How Kalshi settles Highest temperature in Miami
Rules last read
Settles YES when
The contract resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at the named station for the settlement date falls within the specified °F range, according to The Weather Company as the sole data source.
4 resolution traps in the KXHIGHMIA rules
The wording that changes how or when the contract settles — which data source and which print, the exact metric, rounding, date boundaries, void conditions.
Highest temperature in MiamiThe contract resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at the named station for the settlement date falls within the specified °F range, according to The Weather Company as the sole data source.4 traps
- Specific station: CLIMIA, not a nearby gauge — Only readings from the CLIMIA station count; a different Miami-area station could show a different max temperature and would not be used for resolution.
- Inclusive vs. exclusive range boundaries — The rules state 'between 94–95°F,' and whether the endpoints (exactly 94° or exactly 95°) qualify as YES depends on whether 'between' is interpreted inclusively or exclusively — a non-obvious ambiguity that could flip resolution at the boundary.
- Single data source: The Weather Company only — If The Weather Company fails to report, delays, or revises its reading, no substitute source is specified, creating uncertainty about if/when the contract settles.
- No print specified: initial vs. revised data — The Weather Company can update historical observations; the rules do not clarify whether the initial reported reading or a later revision governs resolution, which matters if the temperature is amended after initial settlement.
KXHIGHMIA contracts open now
A contract price in cents is already a probability — 42c is a 42% implied chance. Prices from Kalshi, refreshed periodically; check the exchange before taking a position.
Our record on KXHIGHMIA
12
graded
5
won
42.0%
win rate
+67¢
net
Net is a SUM over a flat one-contract stake — +5.6¢ per contract across 12. Full method and every graded position on the track record.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How does Kalshi settle Highest temperature in Miami markets?
The contract resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at the named station for the settlement date falls within the specified °F range, according to The Weather Company as the sole data source. That criterion is the whole contract — the headline question is a summary of it, not the rule itself.
What can go wrong when a Highest temperature in Miami contract resolves?
We flag 4 traps in these rules. The first: Specific station: CLIMIA, not a nearby gauge — Only readings from the CLIMIA station count; a different Miami-area station could show a different max temperature and would not be used for resolution.
What does the KXHIGHMIA ticker mean?
KXHIGHMIA is Kalshi's series ticker for Highest temperature in Miami. Individual contracts append the event and the strike — so one series carries many contracts, all settling under the same rule. This page covers the rule; the board above lists the contracts open right now.
Do you have a record trading Highest temperature in Miami?
Yes — 12 graded positions on KXHIGHMIA: 5 won, 7 lost, +67¢ net at one contract per signal (+5.6¢ per contract).
This is our reading of Kalshi’s published resolution rules, not a substitute for them — read the contract before taking a position. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0. Informational only, not financial advice.