NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Sleepers: Jadarian Price and Carnell Tate | Kalshi & Polymarket
April 27, 2026 · 7:05 · The 7 Oracles
What’s in this video
The host of The 7 Oracles breaks down the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year market on Kalshi and Polymarket, arguing the value sits with Carnell Tate at 17% and Jadarian Price at 12% rather than the co-favorites Fernando Mendoza at 25% and Jeremiyah Love at 26%. He walks through depth charts, team pass and run rates, and expected gamescript to explain why the favorites may see their production capped. The takeaway is to fade Mendoza and Love and take positions on Tate and Price while their prices remain low.
Key points
- Fernando Mendoza sits at 25% but reports suggest Kirk Cousins could start early for the Raiders, limiting Mendoza's reps and counting stats.
- Jeremiyah Love is priced at 26%, but a crowded Cardinals offense with Trey McBride, Marvin Harrison Jr., and Michael Wilson could cap his touches, and losing games may push the offense toward garbage-time passing instead of rushing.
- Carnell Tate at 17% benefits from the Titans throwing 62.4% of the time last season, the third-highest rate in the NFL, plus a strong college grade with no drops and a top-six ranking among 679 qualified receivers.
- Jadarian Price at 12% steps into a Seahawks backfield after Kenneth Walker left and Zach Charbonnet's injury, with Seattle running the ball 49.7% of the time last season, the third-highest rate in the league.
- The host frames Tate and Price as offering roughly five and a half to eight times return compared to the pricier favorites.
Full transcript
You know what it is traders. It is once again time to build your portfolio with another profitable prophecy from the seven oracles. I'm your host, the spitting statistitian Dane Martinez, and we continue to give you what you need to profit in the prediction markets like Khi and Poly Market, and this is our pick of the day. Before I get into that, a few things. One, you got to go on over to the sevenoracles.com. We have great content, a free newsletter, great tools to really help you do work in the prediction markets. And if you use the promo code the seven oracles, we are giving you not one, not two, but six free months to click around and find out and really get the jump on the competition that you may be trading with or against in these markets. So, let's look at our pick of the day. And we are coming off a great NFL draft. Shout out to everybody who joined us for our live draft coverage in round one. You really should have been down. We made some profit and we are going to continue to do so. I am looking at a market right now for the NFL offensive rookie of the year and we all know the big names like Fernando Mendoza and Jeremiah Love, but I don't think that's where the value is. If you want to know the truth, Carnell Tate, the wide receiver from Ohio State is at 17%. And then even better than that, Jaren Price, the now Seattle Seahawks newest running back is at 12%. And I think that between five and a half all the way up to eight times your money, they are the values. Now, I am passing and fading the co-favorites in this. First of all, Fernando Mendoza is at 25%. He's one of the favorites. He's the number one overall pick, but a lot of reports out of Las Vegas actually think that recently signed Kirk Cousins is going to start the year and may make a ton of starts as Mendoza learns early on. What does that mean? he probably won't get as many starts, as many reps to be able to put up the stats, which will ultimately help him potentially win a Rookie of the Year award. Now, don't get me wrong, the Raiders are going to fall out of contention, and eventually Mendoza will play, but I don't think he'll have enough time to put up and accumulate the stats needed to be competitive or win this award. The other stud, the obvious stud on the offensive side of the ball is Notre Dame running back Jeremiah Love, who went number three overall to the Arizona Cardinals. He is a favorite at 26%. And absolutely, I love Jeremiah Love like everybody else does. I think he is going to be very good for the Arizona Cardinals, maybe a generational kind of running back. However, now if you look, all of a sudden, Arizona actually has a lot of mouths to feed on offense. They have one of the top fantasy tight ends in Trey McBride, who is going to continue to get targets, receptions, and production. On the outside, they have Marvin Harrison Jr. and Michael Wilson, and they are still a throwing offense if you want to know the truth, right? So, I still think those guys are going to eat. Now, don't get me wrong, Love is going to be featured, but I don't think he's going to get the ball as much as he would need to to put up the monstrous stats. And here's the other part. The Cardinals are still in a very tough division. And I still think they are going to be losing games. And so, the game script is going to be a lot of garbage time and a lot of throwing, not necessarily Jeremiah Love pounding the rock when the Cardinals are winning games. Now, let's look at the two guys that I like. Carnell Tate at 17%. He is positioned to produce. He's going to be the top target for the secondyear quarterback Cam Ward who was the number one overall pick last year. Yes, they signed Wandelle Robinson, but Wandell Robinson just works underneath. He is a short yardage target and no threat to the big playability of Carmel Tate in my opinion. The Tennessee Titans threw the ball. You ready for this? 62.4% of the time last year. That was the third highest rate in the entire NFL. They're going to be losing games. And just like the game script hurts Jeremiah Love, I think it helps Carnell Tate and the ability to kind of put up extra meaningless garbage time statistics which are going to help him. And Tate is an absolute stud. He had a 90.3 PFF grade that was good for six best among 679 qualified receivers in college. Okay? And check this out. He did this all. He didn't drop a single pass last year for Ohio State. That is the dependability that Cam Ward and the Tennessee Titans are going to love. And they loved him so much that they took him at number four overall when a lot of people didn't have him mocked that high. They've got a plan for him. Brian Dball is going to use him. Cam Ward is going to find him. And at 17% at around 5 and a half to six times your money, I think he is a value. Another one even at a lower percentage right now at almost 7 and a half to eight times your money is Jeremiah Love's teammate at Notre Dame, Jadaren Price. Jaren Price is, you know, I think an even better choice. The Seattle Seahawks let Super Bowl MVP Kenneth Walker lead and signed with the Kansas City Chiefs. Zack Charbanet, their incumbent running back, tore his knee up and is probably not going to be ready for the start of the season. Enter Jaren Price. Now, remember I told you about how Tennessee likes to throw the ball? Well, Seattle's the opposite. They ran the ball 49.7% of the time. That is the third highest rate in the NFL last season. These are still the defending Super Bowl champions. So, again, the game script, I think, good for the running back on a team that is going to be ahead. I think that is more times when Darien Price is going to close games out. People don't know about Price as much because Jeremiah Love was just getting all the shine at Notre Dame. Price was behind Love, but he has the explosiveness. He has the quickness and agility to hit the home run just the same. And people are going to find out about Price. And enough for nothing. The price is right in this one. So I say fade Mendoza, Fade Love, Carnell Tate at 17%, Jaren Price at 12% are the places to go and the values in the offensive rookie of the year market for the NFL. The Oracle has spoken. Now go and get it before people start to realize this and the number moves. And don't forget, go to the sevenoracles.com. Use the promo code the seven oracles. But even if you don't sign up, sign up for the free newsletter. Check out all the great content there, all the tools, and join us at the Seven Oracles and be part of the prediction Illuminati.
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