{"slug":"tool-leaderboard","title":"PredictionMarketsPicks Tool Leaderboard","description":"Verified scorecards for every PMP predictive tool with visibility=public. Brier score, hit rate with Wilson 95% CI, ROI at par and max drawdown, on the all-time window.","methodology_url":"/methodology/leaderboard","license":"CC-BY-4.0","attribution":"PredictionMarketsPicks.com - https://predictionmarketspicks.com","scorecard_date":"2026-11-09","tool_count":2,"tools":[{"tool_slug":"gold-edge","display_name":"Gold Edge","category":"commodity","description":"GLD options chain fused with Kalshi gold-price markets. Same engine as Silver Edge, on the gold underlying.","detail_url":"/leaderboard/tools/gold-edge","min_picks_for_public":30,"scorecards":{"all_time":{"window_days":9999,"picks_count":6,"settled_count":6,"hit_rate":0.8333,"ci_low":0.4365,"ci_high":0.9699,"brier_score":0.1317,"baseline_brier":0.1614,"roi_at_par":0.3622,"drawdown_max_pp":1}}},{"tool_slug":"silver-edge","display_name":"Silver Edge","category":"commodity","description":"SLV options chain fused with Kalshi silver-price markets. Flags a position when the options-implied probability diverges from the Kalshi yes-price; every call is graded on the record below.","detail_url":"/leaderboard/tools/silver-edge","min_picks_for_public":30,"scorecards":{"all_time":{"window_days":9999,"picks_count":5,"settled_count":5,"hit_rate":0.4,"ci_low":0.1176,"ci_high":0.7693,"brier_score":0.2087,"baseline_brier":0.1508,"roi_at_par":-0.4335,"drawdown_max_pp":2.1673}}}]}