How Kalshi settles 15-Minute WTI contracts
Reviewed by Benny Ricciardi
Rules last read
Settles YES when
Resolves YES if the WTI Oil close price on the Pyth PYTHOIL feed at the end of the 1-minute candle closing at the top of the settlement window is at least (≥) the close price of the 1-minute Pyth PYTHOIL candle at the start of the 15-minute window, measured in USD/Bbl.
4 resolution traps in the KXWTI15M rules
The wording that changes how or when the contract settles — which data source and which print, the exact metric, rounding, date boundaries, void conditions.
15-Minute WTIResolves YES if the WTI Oil close price on the Pyth PYTHOIL feed at the end of the 1-minute candle closing at the top of the settlement window is at least (≥) the close price of the 1-minute Pyth PYTHOIL candle at the start of the 15-minute window, measured in USD/Bbl.4 traps
- EST vs EDT timezone mismatch in rules — The rules cite 6:45 AM EST for the end candle but 6:30 AM EDT for the start candle — EST and EDT differ by one hour, so a literal reading puts the two reference candles 16 hours apart rather than 15 minutes; traders must confirm the intended timezone is consistent (almost certainly both EDT or both EST) to know the true comparison window.
- Pyth PYTHOIL is the sole data source — Settlement uses only the Pyth Network's PYTHOIL oracle feed, not CME, ICE, or any traditional WTI benchmark — Pyth outages, stale prices, or deviations from spot could affect resolution independently of the broader WTI market.
- Exact candle-close print, not intra-candle price — Only the 1-minute candlestick close at each boundary timestamp is used; intra-candle highs/lows and the open are irrelevant, so a price that crosses the threshold during the minute but closes below it resolves NO.
- At-least (≥) comparison: hitting threshold exactly resolves YES — The rule uses 'at least', so a close price exactly equal to the opening reference candle's close is sufficient for YES — unlike strictly-greater-than contracts in the same series family.
KXWTI15M contracts open now
A contract price in cents is already a probability — 42c is a 42% implied chance. Prices from Kalshi, refreshed periodically; check the exchange before taking a position.
Our record on KXWTI15M
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How Kalshi settles 15-Minute WTI — frequently asked
How does Kalshi settle 15-Minute WTI markets?
Resolves YES if the WTI Oil close price on the Pyth PYTHOIL feed at the end of the 1-minute candle closing at the top of the settlement window is at least (≥) the close price of the 1-minute Pyth PYTHOIL candle at the start of the 15-minute window, measured in USD/Bbl. That criterion is the whole contract — the headline question is a summary of it, not the rule itself.
What can go wrong when a 15-Minute WTI contract resolves?
We flag 4 traps in these rules. The first: EST vs EDT timezone mismatch in rules — The rules cite 6:45 AM EST for the end candle but 6:30 AM EDT for the start candle — EST and EDT differ by one hour, so a literal reading puts the two reference candles 16 hours apart rather than 15 minutes; traders must confirm the intended timezone is consistent (almost certainly both EDT or both EST) to know the true comparison window.
What does the KXWTI15M ticker mean?
KXWTI15M is Kalshi's series ticker for 15-Minute WTI. Individual contracts append the event and the strike — so one series carries many contracts, all settling under the same rule. This page covers the rule; the board above lists the contracts open right now.
Do you have a record trading 15-Minute WTI?
Not yet. We track KXWTI15M settlement rules, but no position on this series has been graded, so there is no record to show. We would rather say that than show a zeroed scorecard.
This is our reading of Kalshi’s published resolution rules, not a substitute for them — read the contract before taking a position. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0. Informational only, not financial advice.