Saturday, July 11, 2026
Play of the Day
The 7 Oracles’ prediction market play for Saturday, July 11, 2026 — permanent record.
Result: LOSS −52¢
🔮THE 7 ORACLES
KPLAY OF THE DAY
🎯 Editor's PickVALUE PLAY
England to Win in Regulation — Norway vs. England (World Cup Quarterfinal)
POSITION
YES
ENTRY PRICE
52¢
CLOSES
Jul 11, 2026
Norway rode Haaland to a stunning upset of Brazil, but the model still makes England the clear side in Miami — and the market is only pricing a regulation win at 52c. We're on England to win inside 90 minutes.
The underlying numbers gap heavily toward England (model regulation-win prob ~60% vs the 52c Kalshi line). Buying the regulation-win contract sidesteps the coin-flip variance of extra time and penalties — the edge is the spread between our ~60% read and the implied 52%. Regulation only: extra time or pens voids it.
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Graded July 12, 2026 · P/L math per our published track-record method.