NFL Team Season Card — projected wins vs Kalshi

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FAQ

Is this widget free to embed?

Yes. The free tier allows 600 page loads per hour per visitor IP, with a 10,000 per hour ceiling per embedding domain. Publishers who need higher limits should upgrade to Pro at $14.99 per month for 50,000 requests per hour per API key (5× the free Origin ceiling), or Enterprise for 500,000 per hour.

How often does the data refresh?

The payload is refreshed every 1 hour by a Supabase edge function. The widget itself is cached at the edge for 10 minutes (free) or 5 minutes (Pro), so visitors see near-live data without hammering origin.

What data powers the widget?

Per-team NFL season card showing the PredictionMarketsPicks Gridiron Edge projected 2026 regular-season win total for one team — computed as the Poisson-binomial sum of 17 single-game win probabilities from an opponent-adjusted power rating — alongside the Kalshi KXNFLWINS-27 market-implied expected wins and the raw model-minus-market divergence in wins. Also carries the team’s power-rating rank of 32, tier, division and projected-wins rank. All 32 teams are individually addressable from their team hub at /nfl/teams/[team]; the generic embed features the largest live disagreement. Live-computed from PredictionMarketsPicks’ own model and public Kalshi prices — no third-party data. Before a team’s win-total ladder lists, the market and divergence cells show an honest pending state rather than a price.

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