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KalshiMacro & economics

Will above 90000 jobs be added in November 2026?

40c

YES · 40% implied

37

contracts 24h

215

open interest (contracts)

How this settles

Resolves YES if the BLS Monthly Employment Situation Report shows total non-farm payroll employment increased by more than 90,000 in November 2026.

  • Initial release vs. later revisions — BLS non-farm payroll figures are revised in subsequent months; if the rules don't specify which print is used, it's unclear whether the first release or a later revision triggers resolution.
  • Strict 'above' threshold — 90,000 excluded — The rules say 'above 90,000,' meaning an exact print of +90,000 resolves NO; a trader assuming 'at or above' would be wrong.
  • November 2026 report release timing — The November 2026 jobs report is typically published in early December 2026, so settlement won't occur until after that release date, affecting position timing.

Rules read for this specific contract. Full KXPAYROLLS settlement rules →

24h move: +0.0c

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