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Kalshi & Polymarket in Gemini: Google's Connected Apps, Explained

Google launched a preview that brings outside apps into Gemini and Search. Here's how to put live Kalshi and Polymarket US prices inside Gemini today: free, no API key, one URL.

Kalshi prices and Polymarket US inside Gemini: a prompt naming @PredictionMarketsPicks and the fed_rate_odds tool, the live tools it calls, and the four setup steps for adding a custom app in Gemini.
Kalshi prices and Polymarket US inside Gemini: a prompt naming @PredictionMarketsPicks and the fed_rate_odds tool, the live tools it calls, and the four setup steps for adding a custom app in Gemini.
The 7 Oracles
The PredictionMarketsPicks Oracles
October 31, 2026

Quick answer: Gemini can read live Kalshi and Polymarket US prices once you connect the free PredictionMarketsPicks app. On the web, add a custom app in Gemini's settings, paste https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=article-gemini, then start your question with @PredictionMarketsPicks and name the tool. In Gemini CLI, it's one install command. No API key, no account.

What Google launched

On Oct. 28, Google launched the preview of its Connected Apps Platform, one place for developers to build apps for Search and the Gemini app. Developers connect a cloud-hosted MCP server (the Model Context Protocol, the open standard AI assistants use to call outside tools) and choose whether the app goes live in Search, the Gemini app or both. Google says it has launched more than 50 connected apps across the two, with partners like Adobe, Calm, Experian and Peloton, and it's opening developer access in phases.

The piece that matters for traders: these apps answer from live data at the moment you ask. Ask about the Fed, Sunday's game or tomorrow's high temperature, and the answer can come from the market itself instead of a week-old web page.

Why prediction-market traders should care

Search results are snapshots. Market prices aren't. When you ask what Kalshi is pricing on a December rate decision, you want the number at the moment you ask, and where it came from.

That's what our MCP server does. It's the same PredictionMarketsPicks toolkit already running inside Claude, ChatGPT, Grok and Cursor: 45 tools covering Kalshi and Polymarket US prices across sports, the Fed and economic data, weather, elections, crypto and commodities, plus calculators for implied probability, expected value and position sizing. From Oct. 1 to Oct. 30, outside assistants made 26,588 tool calls across 5,105 sessions, not counting our own monitoring.

How to connect PredictionMarketsPicks to Gemini today

You don't have to wait for Google's store. Gemini already takes a custom app by URL.

In Gemini on the web

  1. Open Settings β†’ Connected Apps. Under Custom apps, choose Add a custom app. No Connected Apps menu? Google requires a personal Google account, age 18+, the US, English, and Keep Activity turned on.
  2. Paste https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=article-gemini and click Next.
  3. Read Google's notice, tick the box and click Connect. Gemini lists the PredictionMarketsPicks actions it can use.
  4. Ask by name. Type @ in a new chat, pick PredictionMarketsPicks, and name the tool in your question: @PredictionMarketsPicks use fed_rate_odds: what are the odds for the next FOMC meeting? In our Oct. 31 test, a plain question with the app added still answered from web search; naming the app and the tool made Gemini call it and return the live Kalshi numbers.

Building or testing? Gemini's Developer Mode connects the same URL under Create new and logs every tool call with its status and latency.

In Gemini CLI

gemini extensions install https://github.com/predictionmarketspicks/mcp

Run gemini mcp list and PredictionMarketsPicks should read Connected. Full setup, every prompt and the FAQ: Gemini setup. Using another assistant? Setup for every host.

What to ask it

Start each question with @PredictionMarketsPicks and the tool name.

Ask GeminiToolWhat comes back
What are the market odds the Fed cuts at the next meeting?fed_rate_oddsThe market-implied chance of each rate outcome at the next FOMC meeting. Live board: Fed rate tracker
Which NBA player markets tonight are cheapest on Kalshi?nba_prop_boardTonight's player markets with each venue's price at the same line. Daily read: NBA report
Which NFL receiving-yards markets have the biggest gap between Kalshi and the other venues this week?nfl_prop_boardYardage markets side by side across venues. Full board: NFL props
What is Kalshi pricing for tomorrow's high in Los Angeles?weather_boardEvery temperature strike with its price, the settlement station and the National Weather Service forecast. Weather markets
Show me Bitcoin's current 15-minute window on Kalshi.fifteen_min_boardThe live window, its strike and its price. Kalshi 15-minute markets
A contract trades at 38 cents and I think it's 45%. What's the edge, and how much should I size?calculate_ev, kelly_sizeExpected value and a Kelly position size. EV calculator

Same contract, two venues? Best price across venues and Kalshi vs Polymarket US show where it's cheaper.

Watch it live: Bitcoin's 5-minute market

Polymarket US lists Bitcoin up/down markets every five minutes. Here's the live one. Our 5-Minute Board tracks every window across coins, and the 15-minute markets page covers the longer windows.

More crypto markets: Crypto markets hub.

What changes when Google's store opens

  • No URL to paste. PredictionMarketsPicks shows up in Gemini's app list, and in Search once Google brings Connected Apps there.
  • Gemini can suggest it. Google says connected apps surface when your question matches what they do.
  • Same server, same tools. The custom-app route above runs on it today. We've applied for Google's preview.

Related: Connect ChatGPT to live prediction-market edge data Β· Every AI can now see our 2026 fantasy draft board Β· Every MCP tool and what it returns

Kalshi & Polymarket in Gemini: Google's Connected Apps, Explained β€” frequently asked

Can Gemini see live Kalshi prices on its own?

No. Without a connected app, Gemini answers from web search, which is a snapshot of a page. With PredictionMarketsPicks connected and named in your question, it calls our tools for the price at the moment you ask.

Is it free?

Yes. No API key and no account: the free tools answer right away. A few Pro tools say so when you call them.

Do I have to name the app in my question?

In our Oct. 31 test, yes. A plain question answered from web search even with the app added; starting the question with @PredictionMarketsPicks and naming the tool, for example fed_rate_odds, made Gemini call it.

Does Gemini place trades for me?

No. PredictionMarketsPicks is read-only. It shows prices and the math and never places orders or touches an account.

Does it work in Google Search?

Not yet. Google says Connected Apps come to Search in the coming weeks. The custom-app route works in the Gemini app today.

What's the difference between the Gemini app and Gemini CLI?

The Gemini app is the chat on the web and your phone. Gemini CLI is Google's command-line assistant for developers. Both connect to the same PredictionMarketsPicks server.

Which Google accounts can add a custom app?

Google lists personal accounts (not work or school), age 18+, in the US, in English, with Keep Activity turned on.

Read Next

Related: Kalshi vs Polymarket US Β· Is Polymarket US legal? Β· Kalshi vs Novig

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The 7 Oracles

Prediction Markets Desk

The 7 Oracles is the analyst collective behind PredictionMarketsPicks β€” calibrated, data-first coverage of Kalshi, Polymarket, DraftKings, and FanDuel markets.

About the Oracles β†’
gemini kalshigemini polymarketgemini prediction marketsgoogle connected appsgemini connected appsgemini mcp serverkalshi ai assistantpolymarket us ai

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