How Kalshi settles Highest temperature in Chicago
Reviewed by Benny Ricciardi
Rules last read
Settles YES when
Resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago station CLIMDW on the settlement date meets the variant's threshold condition (between a range, strictly above, or strictly below the threshold) according to The Weather Company.
4 resolution traps in the KXHIGHCHI rules
The wording that changes how or when the contract settles β which data source and which print, the exact metric, rounding, date boundaries, void conditions.
Highest temperature in ChicagoResolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago station CLIMDW on the settlement date meets the variant's threshold condition (between a range, strictly above, or strictly below the threshold) according to The Weather Company.4 traps
- CLIMDW station, not a generic Chicago reading β Resolution uses the specific Weather Company station code CLIMDW β readings from other Chicago-area stations or sources are irrelevant and may differ.
- The Weather Company is the sole data source β Only The Weather Company's recorded maximum is used; NWS, Weather Underground, or any other provider's data has no bearing on settlement, even if it differs.
- Inclusive vs. strict boundary varies by variant β The range variant (e.g., 78β79Β°F) is inclusive on both ends, the 'greater than' variant is strictly exclusive (hitting exactly the threshold resolves NO), and the 'less than' variant is also strictly exclusive β the direction of the inequality changes which side of the threshold resolves YES vs. NO.
- Integer Fahrenheit granularity assumed β The thresholds are stated in whole-degree Fahrenheit increments, so traders must confirm whether The Weather Company reports to decimal precision and how rounding affects boundary cases.
KXHIGHCHI contracts open now
A contract price in cents is already a probability β 42c is a 42% implied chance. Prices from Kalshi, refreshed periodically; check the exchange before taking a position.
Our record on KXHIGHCHI
36
graded
14
won
39.0%
win rate
+$1.93
net
Net is a SUM over a flat one-contract stake β +5.4Β’ per contract across 36. Full method and every graded position on the track record.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How does Kalshi settle Highest temperature in Chicago markets?
Resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago station CLIMDW on the settlement date meets the variant's threshold condition (between a range, strictly above, or strictly below the threshold) according to The Weather Company. That criterion is the whole contract β the headline question is a summary of it, not the rule itself.
What can go wrong when a Highest temperature in Chicago contract resolves?
We flag 4 traps in these rules. The first: CLIMDW station, not a generic Chicago reading β Resolution uses the specific Weather Company station code CLIMDW β readings from other Chicago-area stations or sources are irrelevant and may differ.
What does the KXHIGHCHI ticker mean?
KXHIGHCHI is Kalshi's series ticker for Highest temperature in Chicago. Individual contracts append the event and the strike β so one series carries many contracts, all settling under the same rule. This page covers the rule; the board above lists the contracts open right now.
Do you have a record trading Highest temperature in Chicago?
Yes β 36 graded positions on KXHIGHCHI: 14 won, 22 lost, +$1.93 net at one contract per signal (+5.4Β’ per contract).
This is our reading of Kalshiβs published resolution rules, not a substitute for them β read the contract before taking a position. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0. Informational only, not financial advice.