How Kalshi settles Highest temperature in Los Angeles
Reviewed by Benny Ricciardi
Rules last read
Settles YES when
Resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at Los Angeles station CLILAX on the settlement date falls within the range, above the upper threshold, or below the lower threshold (depending on the variant) as reported by The Weather Company.
4 resolution traps in the KXHIGHLAX rules
The wording that changes how or when the contract settles — which data source and which print, the exact metric, rounding, date boundaries, void conditions.
Highest temperature in Los AngelesResolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at Los Angeles station CLILAX on the settlement date falls within the range, above the upper threshold, or below the lower threshold (depending on the variant) as reported by The Weather Company.4 traps
- Inclusive range in Variant 1 vs. strict inequalities elsewhere — Variant 1 resolves YES at exactly 76° or 77°F (inclusive), while Variants 2 and 3 use strict greater-than/less-than, meaning a reading of exactly 83°F resolves NO on Variant 2 and exactly 76°F resolves NO on Variant 3 — the boundary behavior differs critically across variants.
- Single source: The Weather Company only — Only The Weather Company's reading of CLILAX is authoritative; NWS, Weather Underground, or any other provider showing a different max temperature has no bearing on resolution.
- CLILAX station, not a city-wide or airport average — The Weather Company's data pull is tied specifically to station code CLILAX, so readings from nearby stations (e.g., KCQT downtown or KVNY Van Nuys) are irrelevant even if widely reported.
- No revision or re-check policy stated — The rules do not specify whether a later correction to the CLILAX daily maximum by The Weather Company would trigger re-resolution, so traders should assume the first available daily maximum print is final.
KXHIGHLAX contracts open now
A contract price in cents is already a probability — 42c is a 42% implied chance. Prices from Kalshi, refreshed periodically; check the exchange before taking a position.
Our record on KXHIGHLAX
43
graded
22
won
51.0%
win rate
+$1.82
net
Net is a SUM over a flat one-contract stake — +4.2¢ per contract across 43. Full method and every graded position on the track record.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How does Kalshi settle Highest temperature in Los Angeles markets?
Resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at Los Angeles station CLILAX on the settlement date falls within the range, above the upper threshold, or below the lower threshold (depending on the variant) as reported by The Weather Company. That criterion is the whole contract — the headline question is a summary of it, not the rule itself.
What can go wrong when a Highest temperature in Los Angeles contract resolves?
We flag 4 traps in these rules. The first: Inclusive range in Variant 1 vs. strict inequalities elsewhere — Variant 1 resolves YES at exactly 76° or 77°F (inclusive), while Variants 2 and 3 use strict greater-than/less-than, meaning a reading of exactly 83°F resolves NO on Variant 2 and exactly 76°F resolves NO on Variant 3 — the boundary behavior differs critically across variants.
What does the KXHIGHLAX ticker mean?
KXHIGHLAX is Kalshi's series ticker for Highest temperature in Los Angeles. Individual contracts append the event and the strike — so one series carries many contracts, all settling under the same rule. This page covers the rule; the board above lists the contracts open right now.
Do you have a record trading Highest temperature in Los Angeles?
Yes — 43 graded positions on KXHIGHLAX: 22 won, 21 lost, +$1.82 net at one contract per signal (+4.2¢ per contract).
This is our reading of Kalshi’s published resolution rules, not a substitute for them — read the contract before taking a position. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0. Informational only, not financial advice.