Polymarket US Solana 15-Minute Up or Down

By Benny Ricciardi · part of the Polymarket US 15-minute board

Polymarket US lists Solana (SOL) Up or Down markets on a 15-minute window. Each asks whether Solana ends the window at or above its price to beat. Polymarket US is available in every state except Nevada. In our ledger, 48.7% of 1,920 windows from Oct 15, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026 settled Up. Information only, no picks. Not every market we cover is listed on Polymarket US.

Live window

Solana 15-minute window on Polymarket USPolymarketPartner

Window

9:15 PM–9:30 PM ET

Up bid / ask

no current price

Price to beat

$96.16

Same window on Kalshi: YES 44.5¢ · target $96.16

See this window on Polymarket US →Sponsored by Polymarket US

Not every market we cover is listed on Polymarket US.

18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See https://polymarketexchange.com/files/legal/Polymarket%20US%20Rulebook%20(2026.09.30).pdf for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.

Base rates

Every cell shows its number of windows; cells under 100 are greyed. Past results do not predict the next window.

Coin	Settled Up	Up after 3 Ups	Up after 3 Downs	Median move
Solana	48.7% n 1,920	44.8% n 203	54.9% n 224	13.6 bp

Move size

Solana: how far a window moves

Median 13.6 bp · 90th percentile 40.0 bp · n 1,912

0–1 bp74

1–2 bp73

2–5 bp250

5–10 bp356

10–20 bp512

20+ bp647

How it settles, in the market’s own words

This market will settle to Up if the Solana price at 9:30PM ET on Nov 4, 2026 is greater than or equal to the price at 9:15PM ET on Nov 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will settle to Down. Outcome sourced from CF Benchmarks' Solana-Dollar Real-Time Index (SOLUSD_RTI), available at https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/SOLUSD_RTI. The price at the beginning and at the end of the time range is determined the same way: in the last minute before each of those two times, 60 SOLUSD_RTI prices are collected. The official value for that time is the simple average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 4 decimal places. Please note that this market is about the price according to CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI, not according to other sources or spot markets.

The Solana market on Polymarket US →Sponsored by Polymarket US

Not every market we cover is listed on Polymarket US.

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Solana in other windows

Solana 15-minute markets — frequently asked

What is the Solana 15-minute Up or Down market on Polymarket US?

A Polymarket US market that asks whether Solana (SOL) ends a 15-minute window at or above its price to beat. Each market's Polymarket US page carries its own settlement text, quoted on this page.

How often does Solana finish a 15-minute window Up?

In our ledger, 48.7% of 1,920 Solana 15-minute windows settled Up, from Oct 15, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026. Past results describe what happened; they do not predict the next window.

How far does Solana move in 15 minutes?

The median Solana window moved 13.6 bp between its start and end values, and one in ten moved more than 40.0 bp, over 1,912 windows. A basis point is a hundredth of a percent.

Does Kalshi list a Solana 15-minute market?

Yes, the KXSOL15M series. Kalshi and Polymarket US are separate exchanges with their own rules. Where the two windows close at the same minute with the same target, the live row here shows Kalshi's beside it, for information.

What does it cost to trade a 15-minute window?

Polymarket US: Taker fee 6.95% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max $1.74 per 100, about 1.74¢ a contract at 50¢. Kalshi: 7% × price × (1 − price) per contract, about 1.75¢ at 50¢. Both are charged at the fill, win or lose, before the spread.

Where do the prices on this page come from?

The live row reads the Polymarket US public gateway and shows the time of each read; a price more than 60 seconds old reads “no current price.” Results come from each closed market.

Where is Polymarket US available?

Polymarket US is available in every state except Nevada. Not available in all jurisdictions. State by state: predictionmarketspicks.com/polymarket-legal-us.