Publicfull ledger
PMP Tool Leaderboard
Verified track record for every prediction-market tool we ship. One row per pick at signal time. Brier scores, ROI at par, and Wilson 95% confidence intervals on every settled outcome. See how the math works →
scorecards as of 2026-08-11 · refreshed nightly · CC BY 4.0
No tools promoted to public yet
Tools climb a visibility ladder: admin → pro → public. Each gate requires a sample-size and calibration check. Read the methodology or check back soon.
Methodology
Brier, Wilson, calibration, regime tags. The full math behind every number on this page.
Read the math →Open data
Every scorecard is queryable in JSON or CSV. 60 requests / hour / IP. Cite us when you reuse.
API endpoint →Pro preview
Tools in the pro tier — same numbers, broader pool. Promoted to public once they clear calibration gates.
Pro view →