How I’m Profiting from 25th Amendment Panic on Kalshi and Polymarket
April 10, 2026 · 3:53 · The 7 Oracles
What’s in this video
Dane Martinez of The 7 Oracles covers the market on whether the 25th Amendment will be used to remove Donald Trump from office. He argues the constitutional bar is extremely high, requiring the vice president and a majority of the cabinet to act, followed by two-thirds of the House and Senate, and that Trump's loyal cabinet makes this path implausible. He recommends taking the No side while it's priced favorably.
Key points
- Invoking the 25th Amendment requires VP JD Vance plus a majority of the cabinet to agree, then two-thirds of both the House and Senate.
- Martinez says Trump's second-term cabinet is filled with more loyal picks than his first term, making a cabinet revolt unlikely.
- Despite a letter from over 70 Democrat officials and criticism from figures like Joe Rogan, Tucker Carlson, and Marjorie Taylor Greene, he sees no realistic path to invocation.
- The Yes side has recently risen as high as 34-35% amid tough talk and news around Iran and the Strait of Hormuz, pushing No down to around 65%.
- He frames a potential Democratic sweep in November as a separate scenario that could open the door to impeachment articles, not the 25th Amendment.
- Martinez recommends taking the No position at around 60-65%, noting it pays out one and a half times the money.
Full transcript
What up traders? You know what time it is. It is time to build your portfolio with another profitable prophecy from the Seven Oracles. I'm the smitten statistician Dane Martinez and here is your pick of the day from the Seven Oracles helping you see into the future. Today's market that we look at concerns Donald Trump and the potential of the 25th amendment to potentially remove him from office. Now, we've all heard the kind of tough talk, the profanityladen tweets and posts about the war with Iran and closing the straight of Harmoose. And some of this has even caused even Republican elected officials and Republican influencers out there to finally criticize Donald Trump. But here's the thing, it doesn't matter that there is a letter with 70 plus Democrat officials calling for the removal of the president. It doesn't matter that people like Joe Rogan, Tucker Carlson, Marjorie Taylor Green are all starting to criticize the president because the 25th Amendment is an incredibly high bar to invoke to actually kind of get Trump out of office. Here is the key of what you need to know. In order for the 25th amendment to actually be leveraged or utilized, what you need is the vice president and the majority of the president's cabinet to agree to invoke the 25th amendment. And then even then the president could kind of push back and after that you would need twothirds of both the house and the senate to go ahead and implement this amendment to the constitution. Now, we all know in Trump's second term, the cabinet was really filled with people that were more loyal to Trump. Whereas in the first term for President Trump, there were people in there that were, you know, able to say no. Able to say, "This isn't such a good idea, sir." But loyalty has really been more of the test when it comes to being in the cabinet for President Trump's second term. So you put it all together and I see no way that the vice president and the majority of the cabinet would actually vote to implement this rule. The yes on this has been fluctuating recently because of some of the tough talk because of some of the news that is out there and the yes has gone as high as 34 35%. That means the no has gone down to 65%. And I say grab the no right now when you still can. That'll be one and a half times your money and there is no way this is going to happen. I know a lot of people are talking about a potential blue wave in November after election day. And what that could mean is maybe the House and the Senate are Democratic and that could mean potential articles of impeachment could be on the table, but that is more of a route that could be controlled by Democrats after election day. The 25th Amendment would require Vice President Vance and a majority of the cabinet. It is not going to happen. Go and get the no at around 60 to 65% when you still can. The oracle has spoken. Go and get it now before the market moves. And if you want more access to all of the great stuff over at the sevenoracles.com, go on over to the7oracles.com. Subscribe and sign up for the free newsletter every day in your inbox telling you how to profit on the prediction markets. And if you want to go pro, you get all sorts of other great tools to really help you out there in the prediction markets. And now if you use the promo code when you sign up for pro of the seven oracles, I am hooking you up not one, not two, not three, but six free months over at the sevenoracles.com. Check it out, but get this in right now.
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