PMP Tool Leaderboard
Verified track record for every prediction-market tool we ship. One row per pick at signal time. Brier scores, ROI at par, and Wilson 95% confidence intervals on every settled outcome. See how the math works →
scorecards as of 2026-09-25 · refreshed nightly · CC BY 4.0
Gold Edge
GLD options chain fused with Kalshi gold-price markets. Same engine as Silver Edge, on the gold underlying.
Silver Edge
SLV options chain fused with Kalshi silver-price markets. Flags a position when the options-implied probability diverges from the Kalshi yes-price; every call is graded on the record below.
Go Pro · 26% off your first year
Every edge the engines find, the moment they find it
Pro opens every engine on the site — the cross-market arb scanner, the Mispricing Scanner, Thee Oracle, and the silver, gold, oil and bitcoin edge models that price commodity contracts in real time.
$111 for the first year, then $150/yr. Code applies automatically. Ends Dec 31. Monthly is $14.99/mo.
Every signal graded in public, losers left on the board. See the record →
Methodology
Brier, Wilson, calibration, regime tags. The full math behind every number on this page.
Read the math →Open data
Every scorecard is queryable in JSON or CSV. 60 requests / hour / IP. Cite us when you reuse.
API endpoint →Pro preview
Tools in the pro tier — same numbers, broader pool. Promoted to public once they clear calibration gates.
Pro view →