How Kalshi settles Highest temperature in Denver
Reviewed by Benny Ricciardi
Rules last read
Settles YES when
Each contract in this series resolves YES if the maximum daily temperature recorded at Denver station CLIDEN by The Weather Company falls within the specific range, above the threshold, or below the threshold defined for that contract's variant on its designated date.
4 resolution traps in the KXHIGHDEN rules
The wording that changes how or when the contract settles β which data source and which print, the exact metric, rounding, date boundaries, void conditions.
Highest temperature in DenverEach contract in this series resolves YES if the maximum daily temperature recorded at Denver station CLIDEN by The Weather Company falls within the specific range, above the threshold, or below the threshold defined for that contract's variant on its designated date.4 traps
- Inclusive range vs. strict inequality per variant β Variant 1 uses an inclusive band (between the two bounds), Variant 2 uses strictly greater than the threshold, and Variant 3 uses strictly less than the threshold β hitting an exact boundary value resolves differently depending on which variant a trader holds.
- Station is CLIDEN, not a general Denver airport or NWS reading β The Weather Company's CLIDEN reading may differ from other commonly referenced Denver weather stations (e.g., KDEN/NWS), so traders must track the specific CLIDEN data feed to avoid surprises at settlement.
- Date boundary differs across variants in the series β Variants 1 and 2 settle on one date while Variant 3 settles on the following day β traders must confirm they hold the correct variant for the date they intend to trade.
- No revision policy stated; first or final print unclear β The rules do not specify whether settlement uses The Weather Company's initial reading or a later corrected value, which matters if CLIDEN data is revised after the observation date.
KXHIGHDEN contracts open now
A contract price in cents is already a probability β 42c is a 42% implied chance. Prices from Kalshi, refreshed periodically; check the exchange before taking a position.
Our record on KXHIGHDEN
32
graded
7
won
22.0%
win rate
β$2.62
net
Net is a SUM over a flat one-contract stake β β8.2Β’ per contract across 32. Full method and every graded position on the track record.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How does Kalshi settle Highest temperature in Denver markets?
Each contract in this series resolves YES if the maximum daily temperature recorded at Denver station CLIDEN by The Weather Company falls within the specific range, above the threshold, or below the threshold defined for that contract's variant on its designated date. That criterion is the whole contract β the headline question is a summary of it, not the rule itself.
What can go wrong when a Highest temperature in Denver contract resolves?
We flag 4 traps in these rules. The first: Inclusive range vs. strict inequality per variant β Variant 1 uses an inclusive band (between the two bounds), Variant 2 uses strictly greater than the threshold, and Variant 3 uses strictly less than the threshold β hitting an exact boundary value resolves differently depending on which variant a trader holds.
What does the KXHIGHDEN ticker mean?
KXHIGHDEN is Kalshi's series ticker for Highest temperature in Denver. Individual contracts append the event and the strike β so one series carries many contracts, all settling under the same rule. This page covers the rule; the board above lists the contracts open right now.
Do you have a record trading Highest temperature in Denver?
Yes β 32 graded positions on KXHIGHDEN: 7 won, 25 lost, β$2.62 net at one contract per signal (β8.2Β’ per contract).
This is our reading of Kalshiβs published resolution rules, not a substitute for them β read the contract before taking a position. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0. Informational only, not financial advice.