How Kalshi settles Highest temperature in Los Angeles
Rules last read
Settles YES when
The contract resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at the named Los Angeles station (CLILAX) exceeds the threshold on the settlement date, as reported by The Weather Company.
3 resolution traps in the KXHIGHLAX rules
The wording that changes how or when the contract settles — which data source and which print, the exact metric, rounding, date boundaries, void conditions.
Highest temperature in Los AngelesThe contract resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at the named Los Angeles station (CLILAX) exceeds the threshold on the settlement date, as reported by The Weather Company.3 traps
- Strict 'greater than' — hitting threshold exactly resolves NO — The rule requires temperature strictly greater than the threshold, so a reading exactly equal to it is insufficient for YES resolution.
- Single named station (CLILAX), not city-wide average — Only the CLILAX station reading counts; nearby stations or broader LA-area readings that differ would be irrelevant to settlement.
- Sole data source: The Weather Company — Only The Weather Company's figure is authoritative — other weather services (NWS, Weather Underground, AccuWeather) reporting different values have no bearing on resolution.
KXHIGHLAX contracts open now
A contract price in cents is already a probability — 42c is a 42% implied chance. Prices from Kalshi, refreshed periodically; check the exchange before taking a position.
Our record on KXHIGHLAX
34
graded
15
won
44.0%
win rate
+$5.53
net
Net is a SUM over a flat one-contract stake — +16.3¢ per contract across 34. Full method and every graded position on the track record.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How does Kalshi settle Highest temperature in Los Angeles markets?
The contract resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at the named Los Angeles station (CLILAX) exceeds the threshold on the settlement date, as reported by The Weather Company. That criterion is the whole contract — the headline question is a summary of it, not the rule itself.
What can go wrong when a Highest temperature in Los Angeles contract resolves?
We flag 3 traps in these rules. The first: Strict 'greater than' — hitting threshold exactly resolves NO — The rule requires temperature strictly greater than the threshold, so a reading exactly equal to it is insufficient for YES resolution.
What does the KXHIGHLAX ticker mean?
KXHIGHLAX is Kalshi's series ticker for Highest temperature in Los Angeles. Individual contracts append the event and the strike — so one series carries many contracts, all settling under the same rule. This page covers the rule; the board above lists the contracts open right now.
Do you have a record trading Highest temperature in Los Angeles?
Yes — 34 graded positions on KXHIGHLAX: 15 won, 19 lost, +$5.53 net at one contract per signal (+16.3¢ per contract).
This is our reading of Kalshi’s published resolution rules, not a substitute for them — read the contract before taking a position. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0. Informational only, not financial advice.