Publicfull ledger

PMP Tool Leaderboard

Verified track record for every prediction-market tool we ship. One row per pick at signal time. Brier scores, ROI at par, and Wilson 95% confidence intervals on every settled outcome. See how the math works →

scorecards as of 2026-11-09 · refreshed nightly · CC BY 4.0

Tools live

Settled picks

Hit rate

63.6%

ROI @ par

+0.1%

Gold Edge

commodity

building · 6/30

GLD options chain fused with Kalshi gold-price markets. Same engine as Silver Edge, on the gold underlying.

Sample size: Building (6 / 30 picks). Stats hidden until the floor is met.

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Silver Edge

commodity

building · 5/30

SLV options chain fused with Kalshi silver-price markets. Flags a position when the options-implied probability diverges from the Kalshi yes-price; every call is graded on the record below.

Sample size: Building (5 / 30 picks). Stats hidden until the floor is met.

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Go Pro · 26% off your first year

Every edge engine on the site, live — $150/yr

Pro opens every engine on the site — the full silver, gold, oil and bitcoin strike grids that price commodity contracts in real time, Thee Oracle, Theta Edge, and the full cross-venue price-gap board.

Go Pro →

$111 for the first year, then $150/yr. Code applies automatically. Ends Dec 31. Monthly is $14.99/mo.

Every signal graded in public, losers left on the board. See the record →

Methodology

Brier, Wilson, calibration, regime tags. The full math behind every number on this page.

Read the math →

Open data

Every scorecard is queryable in JSON or CSV. 60 requests / hour / IP. Cite us when you reuse.

API endpoint →

Pro preview

Tools in the pro tier — same numbers, broader pool. Promoted to public once they clear calibration gates.

Pro view →