Election Night Live: 2026 Midterms Odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Live updates through election night, November 3, 2026: Senate and House control odds on Kalshi and Polymarket as the results come in, race by race.
Coverage window: Tue, Nov 3, 5:00 PM ET to Wed, Nov 4, 8:00 AM ET

Chamber control odds
As of Fri, Oct 9, 11:07 AM ET
Senate
Kalshi: Democrats 61% · Republicans 39%
Polymarket (International): Democrat 63¢ · Republican 36¢
House
Kalshi: Democrats 88% · Republicans 12%
Polymarket (International): Democrat 91¢ · Republican 10¢
Closest Senate races · Kalshi, Democrat win probability
- Iowa Senate 2026 · 44%
- Maine Senate 2026 · 57%
- Ohio Senate 2026 · 61%
- Texas Senate 2026 · 63%
- Kansas Senate 2026 · 37%
- Michigan Senate 2026 · 67%
Polymarket figures are from its international book; Polymarket US is a separate exchange with its own prices. Full board: 2026 Midterms hub
Updates
No updates yet. Coverage starts Tue, Nov 3, 5:00 PM ET.
Back to the 2026 Midterms hub.