, and More LIVEOct 21, 2026
9:41How to Trade NFL Receiving Yards Props on Kalshi | Prediction Market AcademyOct 17, 2026
4:36Jaguars vs. Texans: Find the Edge on Kalshi! 🏈 | 7 Oracles NFL Prediction Market AnalysisOct 16, 2026
45:31NFL Week 6 Prediction Markets Picks: Saints vs Giants, Cowboys-Packers Over | Fade The Field Ep. 20Oct 15, 2026Get The 7 Oracles daily predictions newsletter — free
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.