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BTC odds on Kalshi & Polymarket US

As of Nov 12, 12:44 AM ET, Kalshi prices 40% on “Bitcoin price on Nov 12, 2026: above 73,499.99”; as of Nov 12, 12:12 AM ET, Polymarket US prices 89% on “BTC Price at 12:00AM ET on Thu, Nov 12: above $73,500”.PolymarketPartner

BTC is bitcoin itself. Prices are the middle of each market's two-sided book; a price is a market reading, not a recommendation.

Our model's read on these strikes: Bitcoin Edge →

Live BTC markets

Live prediction markets on Bitcoin: market, venue, Yes price, implied chance and close date.
MarketVenueYes priceImpliedCloses
Bitcoin price on Nov 12, 2026: above 73,499.99Kalshi40¢40%Nov 12, 2026
Bitcoin price on Nov 12, 2026: above 73,699.99Kalshi6¢6%Nov 12, 2026
Bitcoin price on Nov 12, 2026: above 73,599.99Kalshi14¢14%Nov 12, 2026
Bitcoin price on Nov 12, 2026: above 73,399.99Kalshi80¢80%Nov 12, 2026
Bitcoin price on Nov 12, 2026: above 73,299.99Kalshi96¢96%Nov 12, 2026
Bitcoin price on Nov 12, 2026: above 73,999.99Kalshi33¢33%Nov 12, 2026
Bitcoin price on Nov 12, 2026: above 73,499.99Kalshi52¢52%Nov 12, 2026
Bitcoin price on Nov 12, 2026: above 73,749.99Kalshi44¢44%Nov 12, 2026
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027: 100,000 to 104,999.99Kalshi2¢2%Jan 1, 2027
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027: 55,000 to 59,999.99Kalshi4¢4%Jan 1, 2027
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027: 105,000 to 109,999.99Kalshi1¢1%Jan 1, 2027
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027: 95,000 to 99,999.99Kalshi3¢3%Jan 1, 2027
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027: 50,000 to 54,999.99Kalshi2¢2%Jan 1, 2027
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027: 75,000 to 79,999.99Kalshi18¢18%Jan 1, 2027
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027: 90,000 to 94,999.99Kalshi4¢4%Jan 1, 2027
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027: 70,000 to 74,999.99Kalshi21¢21%Jan 1, 2027
Will BTC trimmed mean be above $85000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026?Kalshi12¢12%Nov 30, 2026
Will BTC trimmed mean be above $82500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026?Kalshi19¢19%Nov 30, 2026
Will BTC trimmed mean be above $87500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026?Kalshi8¢8%Nov 30, 2026
Will BTC trimmed mean be above $90000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026?Kalshi5¢5%Nov 30, 2026
Will BTC trimmed mean be above $92500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026?Kalshi2¢2%Nov 30, 2026
Will BTC trimmed mean be above $95000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026?Kalshi2¢2%Nov 30, 2026
Will BTC trimmed mean be above $97500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026?Kalshi2¢2%Nov 30, 2026
Will BTC trimmed mean be below $70000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026?Kalshi56¢56%Nov 30, 2026
Will BTC trimmed mean be below $72500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026?Kalshi87¢87%Nov 30, 2026
Will BTC trimmed mean be below $62500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026?Kalshi11¢11%Nov 30, 2026
Will BTC trimmed mean be below $67500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026?Kalshi31¢31%Nov 30, 2026
Will BTC trimmed mean be below $65000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026?Kalshi17¢17%Nov 30, 2026
Will BTC trimmed mean be below $57500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026?Kalshi5¢5%Nov 30, 2026
Will BTC trimmed mean be below $60000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026?Kalshi6¢6%Nov 30, 2026
Will Bitcoin be below $55000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?Kalshi13¢13%Jan 1, 2027
Will Bitcoin be below $40000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?Kalshi5¢5%Jan 1, 2027
Will Bitcoin be below $50000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?Kalshi8¢8%Jan 1, 2027
Will Bitcoin be below $45000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?Kalshi5¢5%Jan 1, 2027
BTC Price at 12:00AM ET on Thu, Nov 12: above $73,300Polymarket USPolymarketPartner98¢98%Nov 12, 2026
BTC Price at 12:00AM ET on Thu, Nov 12: above $73,400Polymarket USPolymarketPartner95¢95%Nov 12, 2026
BTC Price at 12:00AM ET on Thu, Nov 12: above $73,500Polymarket USPolymarketPartner89¢89%Nov 12, 2026
BTC Price at 12:00AM ET on Thu, Nov 12: above $73,600Polymarket USPolymarketPartner75¢75%Nov 12, 2026
BTC Price at 12:00AM ET on Thu, Nov 12: above $73,700Polymarket USPolymarketPartner52¢52%Nov 12, 2026
BTC Price at 12:00AM ET on Thu, Nov 12: above $73,800Polymarket USPolymarketPartner28¢28%Nov 12, 2026
BTC Price at 12:00AM ET on Thu, Nov 12: above $73,900Polymarket USPolymarketPartner12¢12%Nov 12, 2026
BTC Price at 12:00AM ET on Thu, Nov 12: above $74,000Polymarket USPolymarketPartner5¢5%Nov 12, 2026
BTC Price at 12:00AM ET on Thu, Nov 12: above $74,100Polymarket USPolymarketPartner4¢4%Nov 12, 2026
BTC Price at 12:00AM ET on Thu, Nov 12: above $74,200Polymarket USPolymarketPartner3¢3%Nov 12, 2026
BTC Price at 1:00AM ET on Thu, Nov 12: above $73,200Polymarket USPolymarketPartner98¢98%Nov 12, 2026
BTC Price at 1:00AM ET on Thu, Nov 12: above $73,300Polymarket USPolymarketPartner96¢96%Nov 12, 2026

Kalshi prices read Nov 12, 12:44 AM ET. Polymarket US prices from our snapshot at Nov 12, 12:12 AM ET. Each venue settles on its own rules; check the contract before you trade.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the BTC odds on Kalshi?

As of Nov 12, 12:44 AM ET, Kalshi prices 40% on “Bitcoin price on Nov 12, 2026: above 73,499.99”; as of Nov 12, 12:12 AM ET, Polymarket US prices 89% on “BTC Price at 12:00AM ET on Thu, Nov 12: above $73,500”.

What do BTC prediction markets track?

BTC is bitcoin itself. Kalshi lists these on it: KXBTCD, KXBTCY, KXBTCMAXMON, KXBTCMINMON, KXBTCMINY. A Yes contract pays $1 if it happens and $0 if not, so its price in cents reads as the market's chance.

Does Polymarket US have BTC markets?

Yes. 12 Polymarket US markets on Bitcoin had a two-sided price in our latest snapshot (Nov 12, 12:12 AM ET).

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