How Kalshi settles Highest temperature in NYC
Rules last read
Settles YES when
The contract resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at the named station for the settlement date falls within the specified degree-Fahrenheit range, according to The Weather Company as the sole data source.
4 resolution traps in the KXHIGHNY rules
The wording that changes how or when the contract settles — which data source and which print, the exact metric, rounding, date boundaries, void conditions.
Highest temperature in NYCThe contract resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at the named station for the settlement date falls within the specified degree-Fahrenheit range, according to The Weather Company as the sole data source.4 traps
- Specific station (CLINYC), not generic NYC — Resolution uses only the CLINYC station reading — other nearby stations or airport gauges that traders might reference could show a different max temperature and are irrelevant to settlement.
- Inclusive vs. exclusive range boundaries — The rules state 'between 84–85°F,' and whether the endpoints (exactly 84° or exactly 85°) qualify as YES depends on whether 'between' is interpreted inclusively or exclusively — a common source of edge-case disputes.
- Single data source: The Weather Company only — Only The Weather Company's reading is authoritative; NOAA, Weather Underground, or any other service may differ and will not be used for resolution, so traders must track the correct source.
- No revision policy stated — The rules don't specify whether the initial posted reading or a later corrected/revised reading is used, meaning a data correction after settlement could be ignored or applied unpredictably.
KXHIGHNY contracts open now
A contract price in cents is already a probability — 42c is a 42% implied chance. Prices from Kalshi, refreshed periodically; check the exchange before taking a position.
Our record on KXHIGHNY
38
graded
12
won
32.0%
win rate
−$2.26
net
Net is a SUM over a flat one-contract stake — −5.9¢ per contract across 38. Full method and every graded position on the track record.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How does Kalshi settle Highest temperature in NYC markets?
The contract resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at the named station for the settlement date falls within the specified degree-Fahrenheit range, according to The Weather Company as the sole data source. That criterion is the whole contract — the headline question is a summary of it, not the rule itself.
What can go wrong when a Highest temperature in NYC contract resolves?
We flag 4 traps in these rules. The first: Specific station (CLINYC), not generic NYC — Resolution uses only the CLINYC station reading — other nearby stations or airport gauges that traders might reference could show a different max temperature and are irrelevant to settlement.
What does the KXHIGHNY ticker mean?
KXHIGHNY is Kalshi's series ticker for Highest temperature in NYC. Individual contracts append the event and the strike — so one series carries many contracts, all settling under the same rule. This page covers the rule; the board above lists the contracts open right now.
Do you have a record trading Highest temperature in NYC?
Yes — 38 graded positions on KXHIGHNY: 12 won, 26 lost, −$2.26 net at one contract per signal (−5.9¢ per contract).
This is our reading of Kalshi’s published resolution rules, not a substitute for them — read the contract before taking a position. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0. Informational only, not financial advice.