How Kalshi settles Highest temperature in Chicago
Rules last read
Settles YES when
The contract resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at the named Chicago station on the settlement date is strictly less than the threshold, according to The Weather Company.
3 resolution traps in the KXHIGHCHI rules
The wording that changes how or when the contract settles — which data source and which print, the exact metric, rounding, date boundaries, void conditions.
Highest temperature in ChicagoThe contract resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at the named Chicago station on the settlement date is strictly less than the threshold, according to The Weather Company.3 traps
- Strict less-than: hitting threshold exactly resolves NO — The rule uses 'less than' (not 'less than or equal to'), so a reading exactly at the threshold fails to resolve YES.
- Specific station: CLIMDW only, not city-wide average — Only the Chicago CLIMDW station reading counts; temperatures from other nearby or official stations are irrelevant and could differ meaningfully.
- Single data source: The Weather Company exclusively — Resolution is tied solely to The Weather Company's data, so discrepancies with NOAA, NWS, or other providers have no bearing on settlement.
KXHIGHCHI contracts open now
A contract price in cents is already a probability — 42c is a 42% implied chance. Prices from Kalshi, refreshed periodically; check the exchange before taking a position.
Our record on KXHIGHCHI
34
graded
11
won
32.0%
win rate
+$1.29
net
Net is a SUM over a flat one-contract stake — +3.8¢ per contract across 34. Full method and every graded position on the track record.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How does Kalshi settle Highest temperature in Chicago markets?
The contract resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at the named Chicago station on the settlement date is strictly less than the threshold, according to The Weather Company. That criterion is the whole contract — the headline question is a summary of it, not the rule itself.
What can go wrong when a Highest temperature in Chicago contract resolves?
We flag 3 traps in these rules. The first: Strict less-than: hitting threshold exactly resolves NO — The rule uses 'less than' (not 'less than or equal to'), so a reading exactly at the threshold fails to resolve YES.
What does the KXHIGHCHI ticker mean?
KXHIGHCHI is Kalshi's series ticker for Highest temperature in Chicago. Individual contracts append the event and the strike — so one series carries many contracts, all settling under the same rule. This page covers the rule; the board above lists the contracts open right now.
Do you have a record trading Highest temperature in Chicago?
Yes — 34 graded positions on KXHIGHCHI: 11 won, 23 lost, +$1.29 net at one contract per signal (+3.8¢ per contract).
This is our reading of Kalshi’s published resolution rules, not a substitute for them — read the contract before taking a position. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0. Informational only, not financial advice.