KalshiMacro & economics
Will above 20000 jobs be added in October 2026?
75c
YES · 75% implied
540
contracts 24h
11K
open interest (contracts)
How this settles
Resolves YES if the BLS Monthly Employment Situation Report shows total non-farm payroll employment increased by more than 20,000 in October 2026.
- Initial release vs. later revisions — The BLS revises payroll figures in subsequent months; the rules don't specify whether the first print or a later revision governs, which could flip the outcome if the initial number is near the 20,000 threshold.
- Strictly above 20,000, not at — The rules say 'above 20000,' meaning an exact print of +20,000 resolves NO — traders near the threshold must account for this strict inequality.
- October 2026 report release timing — The October 2026 Employment Situation is typically released in early November 2026, so settlement cannot occur until that report is published, affecting position liquidity and expiry planning.
Rules read for this specific contract. Full KXPAYROLLS settlement rules →
24h move: +0.0c
Related Macro & economics Markets
Trade this market on Kalshi
Buy YES or NO directly on Kalshi
Compare this market on Polymarket
See if there's a price discrepancy worth trading
Get The 7 Oracles' take on this market — subscribe free
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.