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KalshiMacro & economics

Will above 30000 jobs be added in November 2026?

76c

YES · 76% implied

19

contracts 24h

172

open interest (contracts)

How this settles

Resolves YES if the BLS Monthly Employment Situation Report shows total non-farm payroll employment increased by more than 30,000 in November 2026.

  • Initial release vs. later revisions — BLS non-farm payroll figures are revised in subsequent months; if the rules don't specify which print is used, the initial release and a later revision could show different outcomes, creating settlement ambiguity.
  • Strict 'above' threshold — 30,000 excluded — The rules say 'above 30000,' meaning an exact print of +30,000 resolves NO; a trader assuming 'at or above' would be wrong.
  • Reference month vs. release date — The November 2026 employment data is typically released in early December 2026, so the contract may settle weeks after the reference month ends — traders should track the release calendar, not the month-end date.

Rules read for this specific contract. Full KXPAYROLLS settlement rules →

24h move: +0.0c

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