PMP · MMAUFC Edmonton
Main Event · Welterweight
Joaquin Buckley21-8 · #10
VSMike Malott14-2-1 · #13
UFC · MMA
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · main card 8:00 PM EDT · Rogers Place · Paramount+
The 7 OraclesPMP · MMAUFC EdmontonSaturday, October 17, 2026Quick Answer
As of October 12, 2026, the market favors Mike Malott in the Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott welterweight main event at UFC Edmonton (Saturday, October 17, 2026). Live win probabilities and American odds for all 11 bouts are in the tale of the tape below.
Why you can trade this card
#9 Buckley, off a six-fight tear ended by Usman and Brady, against #11 Malott — a Canadian on a four-fight streak headlining at home. Kalshi’s CFTC-regulated exchange prices UFC cards identically in all 50 US states regardless of where the cage sits; card is still filling in.
What the market says
The full card at a glance — the market favorite, cross-platform price gap, method lean and liquidity for every bout. Market-derived, not a pick.
Sort:
| Bout | Market favorite | Cross-platform gap | Method lean | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott Main Event · Welterweight | Mike Malott55%-122 | 2.0ppALIGNED | — | $4KLow |
Erin Blanchfield vs Jasmine Jasudavicius Co-Main Event · Women's Flyweight | Erin Blanchfield73%-270 | 1.0ppALIGNED | — | $1KLow |
Marc-André Barriault vs Kyle Daukaus Middleweight | Kyle Daukaus66%-194 | 2.0ppALIGNED | — | $471Low |
Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz Heavyweight | Jhonata Diniz68%-213 | 1.0ppALIGNED | — | $195Low |
Melissa Croden vs Chelsea Chandler Women's Bantamweight | Melissa Croden71%-245 | 1.0ppALIGNED | — | $1KLow |
Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr Lightweight | Mandel Nallo71%-245 | 0.0ppALIGNED | — | $366Low |
Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Katlyn Cerminara Women's Flyweight | Katlyn Cerminara71%-245 | — | — | — |
Louis Jourdain vs Timothy Cuamba Bantamweight | Louis Jourdain64%-178 | — | — | $51Low |
Julien LeBlanc vs Gilbert Urbina Middleweight | Julien LeBlanc17%+488 | — | — | $1KLow |
Chad Anheliger vs Steven Koslow Bantamweight | Market opens soon | 3.0ppWATCH | — | $928Low |
Javad Mahjoub vs Louie Sutherland Heavyweight | Javad Mahjoub50%-100 | 1.0ppALIGNED | — | $811Low |
Market-derived signals, not a pick. A position can settle at $0 — informational only, trade responsibly.
Main card
PMP · MMAUFC Edmonton
Main Event · Welterweight
Joaquin Buckley21-8 · #10
VSMike Malott14-2-1 · #13
PMP · MMAUFC Edmonton
Co-Main Event · Women's Flyweight
Erin Blanchfield14-2 · #4
VSJasmine Jasudavicius15-4 · #7
PMP · MMAUFC Edmonton
Middleweight
Marc-André Barriault17-11
VSKyle Daukaus17-5
PMP · MMAUFC Edmonton
Heavyweight
Tanner Boser22-11-1
VSJhonata Diniz9-2
PMP · MMAUFC Edmonton
Women's Bantamweight
Melissa Croden8-3 · #15
VSChelsea Chandler7-4
PMP · MMAUFC Edmonton
Lightweight
Mandel Nallo14-4
VSNate Landwehr18-8
Prelims
PMP · MMAUFC Edmonton
Women's Flyweight
Jamey-Lyn Horth9-3
VSKatlyn Cerminara18-6
PMP · MMAUFC Edmonton
Bantamweight
Louis Jourdain9-3
VSTimothy Cuamba10-4
PMP · MMAUFC Edmonton
Middleweight
Julien LeBlanc10-3
VSGilbert Urbina8-5
PMP · MMAUFC Edmonton
Bantamweight
Chad Anheliger13-8
VSSteven Koslow6-1
PMP · MMAUFC Edmonton
Heavyweight
Javad Mahjoub5-0
VSLouie Sutherland11-6
The prediction-market read
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott brings 11 bouts to Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta on Saturday, October 17, 2026, live on Paramount+. The card is headlined by Joaquin Buckley (21-8, ranked #10) against Mike Malott (14-2-1, #13) in the welterweight division.
The tale of the tape above carries the live market read for 11 of 11 bouts — each fighter's market-implied win probability in cents and comma-free American odds, with the market favorite tinted green. Prices come from Kalshi's combat-fight contracts, with a Polymarket fallback where PFL fights trade.
Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.
Last time out
1 fighter on this card last fought at UFC Fight Night (Sat, Aug 8): UFC Fight Night results
Louie Sutherland (L)
UFC Edmonton — frequently asked
Who is favored at UFC Edmonton?
The market favors Mike Malott in the Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott main event. The tale of the tape above lists the live market-implied win probability and American odds for every bout on the card; the favorite is tinted green.
How can I watch UFC Edmonton?
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott streams on Paramount+. Prelims start 5:00 PM EDT, with the main card at 8:00 PM EDT on Saturday, October 17, 2026. While you watch, the live market read for every bout — market-implied win probability and comma-free American odds — is on this page the moment UFC Edmonton's contracts list.
Can you trade UFC Edmonton fights on Kalshi or Polymarket?
Yes — these are prediction markets, not a sportsbook. UFC cards carry live markets on both venues: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange available to traders in all 50 states, and Polymarket is open to US traders too. We lead with Kalshi for the broader US-listed slate and the deeper per-market book. You take a yes/no position on a fighter in a contract that settles at $1 or $0 — no point spread, just the binary outcome.
When and where is UFC Edmonton?
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott takes place Saturday, October 17, 2026 at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta, broadcast on Paramount+. Main card starts 8:00 PM EDT.
How do prediction-market MMA odds work?
Each fighter's price is the market-implied probability they win, quoted in cents (a 69¢ contract implies a 69% chance) and shown here as comma-free American odds. Unlike a sportsbook line, the contract settles at $1 if the fighter wins and $0 if they lose, so the price IS the probability.
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Prediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Informational only — not financial advice. Trade responsibly.