Kalshi MCP Server: Add Prediction-Market Quant Tools to Claude, ChatGPT & Cursor

About this video

Connect any AI agent to prediction-market quant tools in one line. The PredictionMarketsPicks MCP server exposes our Kalshi and Polymarket quant stack as callable tools inside Claude, ChatGPT, Gemini, Cursor, and Copilot. Your agent stops guessing at contract prices and starts running the actual math — expected value, Kelly sizing, Bayesian updating, base-rate gaps — against live markets. No scraping. No API key for the free tools. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ADD IT IN ONE COMMAND ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Claude Code: claude mcp add --transport http predictionmarketspicks Claude Desktop / ChatGPT / Cursor / Copilot: Paste this URL as a custom connector or remote MCP server — Transport: Streamable HTTP Full setup docs, JSON config, and every tool schema: ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ FREE TOOLS (no key) ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ calculate_ev — expected-value edge on any contract, with a BUY / SELL / SKIP signal kelly_size — optimal position size for your bankroll (full / half / quarter / eighth) bayes_update — chain evidence onto a prior, get the posterior step by step convert_probability — implied probability ↔ American odds ↔ decimal base_rate_gap — market price vs. the historical base rate combo_edge — same-game combo grading, 7-tier verdict nfl_power_ratings — defense-adjusted team ratings nfl_win_probability — NFL spread-to-probability conversion Fantasy draft tools, also free: draft_board · best_available · player_outlook · compare_players · sleepers_and_busts · who_do_i_draft ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ PRO TOOLS ($14.99/mo · $150/yr) ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ edge_alerts · find_arbitrage · market_pulse · commodity_edge · scan_mispricings · nfl_edge · nfl_prop_edge Live model lines, cross-platform arbitrage scans, and a graded track record. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ WHAT'S ON SCREEN ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 0:00 — Your AI can't price a market 0:03 — Claude Code: one command, 12 tools connected 0:13 — Claude Desktop, ChatGPT, Cursor: just paste the URL 0:16 — kelly_size: $25k bankroll, 61% fair value vs. 48¢ market → quarter-Kelly $925 0:24 — draft_board: Round 1, Pick 8, half-PPR 0:28 — nfl_edge (Pro): model 61% vs. Kalshi 48¢, +13 pts edge 0:34 — predictionmarketspicks.com/mcp ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ WHY THIS EXISTS ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Prediction markets are CFTC-regulated event-derivative exchanges, not sportsbooks. Every contract is a probability problem — the same quant framework a bond or options desk runs, pointed at elections, macro prints, weather, and sports. Language models are good at reasoning and bad at arithmetic under uncertainty. They will happily tell you a 48¢ contract is "roughly fair" without ever computing the edge. The MCP server hands your agent the calculator instead. One rule we don't break: tickers we don't model come back as not_covered. Never a fabricated number. Educational analysis. Not financial advice. Trade responsibly. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ The 7 Oracles — PredictionMarketsPicks — Free quant tools — Kalshi Analysis Hub — Learn the framework — X —

Chapters

1. 0:00 Your AI can't price a market
2. 0:03 Claude Code: one command, 12 tools connected
3. 0:13 Claude Desktop, ChatGPT, Cursor: just paste the URL
4. 0:16 kelly_size: $25k bankroll, 61% fair value vs. 48¢ market → quarter-Kelly $925
5. 0:24 draft_board: Round 1, Pick 8, half-PPR
6. 0:28 nfl_edge (Pro): model 61% vs. Kalshi 48¢, +13 pts edge
7. 0:34 predictionmarketspicks.com/mcp

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