XRP 5-minute Up or Down on Polymarket US

By Benny Ricciardi · part of the 5-Minute Board

Polymarket US opens a XRP (XRP) Up or Down window every five minutes, 288 a day. Each asks whether XRP ends the window at or above where it started. In our ledger, 48.5% of 1,431 windows from Oct 22, 2026 to Oct 27, 2026 settled Up. Kalshi lists XRP windows of 15 minutes and longer, and none at five minutes.

Live window

XRP XRP

1:19

12:45 PM–12:50 PM ET window

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Down

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Polymarket USPolymarketPartner · no current price

Closing minute0 of 60 seconds

Next window opens 12:50 PM ETXRP on Polymarket US →Sponsored by Polymarket US

Prices are our own snapshots of the Polymarket US order book (every 15 seconds, every 5 seconds in the final 90), refreshed on this page every 5 seconds. A price more than 60 seconds old reads “no current price.”

Results tape

XRP: last 48 windows

Current run: 3 Down · longest today (ET): 8 Up

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7:55 AM to 11:50 AM ET windows, Oct 27, 2026. Newest on the right.

Base rates

Every cell shows its number of windows; cells under 100 are greyed.

Settled Up, by hour of the window's start (ET)

12 a.m.

48.3% n 60

1 a.m.

51.7% n 60

2 a.m.

43.3% n 60

3 a.m.

38.3% n 60

4 a.m.

50.0% n 60

5 a.m.

48.3% n 60

6 a.m.

50.0% n 60

7 a.m.

43.3% n 60

8 a.m.

53.3% n 60

9 a.m.

36.7% n 60

10 a.m.

58.3% n 60

11 a.m.

45.8% n 59

12 p.m.

46.2% n 52

1 p.m.

43.3% n 60

2 p.m.

43.3% n 60

3 p.m.

46.7% n 60

4 p.m.

46.7% n 60

5 p.m.

55.0% n 60

6 p.m.

53.3% n 60

7 p.m.

63.3% n 60

8 p.m.

50.0% n 60

9 p.m.

50.0% n 60

10 p.m.

51.7% n 60

11 p.m.

46.7% n 60

Settled Up, by weekday (ET)

Mon

48.6% n 288

Tue

45.5% n 143

Thu

52.9% n 136

Fri

46.2% n 288

Sat

51.4% n 288

Sun

47.2% n 288

The next window, after a run

After	1 in a row	2 in a row	3 in a row	4 in a row	5 in a row
Ups	49.1% n 694	47.5% n 341	51.2% n 162	53.0% n 83	50.0% n 44
Downs	48.0% n 736	50.3% n 382	51.9% n 189	51.6% n 91	54.5% n 44

Each cell is the share of next windows that settled Up. Runs count only back-to-back windows in our ledger.

Move size

XRP: how far a window moves

Median 8.0 bp · 90th percentile 21.5 bp · n 1,431

0–1 bp78

1–2 bp97

2–5 bp282

5–10 bp393

10–20 bp412

20+ bp169

XRP in other windows

XRP 5-minute markets — frequently asked

What is the XRP 5-minute Up or Down market?

A Polymarket US market that asks whether XRP (XRP) ends a five-minute window at or above where it started. A new window opens every five minutes, 288 a day. Kalshi lists XRP windows of 15 minutes and longer, and none at five minutes.

How does the XRP 5-minute market settle?

Each window settles Up or Down against the value it started at, using the index and the measuring rule printed on that market’s Polymarket US page. The board links the current window for each coin.

How often does XRP finish a 5-minute window Up?

In our ledger, 48.5% of 1,431 XRP 5-minute windows settled Up, from Oct 22, 2026 to Oct 27, 2026. The hour and weekday grids below break that down, with the number of windows in every cell. Past results do not predict the next window.

How far does XRP move in five minutes?

The median XRP window moved 8.0 bp between its start and end values, and one in ten moved more than 21.5 bp, over 1,431 windows. A basis point is a hundredth of a percent.

Where do the prices on this page come from?

From our own snapshots of the Polymarket US public order book: every 15 seconds, and every 5 seconds in a window’s final 90 seconds. Every price shows the time it was read, and one more than 60 seconds old reads “no current price.” Results come from each closed market.