How Kalshi settles Highest temperature in Miami
Reviewed by Benny Ricciardi
Rules last read
Settles YES when
Each contract in this series resolves YES if the maximum daily temperature recorded at Miami station CLIMIA on the settlement date meets the variant's specific threshold condition (between a range, strictly greater than, or strictly less than the threshold), as reported by The Weather Company.
4 resolution traps in the KXHIGHMIA rules
The wording that changes how or when the contract settles β which data source and which print, the exact metric, rounding, date boundaries, void conditions.
Highest temperature in MiamiEach contract in this series resolves YES if the maximum daily temperature recorded at Miami station CLIMIA on the settlement date meets the variant's specific threshold condition (between a range, strictly greater than, or strictly less than the threshold), as reported by The Weather Company.4 traps
- Inclusive range vs. strict inequality per variant β Variant 1 uses an inclusive 'between' range (β₯94Β° and β€95Β°), while Variants 2 and 3 use strict inequalities (strictly greater than / strictly less than the threshold), so hitting the exact boundary value resolves NO for those variants.
- Single source: The Weather Company only β Resolution relies exclusively on The Weather Company's reading for CLIMIA β NWS, Weather Underground, or any other data provider's figures are irrelevant, even if they differ materially.
- Station is CLIMIA, not a nearby Florida station β Only the CLIMIA station feed is used; readings from adjacent Miami-area stations (e.g., Miami Beach or Miami Executive Airport) do not count, even if geographically close.
- No revision clause stated β likely first/final print β The rules do not specify whether an initial or revised temperature reading governs, so traders should monitor whether The Weather Company updates its historical records post-settlement, as any correction may or may not be honored.
KXHIGHMIA contracts open now
A contract price in cents is already a probability β 42c is a 42% implied chance. Prices from Kalshi, refreshed periodically; check the exchange before taking a position.
Our record on KXHIGHMIA
15
graded
6
won
40.0%
win rate
β$1.81
net
Net is a SUM over a flat one-contract stake β β12.1Β’ per contract across 15. Full method and every graded position on the track record.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How does Kalshi settle Highest temperature in Miami markets?
Each contract in this series resolves YES if the maximum daily temperature recorded at Miami station CLIMIA on the settlement date meets the variant's specific threshold condition (between a range, strictly greater than, or strictly less than the threshold), as reported by The Weather Company. That criterion is the whole contract β the headline question is a summary of it, not the rule itself.
What can go wrong when a Highest temperature in Miami contract resolves?
We flag 4 traps in these rules. The first: Inclusive range vs. strict inequality per variant β Variant 1 uses an inclusive 'between' range (β₯94Β° and β€95Β°), while Variants 2 and 3 use strict inequalities (strictly greater than / strictly less than the threshold), so hitting the exact boundary value resolves NO for those variants.
What does the KXHIGHMIA ticker mean?
KXHIGHMIA is Kalshi's series ticker for Highest temperature in Miami. Individual contracts append the event and the strike β so one series carries many contracts, all settling under the same rule. This page covers the rule; the board above lists the contracts open right now.
Do you have a record trading Highest temperature in Miami?
Yes β 15 graded positions on KXHIGHMIA: 6 won, 9 lost, β$1.81 net at one contract per signal (β12.1Β’ per contract).
This is our reading of Kalshiβs published resolution rules, not a substitute for them β read the contract before taking a position. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0. Informational only, not financial advice.