WORLD CUP 2026

Top mispricings — 10K sim vs. Kalshi

14d to kickoff

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UNPRICED SIGNALLive · updated every 15 min

Market Hasn't Priced This Yet

Breaking news with a strong match to open prediction markets — but the price hasn't moved. Worth a look before the crowd catches on. These are watch signals — confirm which way the news cuts before you take a side.

How this works: Our signal engine scans Reuters, AP, BBC, CNN, NPR, and Politico every 30 minutes. It scores each article against open Kalshi and Polymarket contracts. When news relevance is high (≥ 60/100) but the market price hasn't moved more than 2pp, that's an unpriced signal.

01KALSHI14m ago
News relevance
100
WATCHmarket @ 5¢KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-T9000
Resolves
Thu, Dec 31, 2026 · 4:00pm ET
Kalshi YES at market close
Thesis

High-relevance news matched this market but the price hasn't moved — worth a look in either direction. Read the article and the market's resolution rule before taking a side: "SpaceX IPO hype has traders flocking to this mid-cap stock"

Signal News matched, price flat — investigate the direction yourself.
02POLYMARKET14m ago
News relevance
100
WATCHmarket @ 4¢0x2bc25736aa6bc8dbd23313eb06618525bbc4f23cfff483bfc6a4424d8b174e11
Resolves
Polymarket resolution
Thesis

High-relevance news matched this market but the price hasn't moved — worth a look in either direction. Read the article and the market's resolution rule before taking a side: "Senate GOP strips up to $1B for Trump ballroom security from immigration enforcement bill"

Signal News matched, price flat — investigate the direction yourself.
03POLYMARKET14m ago
News relevance
100
WATCHmarket @ 31¢0xd98f7c334a57d9a96fbf3b02d6cfb5c11449d1d555af0add9c3003891d528796
Resolves
Polymarket resolution
Thesis

High-relevance news matched this market but the price hasn't moved — worth a look in either direction. Read the article and the market's resolution rule before taking a side: "US House delivers rebuke to Trump as it votes to halt Iran war"

Signal News matched, price flat — investigate the direction yourself.
04POLYMARKET1h ago
News relevance
100
WATCHmarket @ 71¢0x2ff32cec61a2e9924b5e1207974fdb171efe4568bff1aff58b3d15b26237b36b
Resolves
Polymarket resolution
Thesis

High-relevance news matched this market but the price hasn't moved — worth a look in either direction. Read the article and the market's resolution rule before taking a side: "Trump’s pick for Iowa governor loses GOP primary in upset - The Washington Post"

Signal News matched, price flat — investigate the direction yourself.
05POLYMARKET1h ago
News relevance
100
WATCHmarket @ 18¢0x223ddff4662f2a5224d48279be17b0dbb23ee7de1e826c02176a7477c64b27ae
Resolves
Polymarket resolution
Thesis

High-relevance news matched this market but the price hasn't moved — worth a look in either direction. Read the article and the market's resolution rule before taking a side: "Senate Republicans axe $1bn for Trump's new White House ballroom"

Signal News matched, price flat — investigate the direction yourself.

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