How Kalshi settles Highest temperature in NYC
Reviewed by Benny Ricciardi
Rules last read
Settles YES when
Resolves YES if the maximum daily temperature recorded at New York City station CLINYC by The Weather Company meets the contract's specified condition (between a range, strictly above, or strictly below the threshold) on the settlement date.
4 resolution traps in the KXHIGHNY rules
The wording that changes how or when the contract settles — which data source and which print, the exact metric, rounding, date boundaries, void conditions.
Highest temperature in NYCResolves YES if the maximum daily temperature recorded at New York City station CLINYC by The Weather Company meets the contract's specified condition (between a range, strictly above, or strictly below the threshold) on the settlement date.4 traps
- Inclusive range vs. strict inequality per variant — The 'between 84–85°F' variant is inclusive of both endpoints, while the '>92°F' variant is strictly greater than (hitting exactly 92°F resolves NO), and the '<84°F' variant is strictly less than (hitting exactly 84°F resolves NO) — the comparison operator differs across contracts in this series.
- CLINYC station, not a general NYC reading — Resolution uses The Weather Company's CLINYC station specifically; readings from nearby NWS stations, airports (e.g. KLGA, KJFK), or other providers may differ and are irrelevant to settlement.
- Maximum daily temp, not average or closing — Only the single highest temperature recorded across the full calendar day at CLINYC counts; intraday averages or end-of-day figures will not match if the daily peak spikes briefly.
- No revision policy stated — The rules name The Weather Company as the sole source but do not specify whether the initial reading or a later corrected/revised figure governs, leaving traders exposed if The Weather Company updates its historical data after settlement.
KXHIGHNY contracts open now
A contract price in cents is already a probability — 42c is a 42% implied chance. Prices from Kalshi, refreshed periodically; check the exchange before taking a position.
Our record on KXHIGHNY
39
graded
13
won
33.0%
win rate
−$2.70
net
Net is a SUM over a flat one-contract stake — −6.9¢ per contract across 39. Full method and every graded position on the track record.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How does Kalshi settle Highest temperature in NYC markets?
Resolves YES if the maximum daily temperature recorded at New York City station CLINYC by The Weather Company meets the contract's specified condition (between a range, strictly above, or strictly below the threshold) on the settlement date. That criterion is the whole contract — the headline question is a summary of it, not the rule itself.
What can go wrong when a Highest temperature in NYC contract resolves?
We flag 4 traps in these rules. The first: Inclusive range vs. strict inequality per variant — The 'between 84–85°F' variant is inclusive of both endpoints, while the '>92°F' variant is strictly greater than (hitting exactly 92°F resolves NO), and the '<84°F' variant is strictly less than (hitting exactly 84°F resolves NO) — the comparison operator differs across contracts in this series.
What does the KXHIGHNY ticker mean?
KXHIGHNY is Kalshi's series ticker for Highest temperature in NYC. Individual contracts append the event and the strike — so one series carries many contracts, all settling under the same rule. This page covers the rule; the board above lists the contracts open right now.
Do you have a record trading Highest temperature in NYC?
Yes — 39 graded positions on KXHIGHNY: 13 won, 26 lost, −$2.70 net at one contract per signal (−6.9¢ per contract).
This is our reading of Kalshi’s published resolution rules, not a substitute for them — read the contract before taking a position. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0. Informational only, not financial advice.