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KalshiMacro & economics

Will above 60000 jobs be added in October 2026?

43c

YES · 43% implied

21

contracts 24h

1K

open interest (contracts)

How this settles

Resolves YES if the BLS Monthly Employment Situation Report shows total non-farm payroll employment increased by more than 60,000 in October 2026.

  • Initial release vs. later revisions — BLS non-farm payroll figures are routinely revised in subsequent months; if the contract settles on the first (advance) print, a later revision crossing the 60,000 threshold in either direction is irrelevant, but traders must confirm which print is used.
  • Strict 'above' threshold — 60,000 excluded — The rules say 'above 60,000,' meaning an exact print of 60,000 resolves NO; traders long YES need the number to be at least 60,001.
  • October 2026 report release timing — The October 2026 Employment Situation is typically released in early November 2026, so contract settlement will lag the reference month by several weeks, affecting position management timing.

Rules read for this specific contract. Full KXPAYROLLS settlement rules →

24h move: +0.0c

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