Invest in the FCS — graded results
Every play, every week, with the implied probability it was called at and the final score it was graded against. Wins and losses are published the same way.
Quick Answer
Invest in the FCS is 4-2 on the 2026 season across 6 graded tickets, with 0 still live, for a net result of +$0.96 at one contract per ticket. Every verdict on this page is derived from the ESPN box score when the page loads — no result is stored anywhere, so the ledger cannot drift from what actually happened.
Record
4-2
Graded
6
Pending
0
Net result
+$0.96
Every result is graded from the ESPN final score at page load — no outcome is stored, so the ledger cannot drift from what happened. Net result is a SUM across graded tickets at one contract each, where a winner returns the 100¢ settlement minus the price paid. Prices are the implied probabilities quoted on air at the moment of the call, not closing prices, and a play called without a number counts in the record but never in the net figure.
How this ledger is built
- Prices are as quoted on air, not closing prices. Each figure is the implied probability the market was showing at the moment of the call.
- Results are derived, never entered. Every verdict is computed from the ESPN final score when this page loads. No outcome is stored, so nothing can be quietly revised.
- Spreads on the margin, totals on the combined score, outrights on the winner. A result landing exactly on a whole number is a push.
- A combo is one ticket. Every leg has to land — the legs are never counted separately in either direction.
- Net result is a sum, not an average. One contract per ticket; a winner returns the dollar settlement minus the price paid.
Week 0
6 tickets · Invest in the FCS: Week 0, streamed 2026-08-28
William & Mary Tribe @ Villanova Wildcats
- Under 49.555% implied at the call
William & Mary Tribe 35 — Villanova Wildcats 32
The full write-up →Rhode Island Rams @ Merrimack Warriors
- Rhode Island -16.559% implied at the call
Rhode Island Rams 34 — Merrimack Warriors 7
The full write-up →New Hampshire Wildcats @ UAlbany Great Danes
- New Hampshire -9.555% implied at the call
New Hampshire Wildcats 14 — UAlbany Great Danes 28
The full write-up →Lehigh Mountain Hawks @ Holy Cross Crusaders
- Lehigh -13.551% implied at the call
- Under 47.559% implied at the call
Combined 30.1% implied — every leg has to land for the ticket to pay.
Lehigh Mountain Hawks 35 — Holy Cross Crusaders 10
The full write-up →Stetson Hatters @ South Dakota State Jackrabbits
- South Dakota State -47.556% implied at the call
Stetson Hatters 7 — South Dakota State Jackrabbits 70
Number was on the on-screen card during the broadcast, not spoken aloud — the transcript alone missed it.
The full write-up →Montana State Bobcats @ Utah Tech Trailblazers
- Montana State -31.549% implied at the call
Montana State Bobcats 54 — Utah Tech Trailblazers 0
The full write-up →More from the FCS desk
FCS results — frequently asked
How is this record graded?
From ESPN’s final box score, computed on every page load. A spread play is graded on the final margin against the number that was called; a total on the combined score; an outright on the winner. A result landing exactly on a whole number is a push, never a win. A combo counts as one ticket — every leg must land or the whole ticket loses, so the legs are never counted separately in either direction. Only games ESPN marks final are graded; a game in progress reads pending.
Are these the closing prices?
No. Every price here is the implied probability the market was showing at the moment the play was called on air, not the closing price. That is deliberate and it is the harder standard: a good call moves the market, so grading against a close would systematically flatter an early caller relative to the position anyone could actually have taken.
What does the net result figure mean?
It is a SUM across graded tickets at one contract per ticket, not an average and not a per-contract figure. A prediction-market contract settles at $1, so a winner returns one dollar minus the price paid and a loser costs the price paid. A ticket called without a quoted number counts in the win-loss record but is excluded from the net figure rather than being assigned an invented price.
A prediction market is not a house line — you buy a contract that settles at $1 or $0, and the price in cents is the market's implied probability. Contracts can settle at $0. Informational only, not financial advice. Trade responsibly.