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Live game edges — model vs. Kalshi, ranked

Gridiron Edge · 5-min refresh

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Correlation-aware Kalshi combos — free

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Options vs. Kalshi on weekly silver brackets

NFL 2026

Power rankings, futures & win totals — all 32 teams

NFL Edge: Every 2026 Game Priced Against Kalshi (50% Off)

August 16, 2026 · 0:30 · The 7 Oracles

About this video

Every NFL game, priced against Kalshi and Polymarket — see exactly where the market's wrong before you take a position. Gridiron Edge runs a defense-adjusted model against all 272 games this season and stacks it next to the live Kalshi price. When the gap is big, that's the edge. This is 30 seconds inside the tool: the Week 1 board, the arb scanner catching Kalshi and Polymarket disagreeing on the same game, and Kelly sizing turning a probability gap into an actual position size. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ GET 50% OFF WITH CODE NFLEDGE ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Your first subscription, half price: Promo code: NFLEDGE 25 tools in the terminal — NFL, fantasy, crypto, politics, and entertainment markets. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ WHAT'S ON SCREEN ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 0:00 — The 7 Oracles: NFL Edge, model vs. market, 2026 season 0:06 — Gridiron Edge: Ravens at Colts — model has Indy at 53%, Kalshi prices them at 37¢, a 16.2-point gap 0:12 — Week 1, every game ranked by edge, refreshed every 5 minutes 0:15 — Arb Scanner: the same Colts market is 37¢ on Kalshi and 42¢ on Polymarket 0:18 — Kelly Sizing: that edge sized to a $2,500 bankroll — quarter-Kelly, $159 0:24 — The full terminal: Gridiron Edge, Mispricing Scanner, Arb Scanner, Kelly Sizing, EV Calculator, Bayes Updater, Combo Edge Builder, Bitcoin Edge, Fantasy Draft Assistant, MCP Server, Politics & Midterms, Entertainment Markets 0:27 — predictionmarketspicks.com/pro — code NFLEDGE, 50% off ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ WHY THIS EXISTS ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Kalshi and Polymarket are CFTC-regulated event-derivative exchanges, not sportsbooks — every NFL market is a probability the crowd is pricing, and the crowd is sometimes wrong. Gridiron Edge builds an independent model for all 272 games, compares it to the live market, and shows the gap in percentage points instead of asking you to guess. Kelly sizing then turns that gap into a position size instead of a gut-feel guess. Model, market, gap, size — that's the whole loop. Prices shown are illustrative at time of recording — check the live board before entering. Educational analysis, not financial advice. Trade responsibly. 21+. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ The 7 Oracles — PredictionMarketsPicks — Pro tools (code NFLEDGE, 50% off) — Free tools — X —

Chapters

  1. 0:00 The 7 Oracles: NFL Edge, model vs. market, 2026 season
  2. 0:06 Gridiron Edge: Ravens at Colts — model has Indy at 53%, Kalshi prices them at 37¢, a 16.2-point gap
  3. 0:12 Week 1, every game ranked by edge, refreshed every 5 minutes
  4. 0:15 Arb Scanner: the same Colts market is 37¢ on Kalshi and 42¢ on Polymarket
  5. 0:18 Kelly Sizing: that edge sized to a $2,500 bankroll — quarter-Kelly, $159
  6. 0:24 The full terminal: Gridiron Edge, Mispricing Scanner, Arb Scanner, Kelly Sizing, EV Calculator, Bayes Updater, Combo Edge Builder, Bitcoin Edge, Fantasy Draft Assistant, MCP Server, Politics & Midterms, Entertainment Markets
  7. 0:27 predictionmarketspicks.com/pro — code NFLEDGE, 50% off

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