Main Event · Welterweight
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Saturday, August 15, 2026 · main card 9:00 PM EDT · Xfinity Mobile Arena · Paramount+
Quick Answer
As of August 7, 2026, UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry is headlined by Islam Makhachev (28-1) vs Ian Machado Garry (17-1, #1) in the welterweight division, Saturday, August 15, 2026 at Xfinity Mobile Arena. Kalshi and Polymarket list combat-fight markets close to fight night — when UFC 330's contracts open, the tale of the tape below fills with live win probabilities for all 11 bouts.
Why you can trade this card
Two title fights in Philadelphia — Islam Makhachev defends the welterweight belt against Ian Machado Garry, and Mackenzie Dern makes her first strawweight defense against Gillian Robertson. Every bout on this card is already listed on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange open in all 50 states, and on Polymarket. Two venues, one card, two separate order books — so the same fighter can carry two different prices at the same moment.
What the market says
The full card at a glance — the market favorite, cross-platform price gap, method lean and liquidity for every bout. Market-derived, not a pick.
No bout on this card has a listed prediction market yet. Kalshi and Polymarket open combat-fight contracts close to fight night — the scanner fills with live market favorites, win probabilities and price gaps the moment they do. No prices are shown before then.
- Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado GarryMain Event · Welterweight
- Mackenzie Dern vs Gillian RobertsonCo-Main Event · Women's Strawweight
- Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Dustin StoltzfusMiddleweight
- Edson Barboza vs Esteban RibovicsLightweight
- Chidi Njokuani vs Joel AlvarezWelterweight
- Jalin Turner vs Kaue FernandesLightweight
- Donte Johnson vs Eric McConicoMiddleweight
- Vicente Luque vs Tresean GoreMiddleweight
- Rafael Tobias vs Lucas FernandoLight Heavyweight
- Neil Magny vs Ramiz BrahimajWelterweight
- Jeremiah Wells vs Myktybek OrolbaiWelterweight
Main card
Main Event · Welterweight
Co-Main Event · Women's Strawweight
Middleweight
Lightweight
Prelims
Welterweight
Lightweight
Middleweight
Middleweight
Light Heavyweight
Welterweight
Welterweight
The prediction-market read
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry brings 11 bouts to Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA on Saturday, August 15, 2026, live on Paramount+. The card is headlined by Islam Makhachev (28-1) against Ian Machado Garry (17-1, #1) in the welterweight division.
Kalshi and Polymarket list combat-fight markets close to fight night, so UFC 330's win prices aren't posted yet. The card above shows the full tale of the tape — records, divisional ranks and country — and each bout flips to a live market-implied win probability the moment its contract opens. No prices are fabricated before then.
Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.
UFC 330 — frequently asked
Who is favored at UFC 330?
Islam Makhachev (28-1) meets Ian Machado Garry (17-1) in the main event. UFC 330's combat-fight markets list close to fight night — once they open, the tale of the tape above shows the market favorite and a live win probability for each bout, with no fabricated prices before then.
How can I watch UFC 330?
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry streams on Paramount+. Prelims start 5:00 PM EDT, with the main card at 9:00 PM EDT on Saturday, August 15, 2026. While you watch, the live market read for every bout — market-implied win probability and comma-free American odds — is on this page the moment UFC 330's contracts list.
Can you trade UFC 330 fights on Kalshi or Polymarket?
Yes — these are prediction markets, not a sportsbook. UFC cards carry live markets on both venues: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange available to traders in all 50 states, and Polymarket is open to US traders too. We lead with Kalshi for the broader US-listed slate and the deeper per-market book. You take a yes/no position on a fighter in a contract that settles at $1 or $0 — no point spread, just the binary outcome.
When and where is UFC 330?
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry takes place Saturday, August 15, 2026 at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA, broadcast on Paramount+. Main card starts 9:00 PM EDT.
How do prediction-market MMA odds work?
Each fighter's price is the market-implied probability they win, quoted in cents (a 69¢ contract implies a 69% chance) and shown here as comma-free American odds. Unlike a sportsbook line, the contract settles at $1 if the fighter wins and $0 if they lose, so the price IS the probability.
More MMA predictions
Every card we cover is indexed on the MMA predictions hub, alongside the graded record for every bout that has settled.
One email 48h before every card we read, with the full market breakdown. Nothing else.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
Prediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Informational only — not financial advice. Trade responsibly.