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This Parlay Looked Like a LOCK… Until Our Combo Edge Tool Exposed the Problem! | The 7 Oracles Tools

October 31, 2026 · 10:15 · Tool Demos

What’s in this video

The Seven Oracles team tests their Combo Edge Builder tool on a three-leg NFL combo involving the Bengals, Jaguars, and Rams. They compare the market-implied hit rate against the tool's estimated hit rate to see if the combined position actually offers value, then explore an alternative structure using adjusted spreads and a moneyline leg.

Key points

Full transcript

Right. So, I put them all together in a combo and I saw that my $100, if I was taking those three chalky parlays as a parlay, that was going to put in $100, it was only going to get me 197. So, to that, that's like 52%. Right. I put these guys into the parlay combo builder tool and it returned back for me 45%. Okay. As the real value there, Gan. So, when I saw that the markets were offering me 52%, but the combo edge builder tool told me it should have really been 45%, I was like, "Wait, they're trying to they're trying to they're trying to skim me off the top." And I decided to not necessarily go ahead and make that three-leg parlay, you know, and I think that's the value, right, Jean, of this combo builder tool. I can see if the markets are offering me fair value on my combo. Yeah, Jean, absolutely. And the the the whole the whole thing and I and I joke about the the mind of Benny. The whole thing that I was trying to do that I got Benny and then Benny was like, "Okay, yeah, as I said, let's try to look at the parlay the same way we would look at investments because the parlay is a bad investment." Like, let's start there, right? Right. The parlay is a bad investment. The reason why they want you to parlay is because most of your parlays are going to lose. So, it wasn't just it wasn't just good enough for us to say, "Hey, we want to build something where you can see how much your parlay is worth." We wanted to be able to tell people whether or not your parlay, okay, this is how much is worth and then this is whether we think it's worth investing in because most of the time it's going to lose, right? And so if you're in in your in your case, Dane, yeah, trying to make a safe parlay, you see that, oh, this is going to hit a good amount of times. But even though it's going to hit a good amount of times, you're you're still going to hit it. You're still going to miss it more than you're going to hit it, the return ain't worth it. And the return ain't worth it. Yeah. So it's like it's almost like in in in relationships they say you always want to cheat up, right? Like in relationships they tell you want to cheat up. Why? Cuz why would you risk losing the the thing that you got for what you got like that? [laughter] Yeah. It's not worth what you got then you don't you don't do that. So that's what they talk about. So you because because parlaying is cheating, right? you re you know you really should just make three separate bets or excuse me three separate investments and if two of those three investments mature then you've made money right that's the sound thing but you're going to make less money so you're trying to cheat you want to say oh no I think all three of these investments mature and and when they do I'm going to get a bigger payout for it well there's a bigger there's a bigger risk to it. And because it's a bigger risk, you have to make sure that the reward is worth the risk. And that's what the parlay calculator is all about. It is making sure that you have the information Yeah. to go in like without going, oh, this okay, yeah, this is a good parlay because they're going to win. Okay. Yeah, they're going to win. But no, I hear you. And that's why I'm saying that's why I'm trying to highlight this tool here, right? and appreciate because I was like, "Yep, let me do this." And and after going through the tool, I I it it it talked me off the ledge. In fact, Jean, you know what I'm saying? And so, I'm not going to make that and I I might just make these straight bets to cover the spread with these teams or something else. Run through that comp run through that parlay for me again, Dane. So, what I was looking at was the Bengals, but their money line is 83%. The Jags, but their money line is 80%. the Rams, but their money line was 54%. I put it in as a combo and my 100 would going to pay me out 1972,000%. So that's like 52%. But when I put it in the combo edge builder tool, it it returned back for me 45%. Yo, now's a good time to remind everybody, get $25 on us when you deposit $10 on Poly Market with code PMP prediction markets pick. Yeah. And if you want to get down with us, remember NFL 26 is still something you could do to get 26% off on a subscription to us and have access to all these tools. The combo edge builder tool, the markets versus the pundits that we're doing in advance of election day, everything. But that's what I'm saying, Gan. And if I had put it in, right, it's it's still it's treating that as, you