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KalshiMacro & economics

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 5.0% for the year ending in November 2026?

1c

YES · 1% implied

9

contracts 24h

40

open interest (contracts)

How this settles

Resolves YES if the BLS-reported CPI 12-month inflation rate for the period ending November 2026 is strictly greater than 5.0%, using the one-decimal-place figure published by the BLS.

  • One-decimal BLS print, not full precisionThe contract uses the rounded one-decimal-place value (e.g., 5.0% vs. 5.04%), so an unrounded rate just above 5.0% could round down to exactly 5.0% and resolve NO, or vice versa.
  • Strictly greater than 5.0%, not 5.0% itselfA print of exactly 5.0% does NOT resolve YES — the threshold is strictly above 5.0%, so traders long YES need the rounded figure to be at least 5.1%.
  • Initial release vs. subsequent BLS revisionsThe rules don't specify whether resolution uses the first BLS release or a later revised print, which matters if BLS revises the figure after initial publication.

Rules read for this specific contract. Full KXCPIYOY settlement rules →

24h move: +0.0c

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