NFL Player Prop Edges: Model vs Kalshi

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The Powered by The 7 Oracles bar must remain visible on every embed — Free, Pro, and Enterprise alike. Do not crop, recolor, or obscure it. The dofollow backlink to predictionmarketspicks.com is part of the embed license for all tiers.

FAQ

Is this widget free to embed?

Yes. The free tier allows 600 page loads per hour per visitor IP, with a 10,000 per hour ceiling per embedding domain. Publishers who need higher limits should upgrade to Pro at $14.99 per month for 50,000 requests per hour per API key (5× the free Origin ceiling), or Enterprise for 500,000 per hour.

How often does the data refresh?

The payload is refreshed every 5 minutes by a Supabase edge function. The widget itself is cached at the edge for 10 minutes (free) or 5 minutes (Pro), so visitors see near-live data without hammering origin.

What data powers the widget?

Always-current NFL player-prop edge card from PredictionMarketsPicks Gridiron Edge. It auto-resolves the active NFL week and surfaces that week’s single biggest disagreement between our player projection and the market: the model’s probability that the player clears a stated prop line (rushing yards, receiving yards, receptions or passing touchdowns — the four prop types that clear our own edge-decile backtest; passing yards and anytime touchdown failed it and are deliberately never published as edges) against the live Kalshi contract price in cents, with the edge in percentage points and a confidence tier of STRONG, HIGH, MODERATE or LOW. Because a prop contract pays $1 if the player clears the line, its price in cents is the market’s own implied probability, which makes the comparison direct. Kalshi lists prop contracts game by game as kickoff approaches, so before a week’s props open the card says so plainly rather than showing a number. One stable embeddable URL for the whole season — embed once, it stays current.

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2 fixed variants: Hero 560×300, Sidebar 320×280. Each is hand-tuned for that aspect ratio. Custom sizes are available on Enterprise plans.

Can I use this on a commercial site?

Yes. All tiers permit commercial use. The Powered by The 7 Oracles attribution bar with a dofollow backlink remains visible on every embed — Free, Pro, and Enterprise alike.