WORLD CUP 2026

Top mispricings — 10K sim vs. Kalshi

14d to kickoff

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Live BTC edge vs. Kalshi hourly markets

PICK OF THE DAY

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Signal Movers

Prediction market price moves classified in real time. Know why a market is moving before you trade.

News-Driven

Price moved AND matching news found. The market is correctly repricing.

Unpriced

Strong news signal — but market price hasn't moved yet. Potential edge.

Unexplained

Price moved significantly but no matching news found. Watch for delayed reporting.

Unpriced — Market Hasn't Caught Up

3
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UnpricedKALSHI14m ago
News: 100/100
WATCHmarket @ 5¢KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-T9000
Resolves
Thu, Dec 31, 2026 · 4:00pm ET
Kalshi YES at market close
Thesis

High-relevance news matched this market but the price hasn't moved — worth a look in either direction. Read the article and the market's resolution rule before taking a side: "SpaceX IPO hype has traders flocking to this mid-cap stock"

Signal News matched, price flat — investigate the direction yourself.
UnpricedPOLYMARKET14m ago
News: 100/100
WATCHmarket @ 4¢0x2bc25736aa6bc8dbd23313eb06618525bbc4f23cfff483bfc6a4424d8b174e11
Resolves
Polymarket resolution
Thesis

High-relevance news matched this market but the price hasn't moved — worth a look in either direction. Read the article and the market's resolution rule before taking a side: "Senate GOP strips up to $1B for Trump ballroom security from immigration enforcement bill"

Signal News matched, price flat — investigate the direction yourself.
UnpricedPOLYMARKET14m ago
News: 100/100
WATCHmarket @ 31¢0xd98f7c334a57d9a96fbf3b02d6cfb5c11449d1d555af0add9c3003891d528796
Resolves
Polymarket resolution
Thesis

High-relevance news matched this market but the price hasn't moved — worth a look in either direction. Read the article and the market's resolution rule before taking a side: "US House delivers rebuke to Trump as it votes to halt Iran war"

Signal News matched, price flat — investigate the direction yourself.

News-Driven

2
News-DrivenPOLYMARKET1h ago
News: 100/100Price: -4.0pp
BUY YES@ 30¢0xd98f7c334a57d9a96fbf3b02d6cfb5c11449d1d555af0add9c3003891d528796
Resolves
Polymarket resolution
Thesis

News-driven move: "US House delivers rebuke to Trump as it votes to halt Iran war"

Exit Hold until settle.
News-DrivenKALSHI44m ago
News: 50/100Price: -2.0pp
BUY YES@ 63¢KXFED-26DEC-T3.50
Resolves
Wed, Dec 9, 2026 · 1:55pm ET
Kalshi YES at market close
Thesis

News-driven move: "Higher mortgage rates don't just keep buyers on the sidelines. Application denials rise too"

Exit Hold until settle.

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