NFL Week 1 Edges: GREEN BAY to defeat Minnesota - Why you should trust the Packers' 11% edge
July 29, 2026 · Short · The 7 Oracles
What’s in this video
The hosts highlight the Green Bay Packers at Minnesota as one of their top Week 1 edges, with their model projecting Green Bay to cover at 60% against a Kalshi price of only 49%. They attribute the edge mainly to the Packers' offense returning to full health, while noting uncertainty around Minnesota's starting quarterback situation. The 7 Oracles NFL hub is presented as the source for more Week 1 edges, stats, and models.
Key points
- Model sets the Packers at 60% to cover versus a 49% Kalshi price, an 11-point edge.
- Minnesota's quarterback situation is unsettled, likely Kyler Murray making his first start for the Vikings.
- Wide receiver Christian Watson posted strong efficiency numbers in limited action last year.
- Tight end Tucker Kraft was the third-best fantasy tight end in points per game despite only nine games played.
- Jayden Reed being healthy adds another option for Jordan Love, strengthening the Packers' offensive outlook.
- The 7 Oracles NFL hub offers additional Week 1 edges, trends, and a free newsletter.
Full transcript
Yo, the NFL hub over at the Seven Oracles is so tough. Week one, there is a lot of energy and we think to start the season, the Green Bay Packers will go to Minnesota and beat the Vikings. We like the Packers to cover the number at 60%. Cali has it at only 49%. That is an 11 percentage point edge. That is one of our biggest edges of week one. And quite frankly, I agree with it. We don't even know who's going to be playing quarterback for the Minnesota Vikings. It'll probably be Kyler Murray, but if so, that will be his first start in a Vikings uniform. Probably some adjustment period there. But we think the real edge is this Packers offense against the Vikings defense. Why? Because the Packers offense will finally be healthy. Look at their number one wide receiver, Christian Watson. He didn't play a ton last year, but when he did, he had a 35.7% DVOA. That was the best among all wide receivers in the league. And also don't sleep on the tight end Tucker Craft. Tucker Craft only played in nine games last year, but when he did, he was a beast. He was the third best fantasy tight end in terms of points per game last year. The production is there. Jaden Reed is also finally healthy. When they are all healthy, it gives Jordan Love plenty of options, and I think those options will score more than the Minnesota Vikings. There are other games we have an edge on as well over at Seven Oracles. So, you got to go to the NFL hub. It is printing money. That's what we do at Seven Oracles. We've got great trends, great stats, and great edges for every single NFL game of the regular season. Subscribe for the free newsletter and so much more. Come join us in the prediction, Illuminati.
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