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FED DESK

Kalshi vs Polymarket vs futures on the next FOMC decision

Fed Rate Tracker · live

15-MINUTE

Every Kalshi 15-minute window, priced against the late-flip risk

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SILVER EDGE

Options vs. Kalshi on weekly silver brackets

KalshiCrypto

SOL price up in next 15 mins?

34c

YES · 34% implied

26K

contracts 24h

29K

open interest (contracts)

How this settles

Resolves YES if the 60-second simple average of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSDRTI ending before the later window's boundary is at least (≥) the 60-second simple average ending before the earlier window's boundary, both on the settlement date.

  • Source is CF Benchmarks SOLUSDRTI specifically — Settlement uses CF Benchmarks' SOLUSDRTI — not any spot exchange price, Coinbase feed, or other SOL/USD index — so discrepancies between those sources won't affect resolution.
  • 60-second average, not a single spot print — Each window resolves to a simple average of sixty individual seconds of SOLUSDRTI data, so a single-second spike or dip near the boundary does not alone determine the outcome.
  • Boundary is strictly 'before' each window cutoff — The rules say 'before 7:45 AM' and 'before 7:30 AM' EDT, meaning the second exactly at each cutoff is excluded — the 60 seconds used are the ones immediately preceding each boundary.
  • ≥ comparison means tie resolves YES — The condition is 'at least' (greater than or equal to), so if both 60-second averages are identical, the contract resolves YES rather than NO.

These are the rules for the whole series — every contract in it settles the same way. Full KXSOL15M settlement rules →

24h move: +0.0c

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