KalshiMacro & economics
Will above 30000 jobs be added in November 2026?
76c
YES · 76% implied
19
contracts 24h
172
open interest (contracts)
How this settles
Resolves YES if the BLS Monthly Employment Situation Report shows total non-farm payroll employment increased by more than 30,000 in November 2026.
- Initial release vs. later revisions — BLS non-farm payroll figures are revised in subsequent months; if the rules don't specify which print is used, the initial release and a later revision could show different outcomes, creating settlement ambiguity.
- Strict 'above' threshold — 30,000 excluded — The rules say 'above 30000,' meaning an exact print of +30,000 resolves NO; a trader assuming 'at or above' would be wrong.
- Reference month vs. release date — The November 2026 employment data is typically released in early December 2026, so the contract may settle weeks after the reference month ends — traders should track the release calendar, not the month-end date.
Rules read for this specific contract. Full KXPAYROLLS settlement rules →
24h move: +0.0c
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