How Kalshi settles Highest temperature in Denver
Rules last read
Settles YES when
The contract resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at the named station for the settlement date strictly exceeds the threshold, as reported by The Weather Company.
3 resolution traps in the KXHIGHDEN rules
The wording that changes how or when the contract settles — which data source and which print, the exact metric, rounding, date boundaries, void conditions.
Highest temperature in DenverThe contract resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at the named station for the settlement date strictly exceeds the threshold, as reported by The Weather Company.3 traps
- Strict greater-than: hitting threshold exactly resolves NO — The rules say "greater than" the threshold, so a reading exactly equal to the threshold is insufficient for YES resolution.
- Specific station (CLIDEN), not general city data — Resolution is tied to the CLIDEN station reading specifically; other Denver-area weather stations or airport sensors may show different temperatures and are irrelevant.
- Single source: The Weather Company only — Only The Weather Company's data is authoritative; discrepancies from NOAA, NWS, Weather Underground, or any other provider have no bearing on settlement.
KXHIGHDEN contracts open now
A contract price in cents is already a probability — 42c is a 42% implied chance. Prices from Kalshi, refreshed periodically; check the exchange before taking a position.
Our record on KXHIGHDEN
27
graded
7
won
26.0%
win rate
−48¢
net
Net is a SUM over a flat one-contract stake — −1.8¢ per contract across 27. Full method and every graded position on the track record.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How does Kalshi settle Highest temperature in Denver markets?
The contract resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at the named station for the settlement date strictly exceeds the threshold, as reported by The Weather Company. That criterion is the whole contract — the headline question is a summary of it, not the rule itself.
What can go wrong when a Highest temperature in Denver contract resolves?
We flag 3 traps in these rules. The first: Strict greater-than: hitting threshold exactly resolves NO — The rules say "greater than" the threshold, so a reading exactly equal to the threshold is insufficient for YES resolution.
What does the KXHIGHDEN ticker mean?
KXHIGHDEN is Kalshi's series ticker for Highest temperature in Denver. Individual contracts append the event and the strike — so one series carries many contracts, all settling under the same rule. This page covers the rule; the board above lists the contracts open right now.
Do you have a record trading Highest temperature in Denver?
Yes — 27 graded positions on KXHIGHDEN: 7 won, 20 lost, −48¢ net at one contract per signal (−1.8¢ per contract).
This is our reading of Kalshi’s published resolution rules, not a substitute for them — read the contract before taking a position. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0. Informational only, not financial advice.