We Priced All 16 NFL Week 1 Openers. 3 Disagree — A Lot

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We priced all 16 NFL Week 1 openers against live Kalshi markets. Three of them disagree — a lot. EDGE 1 — Ravens at Colts (IND -1) Model: IND 54% to win. Kalshi: 38¢. Edge +16.2pp → BUY IND. The market is too low on the home side. EDGE 2 — Cardinals at Chargers (LAC -5.5) Model: LAC 66%. Kalshi: 82¢. Edge -16.0pp → BUY ARI. The market is overpaying the favorite. EDGE 3 — Browns at Jaguars (JAX -7.5) Model: JAX 65%. Kalshi: 78¢. Edge -13.1pp → BUY CLE. Seven and a half in a Week 1 opener is a full point too many. Full Week 1 Edge Board — all 16 games, free: The 7 Oracles NFL Markets Guide (On @AmazonKDP ): Our power ratings run every game through a 10,000-season simulation and price it against the live market. When the number and the market disagree by double digits, that's the whole product. New edges every week. Subscribe so you see them before the line moves. The 7 Oracles — Prediction Markets Picks For informational and entertainment purposes only. Not financial or investment advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. 18+, availability varies by jurisdiction.

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