How Kalshi settles Phoenix High Temperature Daily
Reviewed by Benny Ricciardi
Rules last read
Settles YES when
Each contract in this series resolves YES if the maximum daily temperature recorded at Phoenix station CLIPHX, per The Weather Company, falls within the specific range, above the threshold, or below the threshold defined for that contract's settlement date.
4 resolution traps in the KXHIGHTPHX rules
The wording that changes how or when the contract settles β which data source and which print, the exact metric, rounding, date boundaries, void conditions.
Phoenix High Temperature DailyEach contract in this series resolves YES if the maximum daily temperature recorded at Phoenix station CLIPHX, per The Weather Company, falls within the specific range, above the threshold, or below the threshold defined for that contract's settlement date.4 traps
- Inclusive vs. strict bounds differ by variant β Variant 1 uses an inclusive range (between the two threshold values), while Variants 2 and 3 use strict greater-than/less-than comparisons β hitting an exact boundary value resolves YES in Variant 1 but NO in Variants 2 and 3.
- Single source: The Weather Company only β CLIPHX data from NWS, Weather Underground, or any other provider is irrelevant β only The Weather Company's reading governs resolution, even if other sources disagree.
- Station is CLIPHX, not a generic Phoenix airport reading β The Climate (CLI) station code CLIPHX may differ from nearby ASOS or METAR stations; traders should confirm The Weather Company's CLIPHX print, not a general Phoenix-area high.
- No revision policy stated β The rules do not specify whether an initial or revised/corrected temperature print from The Weather Company is used, so a late data correction could affect resolution unexpectedly.
KXHIGHTPHX contracts open now
A contract price in cents is already a probability β 42c is a 42% implied chance. Prices from Kalshi, refreshed periodically; check the exchange before taking a position.
Our record on KXHIGHTPHX
13
graded
4
won
31.0%
win rate
β$1.50
net
Net is a SUM over a flat one-contract stake β β11.5Β’ per contract across 13. Full method and every graded position on the track record.
Go deeper
Frequently Asked Questions
How does Kalshi settle Phoenix High Temperature Daily markets?
Each contract in this series resolves YES if the maximum daily temperature recorded at Phoenix station CLIPHX, per The Weather Company, falls within the specific range, above the threshold, or below the threshold defined for that contract's settlement date. That criterion is the whole contract β the headline question is a summary of it, not the rule itself.
What can go wrong when a Phoenix High Temperature Daily contract resolves?
We flag 4 traps in these rules. The first: Inclusive vs. strict bounds differ by variant β Variant 1 uses an inclusive range (between the two threshold values), while Variants 2 and 3 use strict greater-than/less-than comparisons β hitting an exact boundary value resolves YES in Variant 1 but NO in Variants 2 and 3.
What does the KXHIGHTPHX ticker mean?
KXHIGHTPHX is Kalshi's series ticker for Phoenix High Temperature Daily. Individual contracts append the event and the strike β so one series carries many contracts, all settling under the same rule. This page covers the rule; the board above lists the contracts open right now.
Do you have a record trading Phoenix High Temperature Daily?
Yes β 13 graded positions on KXHIGHTPHX: 4 won, 9 lost, β$1.50 net at one contract per signal (β11.5Β’ per contract).
This is our reading of Kalshiβs published resolution rules, not a substitute for them β read the contract before taking a position. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0. Informational only, not financial advice.