know, over 50% because I'm not getting back twice my money. But our tool told us it was like 45.5 or something like that. Um, where I should be getting more. And then you see the little box here about what's my break even, what's my value on it. And it turned out to not be valuable. So, I'm going to look to attack this game in other ways. Maybe actually individually with the point spread or some other way. I haven't figured it out. But this tool showed me that this was not the parlay I was not getting the bang for my buck trying to Which game do you like the most? Which one do you think, oh, this is a no-brainer? Is it the Is it the um Is it the Jackson? It'd be Jacksonville Jacksonville because what's the spread on that game? I gotta check, but I think it's 10 and a half. Let's do something. Let's do something live right here. Okay, I've got it. So, the spread for the Jacksonville Colts game is is nine and a half. Minus nine and a half, right? Go to the combo builder and find that game and instead of putting in the nine and a half, just take it at six and a half below the key number. So, in essence, we're teasing, right, Jean? You want to tease them? Exactly. That's another way, right? And then go to the the the Cincinnati game which is minus 10 and take it to I can take it to six. Yeah. Take it to minus six because if we if we think that these teams have a chance of this this could be a laugher, right? Right. But we but we don't want to invest in minus and then the last one would be the Rams. The last part the Rams for the Chargers. Take that money line. Take the Rams versus Charger. Take that just to win because we have value in on the other two right already. So that changes me if we go on up now. That changes me to a 30% is what it says here on the edge tool. Right. Okay. It says 30% to cuz cuz these this thing is so small in my window when I be looking at it on here. 30% to hit. It says this this combo right now. A 30% hit rate is good. By the way, just for for you guys, ladies and gentlemen, when you're talking about a parlay, 30% hit rate is good. Roll down to the roll down to the results. What it says when you Here you go. It says under break even, um, it says no vape page 2.84x. Um, go down a little bit more. Scroll down a little bit more. right here where it says cocaine back check it against your number. So I'm gonna go and if you would if you would Dane just talk to them quick. I'm gonna go and put this in and see what it's going to give see what and then we're going to compare it and we're going to see if it's the value there. Okay, you do that. Absolutely. And when I'm doing that once again I'm going to let people know NFL 26 is the promo code to use to get 26% as a discount when you subscribe and get all these tools. We give you the Bitcoin tool. We give you on NBA right now, we got a great tool giving you if the guys play or if they don't, where to go as the pivot point. We got so much stuff right here to help you really profit in these prediction markets. And we are hooking you up with basically free money. If you, you know, use the promo code PMP when you sign up at Poly Market, you will get a bonus $25 when you trade 10. and then go on over to our tools and find out the ways you can profit by doing this. We are a one-stop shop, okay? Great content for me, Gan, and the other oracles, a free newsletter you could subscribe to, and all of these tools. That's the way to go. But I do want to, Gene, let me know when you got that ready because I also know that you got Dancing with the Stars that is coming to, you know, the end and we've only got a few minutes left. So, I do also want to hear what you got going on in Dancing with the Stars, brother man. Yeah, give me I I I I almost have it here. Okay. Boom. Continue. Okay. So, the payout on on Poly Market is 2.9. So, put 2.9 in there where it says quote came back. It says there it says decline under um 2.9x is under break even under the break even of 3.8. So they even if you're taking it at that even if you're taking it at that even though the 30% is a good is a good hit rate on a three on a three-legged parlay. You're not getting enough value for it. And so that's what we're looking for alto together. We just want to have more information to be able to make better decisions on how we invest our money when we're talking about a parlay. And this made me, you know, saved me from a potentially bad decision. Now, go ahead and watch, Gene. All these teams going to win by 30 points on Sunday. Oh, yeah. No, I'm I'm definitely, by the way, I love this. I love this combo. I'm going to take it [laughter] and I'm going to and I'm going to put it in at the actual like run lines for Yeah, cuz I think all three of the all three of those games should be a laugher. I agree. Three of those games should be the one I'm least concern I'm least happy about is is Chargers Rams both in the same building. Chargers coming off the buy. Um, but I do think the Rams need to get rolling and will get rolling.

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